Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders: match statistics
Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Houston Dynamo played Seattle Sounders in MLS (United States). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Houston Dynamo: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match. Seattle Sounders: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Houston Dynamo scores 2.00 and concedes 2.25 goals per match. Seattle Sounders scores 1.00 and concedes 0.40. League average: 3.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Houston Dynamo 75%, Seattle Sounders 20%. Over 2.5: Houston Dynamo 75%, Seattle Sounders 20%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Houston Dynamo has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.35. Houston Dynamo: 12.8 shots per match, Seattle Sounders: 10.8.
Match halves
Houston Dynamo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25. Seattle Sounders: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Houston Dynamo: 76-90+ (3 goals). Seattle Sounders: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Seattle Sounders win because their form is clearly superior — in the last 5 matches they have 4 wins and 1 draw (avg. 2.6 points per game) versus Houston, who in their last 5 have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (1.4 PPG). Defensively Seattle is significantly stronger away: they concede on average 0.5 goals per game and have 75% clean sheets, while Houston at home concede 1.67 goals per game and have no clean sheets. Houston’s attack at home is more active in terms of shots (13.67 vs 9.75) and has a higher conversion rate (12% vs 8% for Seattle), but average shots on target are practically equal (4.33 vs 4.25). The possession gap of 51% to 40% and Seattle’s superior recent results (PPG 2.6 vs 1.4) suggest the visitors will control the match and have a higher probability of winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The dominant signal indicates No BTTS: the home side has a seasonal BTTS rate of 0% and 100% clean sheets at home, while the visitors have 75% clean sheets and only 25% of matches with Goal/Goal; these figures (0%, 100%, 75%, 25%) strongly support the No scenario. Additionally, Houston averages 2.0 goals scored per game versus 0.75 for Seattle, and expected xG are 1.77 for the hosts and 1.25 for the visitors, suggesting a home attacking edge without a required concession. Although in the last 5 home matches BTTS occurred in 60% and for the visitors in 20% (60% vs 20%), the league average clean sheet rate of 56% and overall seasonal tendencies favor clean-sheet outcomes. Considering the above data and average xG against for the visitors 1.64 and against the hosts 1.07, I estimate the probability of BTTS No at 80% and BTTS Yes at 20%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects a total of approximately 2.87 goals (expected goals: Houston 1.71 vs Seattle 1.16), calculated as the average of attacking xG and defensive xG (1.77 + 1.64 → 1.71 for Houston; 1.25 + 1.07 → 1.16 for Seattle). Houston averages 15.0 shots and 5.0 on target with a conversion rate of 13.0%, versus Seattle’s 9.75 shots and 4.25 on target with an 8.0% conversion, which increases the hosts’ scoring probability. Seasonally Houston averages 2.0 goals per match and 100% of their games are over 1.5 goals, while the league average goals per game is 3.03, further supporting the Over 1.5 option. Using a Poisson distribution with λ=2.87 yields P(over 1.5)≈78%, P(over 2.5)≈55% and P(over 3.5)≈32%, therefore the strongest and safest signal from the data is Over 1.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Houston led at the break in 100% of their home matches (1 of 1) and averages 1.0 goals by half-time while conceding none (0.0 HT). Over full matches, the hosts average 2.0 goals at home and 0.0 conceded (seasonScoredAVG_home 2.0, seasonConcededAVG_home 0.0), whereas Seattle on the road averages 0.75 scored and 0.5 conceded (seasonScoredAVG_away 0.75, seasonConcededAVG_away 0.5). Houston produces a higher xG of 1.77 versus the visitors' 1.25, averages 15.0 shots (Seattle 9.75) and 5.0 shots on target (Seattle 4.25) with a conversion rate of 13% vs 8%, indicating a clear offensive advantage. The visitors are in good overall form (last 5 matches: 4 wins and a draw; last5_winPercentage_overall_away 80%), but their first-half away stats are weak (scoredAVGHT_away 0.25, concededAVGHT_away 0.25). Due to Houston’s first-half dominance, superior xG/shots metrics and 100% home clean sheets, I select HT/FT 1/1 as the strongest and most likely scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Houston Dynamo | Seattle Sounders | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Seattle Sounders is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Houston Dynamo · 2 pts / match - Seattle Sounders
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Houston Dynamo is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Houston Dynamo · 1 goals / match - Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders is 463% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.25 goals / match - Houston Dynamo · 0.4 goals / match - Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Seattle Sounders keeps a clean sheet in 80% (4 of 5 matches).
Seattle Sounders scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Houston Dynamo keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Houston Dynamo
Over / Under - Seattle Sounders
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Seattle Sounders is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Houston Dynamo · 1.6 pts / match - Seattle Sounders
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Houston Dynamo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Seattle Sounders - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 25% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Houston Dynamo | Liga | Seattle Sounders | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 3.12 | ▼ 1.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 54% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 63% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 27% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders?
The MLS match finished Houston Dynamo 0:1 Seattle Sounders. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders?
Houston Dynamo score 2.00 goals per game on average and Seattle Sounders 1.00. The MLS average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Houston Dynamo's matches and 20% of Seattle Sounders's.
What form are Houston Dynamo and Seattle Sounders in?
Over the last 5 games Houston Dynamo have a 2-0-2 record (1.50 points per game) and Seattle Sounders 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders?
The statistical background for Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.