Horsens vs Hillerød: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Horsens played Hillerød in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 23 November 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Horsens: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Hillerød: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Horsens scores 1.31 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Hillerød scores 1.56 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.81 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Horsens 38%, Hillerød 81%. Over 2.5: Horsens 44%, Hillerød 69%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Horsens has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.40. Horsens: 13.6 shots per match, Hillerød: 11.7.

Match halves

Horsens: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.56. Hillerød: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.56.

Goals by minute

Horsens: 31-45+ (6 goals). Hillerød: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1st Division: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

41Possession (%)59
HorsensHillerød
8Shots19
HorsensHillerød
5Shots on target7
HorsensHillerød
1.05xG2.07
HorsensHillerød
4Corners5
HorsensHillerød
25Dangerous attacks51
HorsensHillerød
12Fouls13
HorsensHillerød
0Cards0
HorsensHillerød

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.31Goals scored / match1.56
HorsensHillerød
0.88Goals conceded / match1.25
HorsensHillerød
49%Average possession50%
HorsensHillerød
5.06Shots on target / match5.25
HorsensHillerød

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.56Shots per match11.69
HorsensHillerød
5.06Shots on target5.25
HorsensHillerød
9.7%Shot conversion13.4%
HorsensHillerød
49%Possession50%
HorsensHillerød
1.54xG for1.4
HorsensHillerød
1.15xG against1.37
HorsensHillerød

Shooting quality

Horsens: BalancedHillerød: Efficient finishing
HorsensHillerød
Accuracy (shots on target)37%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hillerød is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Horsens · 1.8 pts / match - Hillerød

Horsens
DWLLW
Season result split
44% W25% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-5
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Hillerød
WDWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W31% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-3
1.81 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DLWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hillerød is 19% better for: goals scored per match.

1.31 goals / match - Horsens · 1.56 goals / match - Hillerød

Horsens is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.88 goals / match - Horsens · 1.25 goals / match - Hillerød

Horsens scoring profile: very strong

Horsens scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Hillerød keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).

Hillerød scoring profile: strong

Hillerød scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Horsens keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).

21Goals scored (season)25
HorsensHillerød
14Goals conceded (season)20
HorsensHillerød
2.19Average goals in match2.81
HorsensHillerød
11Goals scored (last 5)7
HorsensHillerød
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
HorsensHillerød

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal88%
HorsensHillerød
44%2 goals56%
HorsensHillerød
19%3 goals13%
HorsensHillerød
0%4 goals0%
HorsensHillerød

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal88%
HorsensHillerød
25%2 goals25%
HorsensHillerød
13%3 goals13%
HorsensHillerød
0%4 goals0%
HorsensHillerød

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time44%
HorsensHillerød
6%BTTS in both halves0%
HorsensHillerød
25%Scored in both halves38%
HorsensHillerød

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
HorsensHillerød
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
HorsensHillerød
60%BTTS - last 5100%
HorsensHillerød

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
HorsensHillerød
19%Min. 2 goals before half-time69%
HorsensHillerød
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
HorsensHillerød

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
HorsensHillerød
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
HorsensHillerød
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
HorsensHillerød

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Horsens is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.69 pts / match - Horsens · 1.5 pts / match - Hillerød

Horsens - half-time state
44% leading38% draw19% trailing
Hillerød - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.69Points per match (1st half)1.5
HorsensHillerød
0.75Goals scored (1st half)1
HorsensHillerød
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
HorsensHillerød
1.19Average goals (1st half)1.81
HorsensHillerød
63%Clean sheet before half-time38%
HorsensHillerød
50%No goal before half-time31%
HorsensHillerød

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per match (2nd half)1.44
HorsensHillerød
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
HorsensHillerød
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
HorsensHillerød
1Average goals (2nd half)1
HorsensHillerød
69%Clean sheet after half-time56%
HorsensHillerød
56%No goal after half-time44%
HorsensHillerød

Horsens - second-half results

31% W50% D19% L
27
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hillerød - second-half results

31% W50% D19% L
24
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Horsens - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match1.60.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match2.61.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8
Hillerød - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Horsens
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
6
4
31-45
3
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Hillerød
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
6
4
16-30
6
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Horsens

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Hillerød

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

HorsensLigaHillerød
Average goals in match 2.192.81 2.81
Both teams scored 38%56% 81%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%57% 69%
Clean sheets 50%25% 13%
Goal before half-time 69%77% 88%
Goal after half-time 63%81% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.81
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. HillerødGoalAdrian Kappenberger
  2. HorsensGoalAndreas Bruus
  3. HillerødSubstitutionOn: William GlindtvadOff: Lucas Bøje-Larsen
  4. HorsensSubstitutionOn: Sebastian PingelOff: Adam Herdonsson

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Horsens 0 - 0 - 1 Hillerød. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Hillerød Fodbold
2 : 1
AC Horsens

FAQ

What was the result of Horsens vs Hillerød?

The 1st Division match finished Horsens 3:1 Hillerød. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Horsens vs Hillerød?

Horsens score 1.31 goals per game on average and Hillerød 1.56. The 1st Division average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Horsens's matches and 81% of Hillerød's.

What form are Horsens and Hillerød in?

Over the last 5 games Horsens have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hillerød 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Horsens vs Hillerød?

The statistical background for Horsens vs Hillerød — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.