Houston Dynamo FC II vs Colorado Rapids II: match statistics
Houston Dynamo FC II vs Colorado Rapids II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Houston Dynamo FC II played Colorado Rapids II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 18 July 2026. Venue: Aviva Stadium. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Houston Dynamo FC II: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Colorado Rapids II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Houston Dynamo FC II scores 2.31 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Colorado Rapids II scores 0.83 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Houston Dynamo FC II 56%, Colorado Rapids II 56%. Over 2.5: Houston Dynamo FC II 69%, Colorado Rapids II 44%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Houston Dynamo FC II has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.38. Houston Dynamo FC II: 14.8 shots per match, Colorado Rapids II: 11.0.
Match halves
Houston Dynamo FC II: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.31. Colorado Rapids II: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Houston Dynamo FC II: 31-45+ (8 goals). Colorado Rapids II: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Houston Dynamo FC II hold a clear advantage at home: they have won 100% of home matches, averaging 3.17 goals scored and only 0.17 conceded per game, while keeping 83% clean sheets. Colorado Rapids II sit 29th, with just 2 wins this season, no away victories (0%), and concede an average of 2.13 goals on the road with 50% of away matches without scoring. The quality gap in chances is evident: hosts average 16.17 shots with 6.83 on target and a 20% conversion rate, while visitors average 10.75 shots with 4.63 on target and roughly 7% conversion; home xG for Houston is 1.86 versus 1.42 xG for Colorado away. In the last 5 matches the hosts have 2 wins and 3 losses (1.2 PPG), and the visitors 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (1.4 PPG), however the season-long goal difference 37:14 for Houston vs 15:36 for Colorado and defensive differential (+18 at home vs -11 away) strongly favor the hosts. Considering the zero percent home loss rate, Houston’s scoring efficiency and Colorado’s weak away defense, I assess the probability of a Houston win at 80%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 8%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes appears more probable: seasonal BTTS rates are 60% for the home side and 50% for the away, versus a league average of 61%. In the last 5 matches the home team has BTTS at 80% compared to 40% for the away team; Houston in those five games scored 9 and conceded 9 (avg 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded), while Colorado scored 5 and conceded 6 (avg 1.0 and 1.2). Seasonal goals averages highlight defensive issues: the home side concedes 1.9 goals per game, the away side 2.13, and Colorado has 0% clean sheets and 36 goals conceded this season, increasing the likelihood of conceding. xG and shot metrics confirm both teams create chances (attacking xG 1.35 vs 1.42, xG conceded 1.86 vs 1.54, and average shots on target 3.9 and 4.63), with shot conversion rates at 8% vs 7%. Considering 60%/50% seasonal BTTS, 80% BTTS for the home team in the last 5, and 0% clean sheets for the away team, I assign 70% to 'Yes' and 30% to 'No' as the most justified outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Analysis based on the last 5 matches and xG shows Houston has xG = 1.94 over the last 5 games, while Colorado has xG = 1.36, giving combined expected goals of 1.94 + 1.36 = 3.30. Houston averages 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded in the last 5 matches, whereas Colorado averages 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded, which supports a tendency towards goal-filled matches. Seasonal metrics reinforce this: Over 1.5 occurred in 80% of Houston’s games and 100% of Colorado’s games, with the league average at 3.24 goals per match. A Poisson model with λ=3.30 yields roughly an 84% probability for Over 1.5 goals, about 64% for Over 2.5 goals and about 42% for Over 3.5 goals, therefore the strongest and most reliable selection is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches the home side led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%), scoring an average of 1.0 goals before half-time while the visitors averaged 0.0. Season-to-date the home team averages 1.2 points at half-time versus 0.5 for the away side, and on average score 0.5 and concede 0.7 by the break, which confirms a home advantage at half-time. However, after the break the home team concedes an average of 1.6 goals in the second half over the last 5 matches, while the visitors earn an average of 2.0 points in second halves and win 60% of second halves, increasing the likelihood of a turnaround by the away team. xG is similar (1.35 for the hosts vs 1.42 for the visitors) and shots on target are 3.9 vs 4.63, while season BTTS is 60% for the home side and 50% for the away side, which supports a full-time draw scenario. Therefore the most probable outcome is 1/X (home leading at half-time, draw after 90 minutes), with 1/1 and 1/2 as secondary options due to the hosts' vulnerability to conceding after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Houston Dynamo FC II | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Colorado Rapids II is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Houston Dynamo FC II · 1.4 pts / match - Colorado Rapids II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Houston Dynamo FC II is 178% better for: goals scored per match.
2.31 goals / match - Houston Dynamo FC II · 0.83 goals / match - Colorado Rapids II
Houston Dynamo FC II is 127% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Houston Dynamo FC II · 2 goals / match - Colorado Rapids II
Houston Dynamo FC II scores in 100% of matches (16 of 16 matches), while Colorado Rapids II keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Colorado Rapids II scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Houston Dynamo FC II keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Houston Dynamo FC II
Over / Under - Colorado Rapids II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Houston Dynamo FC II is 118% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.94 pts / match - Houston Dynamo FC II · 0.89 pts / match - Colorado Rapids II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Houston Dynamo FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Colorado Rapids II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Houston Dynamo FC II
Colorado Rapids II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Houston Dynamo FC II | Liga | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.19 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 62% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 66% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 22% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Houston Dynamo FC II 3 - 1 - 1 Colorado Rapids II. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Houston Dynamo FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Houston Dynamo FC II 2:1 Colorado Rapids II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Houston Dynamo FC II and Colorado Rapids II?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Houston Dynamo FC II won 3, Colorado Rapids II won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Houston Dynamo FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
Houston Dynamo FC II score 2.31 goals per game on average and Colorado Rapids II 0.83. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Houston Dynamo FC II's matches and 56% of Colorado Rapids II's.
What form are Houston Dynamo FC II and Colorado Rapids II in?
Over the last 5 games Houston Dynamo FC II have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Colorado Rapids II 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Houston Dynamo FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.