United States - MLSShell Energy StadiumData current as of 21 October 2026

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Houston Dynamo play Minnesota United in MLS (United States). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Shell Energy Stadium.

Current form

Houston Dynamo: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Minnesota United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Houston Dynamo scores 1.37 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Minnesota United scores 1.57 and concedes 1.83. League average: 3.25 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Houston Dynamo 43%, Minnesota United 73%. Over 2.5: Houston Dynamo 43%, Minnesota United 67%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Minnesota United has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.43. Houston Dynamo: 13.1 shots per match, Minnesota United: 13.9.

Match halves

Houston Dynamo: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.73. Minnesota United: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.03.

Goals by minute

Houston Dynamo: 31-45+ (12 goals). Minnesota United: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.00)
(3.80)
(3.30)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Houston DynamoMinnesota United
1.37Goals scored / match1.57
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
1.3Goals conceded / match1.83
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
48%Average possession46%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
4.43Shots on target / match4.97
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.07Shots per match13.87
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
4.43Shots on target4.97
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
10.5%Shot conversion11.3%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
48%Possession46%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
1.43xG for1.57
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
1.49xG against1.47
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

Shooting quality

Houston Dynamo: BalancedMinnesota United: Balanced
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Minnesota United is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Houston Dynamo · 1 pts / match - Minnesota United

Houston Dynamo
DLDDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
43% W27% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-8-9
1.57 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-3
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Minnesota United
LLDDW
Season result split
27% W33% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-10-12
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Minnesota United is 15% better for: goals scored per match.

1.37 goals / match - Houston Dynamo · 1.57 goals / match - Minnesota United

Houston Dynamo is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.3 goals / match - Houston Dynamo · 1.83 goals / match - Minnesota United

Houston Dynamo scoring profile: very strong

Houston Dynamo scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Minnesota United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).

Minnesota United scoring profile: very strong

Minnesota United scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Houston Dynamo keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).

41Goals scored (season)47
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
39Goals conceded (season)55
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
2.67Average goals in match3.4
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
9Goals scored (last 5)10
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
11Goals conceded (last 5)12
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal83%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
43%2 goals47%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
17%3 goals17%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
3%4 goals7%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal83%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
40%2 goals57%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
13%3 goals23%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
7%4 goals10%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

73%
Minnesota United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.22 of 30 matches
64%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time27%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
0%BTTS in both halves10%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
13%Scored in both halves17%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
80%BTTS - last 5100%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Houston Dynamo is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / match - Houston Dynamo · 0.87 pts / match - Minnesota United

Houston Dynamo - half-time state
37% leading37% draw27% trailing
Minnesota United - half-time state
20% leading27% draw53% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per match (1st half)0.87
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.53
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)1.03
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
1.2Average goals (1st half)1.57
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
60%Clean sheet before half-time30%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
60%No goal before half-time63%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per match (2nd half)1.53
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)1.03
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.83
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
57%Clean sheet after half-time37%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
53%No goal after half-time37%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

Houston Dynamo - second-half results

33% W37% D30% L
44
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Minnesota United - second-half results

37% W43% D20% L
26
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.87
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Houston Dynamo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match2.02.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Minnesota United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.00
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match1.41.0
Average goals in match1.82.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-5+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Houston Dynamo
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
6
6
16-30
12
6
31-45
6
6
46-60
8
3
61-75
8
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Minnesota United
ScoredConceded
4
12
0-15
4
12
16-30
8
7
31-45
9
8
46-60
13
6
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.04
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+32%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Houston Dynamo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.77
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 2% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Minnesota United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

Houston DynamoLigaMinnesota United
Average goals in match▼ 2.673.25▲ 3.40
Both teams scored▼ 43%64%▲ 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 43%64%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 37%20%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%78%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%82%▼ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.25
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / match
1.41
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Houston Dynamo 0 - 1 - 0 Minnesota United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United play?

Houston Dynamo face Minnesota United on 25 October 2026 in MLS at Shell Energy Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United?

Houston Dynamo score 1.37 goals per game on average and Minnesota United 1.57. The MLS average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Houston Dynamo's matches and 73% of Minnesota United's.

What form are Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United in?

Over the last 5 games Houston Dynamo have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Minnesota United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United?

The statistical background for Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.