Denmark - SuperligaHybel Arena HorsensData current as of 16 September 2026

Horsens vs AGF: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Horsens vs AGF: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Horsens play AGF in Superliga (Denmark). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Hybel Arena Horsens.

Current form

Horsens: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. AGF: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Horsens scores 1.63 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. AGF scores 1.13 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Horsens 75%, AGF 75%. Over 2.5: Horsens 63%, AGF 63%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

AGF has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.20. Horsens: 10.1 shots per match, AGF: 17.1.

Match halves

Horsens: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. AGF: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Horsens: 76-90+ (4 goals). AGF: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Superliga: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.50)
(3.40)
(1.85)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.63Goals scored / match1.13
HorsensAGF
1.75Goals conceded / match1.88
HorsensAGF
46%Average possession57%
HorsensAGF
4.63Shots on target / match4.38
HorsensAGF

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.13Shots per match17.13
HorsensAGF
4.63Shots on target4.38
HorsensAGF
16%Shot conversion6.6%
HorsensAGF
46%Possession57%
HorsensAGF
1.2xG for1.84
HorsensAGF
1.69xG against1.43
HorsensAGF

Shooting quality

Horsens: Counter-attackingAGF: Dominant
HorsensAGF
Accuracy (shots on target)46%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Horsens is 350% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Horsens · 0.4 pts / match - AGF

Horsens
WWLWL
Season result split
38% W13% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-4
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 at home
1-1-2
DLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
AGF
DLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-4-4
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 away
0-1-3
DLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Horsens is 44% better for: goals scored per match.

1.63 goals / match - Horsens · 1.13 goals / match - AGF

Horsens is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.75 goals / match - Horsens · 1.88 goals / match - AGF

Horsens scoring profile: very strong

Horsens scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while AGF keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

AGF scoring profile: very strong

AGF scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Horsens keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

13Goals scored (season)9
HorsensAGF
14Goals conceded (season)15
HorsensAGF
3.38Average goals in match3
HorsensAGF
11Goals scored (last 5)5
HorsensAGF
9Goals conceded (last 5)10
HorsensAGF

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
HorsensAGF
50%2 goals38%
HorsensAGF
13%3 goals0%
HorsensAGF
13%4 goals0%
HorsensAGF

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
HorsensAGF
63%2 goals88%
HorsensAGF
13%3 goals0%
HorsensAGF
0%4 goals0%
HorsensAGF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time25%
HorsensAGF
13%BTTS in both halves0%
HorsensAGF
38%Scored in both halves25%
HorsensAGF

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
HorsensAGF
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
HorsensAGF
80%BTTS - last 560%
HorsensAGF

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
HorsensAGF
63%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
HorsensAGF
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
HorsensAGF

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
HorsensAGF
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
HorsensAGF
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
HorsensAGF

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Horsens is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Horsens · 0.75 pts / match - AGF

Horsens - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
AGF - half-time state
13% leading38% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.75
HorsensAGF
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.38
HorsensAGF
1.13Goals conceded (1st half)1
HorsensAGF
1.75Average goals (1st half)1.38
HorsensAGF
13%Clean sheet before half-time38%
HorsensAGF
50%No goal before half-time63%
HorsensAGF

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)1.25
HorsensAGF
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
HorsensAGF
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
HorsensAGF
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.63
HorsensAGF
38%Clean sheet after half-time38%
HorsensAGF
38%No goal after half-time38%
HorsensAGF

Horsens - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
8
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AGF - second-half results

38% W13% D50% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Horsens - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.82.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
AGF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.80
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.6
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-6+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Horsens
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
1
0
16-30
3
5
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

AGF
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
2
31-45
0
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.19
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Horsens

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

AGF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).

Teams vs league

HorsensLigaAGF
Average goals in match 3.382.88 3.00
Both teams scored 75%58% 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%52% 63%
Clean sheets 0%22% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%75% 75%
Goal after half-time 88%90% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+6%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
90%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Horsens and AGF play?

Horsens face AGF on 20 September 2026 in Superliga at Hybel Arena Horsens. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Horsens vs AGF?

Horsens score 1.63 goals per game on average and AGF 1.13. The Superliga average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Horsens's matches and 75% of AGF's.

What form are Horsens and AGF in?

Over the last 5 games Horsens have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and AGF 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Horsens vs AGF?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Horsens vs AGF: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.