Horsens vs Hvidovre: match statistics
Horsens vs Hvidovre: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Horsens played Hvidovre in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Horsens: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Hvidovre: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Horsens scores 1.31 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Hvidovre scores 1.38 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Horsens 38%, Hvidovre 62%. Over 2.5: Horsens 45%, Hvidovre 48%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Hvidovre has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.34. Horsens: 11.7 shots per match, Hvidovre: 12.7.
Match halves
Horsens: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.62. Hvidovre: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Horsens: 31-45+ (8 goals). Hvidovre: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Horsens shows markedly better form — in the last 5 matches they have 4 wins and 1 draw, scored 11 goals (2.2 per match) and conceded only 2 (0.4 per match), yielding an average of 2.6 points per match in this period. At home Horsens averages 1.71 goals per match, 4.5 shots on target and 14% shooting accuracy, while Hvidovre away scores 1.36 goals per match, has 4.07 shots on target and 10% accuracy, giving the hosts an advantage in quality of chances. Statistically Hvidovre sit higher in the table (2nd) and have 40 goals this season versus Horsens’ 38, and their away xG is 1.44 compared to Horsens’ home xG of 1.36, however the visitors have scored only 5 goals in their last 5 matches and conceded 7 (1.4 per match), which weakens their form. Considering the hosts’ superior form and efficiency and Hvidovre’s worse defensive performances recently, I assign Horsens a 60% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Horsens has a seasonal BTTS frequency of 73% and averages 1.4 goals per game, while Hvidovre has a seasonal BTTS frequency of 50% and averages 1.36 goals per game, so season-long indicators point to both teams’ ability to score. This is supported by similar xG values (Horsens 1.38 vs Hvidovre 1.44), comparable shot counts (12.4 vs 12.93) and shots on target (3.8 vs 4.07), suggesting both sides create scoring opportunities. Contrasting signals come from Horsens’ recent form over the last 5 matches: 11 goals scored and only 2 conceded (avg 2.2 vs 0.4) and just 40% BTTS in that period, whereas Hvidovre has 80% BTTS in their last 5 and have scored 5 but conceded 7 (1.4 per game). Weighing seasonal and recent data, I assess BTTS probability at 62% vs 38% for No Goal and recommend BTTS - Yes as the best pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.39 xG for Horsens (attacking xG 1.38 vs Hvidovre’s average xG conceded 1.40) and 1.37 xG for Hvidovre (attacking xG 1.44 vs Horsens’ average xG conceded 1.29), totalling 2.76 expected goals. A Poisson model with λ=2.76 indicates probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) ≈76%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) ≈52% and at least 4 goals (Over 3.5) ≈30%. Seasonal rates support this view: Horsens has 87% of matches with over 1.5 goals, Hvidovre 71% (average 79%), while over 2.5 goals occurs in 47% and 50% of matches respectively (average ~48%). Horsens is in clear attacking form (last 5: 2.2 scored and 0.4 conceded), whereas Hvidovre in the last 5 have 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded; therefore the strongest data signal is a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Horsens led at half-time in 7 matches (47%) and scores an average of 0.93 goals in the first half versus 0.57 for Hvidovre; the home side also have 22 first-half goals compared to 14 for their opponents. In the last 5 matches Horsens won 4 of 5 (80%) and in those games they averaged 1.4 goals after the break, while Hvidovre registered only 0.2 in the same period, which increases the probability of maintaining the lead. The xG figures are similar (1.38 for Horsens vs 1.44 for Hvidovre), but Horsens have accumulated more points by half-time (26 vs 21) and a higher half-time points average 1.73 vs 1.5 for their rivals, supporting the scenario of the hosts leading and winning. Although over the season Hvidovre have a higher win rate (50% vs 27% for Horsens), Horsens’ advantage in first-half stats and recent form makes the 1/1 option the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Horsens | Hvidovre | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Horsens is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Horsens · 1 pts / match - Hvidovre
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hvidovre is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Horsens · 1.38 goals / match - Hvidovre
Horsens is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Horsens · 1.1 goals / match - Hvidovre
Horsens scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Hvidovre keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
Hvidovre scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Horsens keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Horsens
Over / Under - Hvidovre
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Horsens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hvidovre - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Horsens
Hvidovre
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Horsens | Liga | Hvidovre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 55% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 54% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 79% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Horsens 0 - 2 - 1 Hvidovre. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Horsens vs Hvidovre?
The 1st Division match finished Horsens 1:1 Hvidovre. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Horsens and Hvidovre?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Horsens won 0, Hvidovre won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Horsens vs Hvidovre?
Horsens score 1.31 goals per game on average and Hvidovre 1.38. The 1st Division average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Horsens's matches and 62% of Hvidovre's.
What form are Horsens and Hvidovre in?
Over the last 5 games Horsens have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Hvidovre 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Horsens vs Hvidovre?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Horsens vs Hvidovre: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.