Houston Dynamo vs Austin: match statistics
Houston Dynamo vs Austin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Houston Dynamo played Austin in MLS (United States). The match was played on 26 July 2026. Venue: Shell Energy Stadium. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Houston Dynamo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Austin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Houston Dynamo scores 1.33 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Austin scores 1.38 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Houston Dynamo 47%, Austin 63%. Over 2.5: Houston Dynamo 40%, Austin 75%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Houston Dynamo has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.23. Houston Dynamo: 13.6 shots per match, Austin: 10.5.
Match halves
Houston Dynamo: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.80. Austin: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Houston Dynamo: 31-45+ (6 goals). Austin: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Houston Dynamo are favorites in this matchup due to superior home defense: the hosts concede an average of 0.86 goals per home game and keep a clean sheet in 43% of home matches, while Austin concedes 3.13 goals on average away and has recorded no clean sheets outside their own stadium. In attack, Dynamo generate an average xG of 1.42 and register 4.43 shots on target from 12.57 total shots in home matches, whereas Austin have an away xG of 1.00 and only 3.0 shots on target per game, despite a higher conversion rate of 14%. Recent form shows Houston have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches and are averaging 1.6 points per game in that period, while Austin have scored 5 goals and average 0.8 points per game. Additionally, the hosts have a home goal difference of +2 and a 71% home win rate, whereas the visitors have an away goal difference of -15 and a 0% win rate on the road, which underscores the home advantage. Considering the hosts’ defensive stability, higher expected conversion of created chances and Austin’s defensive weaknesses, I expect a Houston win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The key argument for BTTS - Yes is Austin’s very poor defense: they concede an average of 3.13 goals per match and have 0% clean sheets this season, so it is highly likely they will concede against Houston. Houston posts a season xG of 1.46 versus Austin’s xG_against of 2.58, suggesting the hosts will create chances; meanwhile Austin has xG_for 1.00 against Houston’s defense with xG_against 1.41, giving the visitors a real chance to score. In the last 5 matches Houston averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Austin averaged 1.0 scored and 2.4 conceded, so both teams have been producing goals in recent form. Additionally Austin’s season BTTS rate is 75% versus Houston’s 43% and a league average of 61%, therefore the overall balance of signals favors a both teams to score scenario; despite Houston having 57% clean sheets this season, the numerical advantage on Austin’s concessions makes backing BTTS - Yes the stronger play.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive data indicate a high-chance scoring affair: Houston at home has xG_for 1.46, while Austin away allows xG_against 2.58, yielding an estimated home expected goals ~2.02. Austin posts xG_for 1.00, and Houston has xG_against 1.41, projecting about 1.20 goals for the visitors and a total xG of 3.22, close to the league average of 3.3. Seasonal percentages confirm the offensive profiles: Houston has over1.5 in 71% of matches, Austin in 100%; over2.5 is 43% for Houston and 100% for Austin; over3.5 is 14% for the home side and 75% for the visitors, which provides a strong signal for Over 1.5 and a meaningful probability for Over 2.5. Additionally, Houston averages 12.57 shots (4.86 on target) versus Austin’s 8.75 (3.0 on target), and Austin concedes 3.13 goals on the road, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals. Therefore my strongest signal is the Over line at 1.5; I estimate probability of Over1.5 ~90%, Over2.5 ~70% and Over3.5 ~40%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back X/1 — a draw at Half-Time and a Houston win Full-Time. Houston scores an average of 1.29 goals per home match and averages 1.57 points per match, while Austin averages 0.38 points and concedes 3.13 goals per match versus 0.86 conceded by Houston, which strongly favors the home side. In the first half Austin has a slightly higher output (0.75 goals vs. 0.57 for Houston) and led at the break in 3 matches (38%), while the hosts led in 2 matches (29%), hence a higher probability of a draw at Half-Time. After the break Austin concedes on average 2.38 goals and as the away team has not kept a clean sheet (0%), whereas Houston has clean sheets in 57% of matches, supporting a turnaround in favor of the home team in the second half. Additionally, the hosts’ xG of 1.46 versus 1.00 for the visitors and recent form over the last 5 matches (Houston: W L W D D; Austin: W D L L L) reinforce the HT draw / Full-Time Houston win scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Houston Dynamo | Austin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Houston Dynamo is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Houston Dynamo · 0.8 pts / match - Austin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Houston Dynamo is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Houston Dynamo · 2 goals / match - Austin
Houston Dynamo scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Austin keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Austin scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Houston Dynamo keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Houston Dynamo
Over / Under - Austin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Austin is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Houston Dynamo · 1.44 pts / match - Austin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Houston Dynamo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Austin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Houston Dynamo
Austin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Houston Dynamo | Liga | Austin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.93 | 3.27 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 22% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Houston Dynamo 0 - 0 - 1 Austin. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Houston Dynamo vs Austin?
The MLS match finished Houston Dynamo 3:0 Austin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Houston Dynamo vs Austin?
Houston Dynamo score 1.33 goals per game on average and Austin 1.38. The MLS average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Houston Dynamo's matches and 63% of Austin's.
What form are Houston Dynamo and Austin in?
Over the last 5 games Houston Dynamo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Austin 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Houston Dynamo vs Austin?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Houston Dynamo vs Austin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.