Hrvace vs Cibalia: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match with a slight edge for the hosts. Hrvace are 10th in the table, but they show solid home form with a 36% win rate and a +1 goal difference at their own stadium. Cibalia, despite occupying a higher league position (4th place), perform poorly on the road with a 45% loss rate and a negative goal difference (-1). Both teams have similar average goals per match (2.09) and comparable xG values, suggesting evenly matched attacking potential. The recent form of both sides is inconsistent (Hrvace 1.4 PPG, Cibalia 1.2 PPG in their last 5 matches), which raises the probability of a draw. Considering Hrvace's home advantage and Cibalia's away struggles, the most likely result is a share of the points.
Hrvace vs Cibalia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hrvace played Cibalia in Druga HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Hrvace: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cibalia: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hrvace scores 0.96 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Cibalia scores 1.30 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hrvace 48%, Cibalia 43%. Over 2.5: Hrvace 52%, Cibalia 43%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Cibalia has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.14. Hrvace: 8.4 shots per match, Cibalia: 9.3.
Match halves
Hrvace: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.48. Cibalia: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Hrvace: 0-15 (5 goals). Cibalia: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Druga HNL: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match with a slight edge for the hosts. Hrvace are 10th in the table, but they show solid home form with a 36% win rate and a +1 goal difference at their own stadium. Cibalia, despite occupying a higher league position (4th place), perform poorly on the road with a 45% loss rate and a negative goal difference (-1). Both teams have similar average goals per match (2.09) and comparable xG values, suggesting evenly matched attacking potential. The recent form of both sides is inconsistent (Hrvace 1.4 PPG, Cibalia 1.2 PPG in their last 5 matches), which raises the probability of a draw. Considering Hrvace's home advantage and Cibalia's away struggles, the most likely result is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The seasonal BTTS rate for both teams stands at 45% each, but the league as a whole has a lower BTTS level (42%) and a very high clean sheet percentage (67%), favoring scenarios where one side fails to score. Hrvace boasts a solid defense (0.82 goals conceded per match and 45% clean sheets), while Cibalia averages only 1.0 goal per match, making the risk of the visitors not scoring significant. Furthermore, Hrvace's last 5 matches show low offensive productivity (0.6 goals per match) and only a 20% BTTS rate, reducing the overall likelihood of goals from both sides. Although xG metrics suggest decent scoring potential (xG for: 1.55 vs 1.31), the league's defensive profile and the hosts' defensive stability shift the balance towards BTTS = NO. The most probable outcomes are results like 1:0, 2:0, or 1:1, with the no-goal-for-one-team scenario occurring more frequently.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal model indicates a moderately scoring match (expected_goals_total=2.30), closer to the league average (2.16) than high-scoring scenarios. Seasonal data supports a lower goal ceiling: Over 3.5 occurs rarely (Hrvace 27%, Cibalia 18%), while Under 3.5 dominates (73% and 82% respectively). Both teams also have a high clean sheet rate (45% each), which reduces the probability of an 'open' match with 4+ goals. Although Cibalia in their last 5 matches has a high Over 2.5 (80%) and BTTS (80%), Hrvace in the same period plays much more cautiously (0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match), which stabilizes the total outcome. The comparison of chance quality (xG for/against) suggests a range of 2–3 goals rather than 4+, therefore the strongest pick is Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for the half-time result is a draw: Hrvace are level at HT in 64% of matches, and both teams have very low goal output in the first half (scoredAVGHT of 0.36 each; AVGHT 0.73–0.91). Simultaneously, Hrvace have a stronger seasonal profile at Full-Time (PPG 1.91 vs 1.27; scored 1.64 vs 1.00; conceded 0.82 vs 1.09), which increases the likelihood of them swinging the match after the break. Second-half data supports the scenario of the hosts grinding out the victory: Hrvace win the second half in 64% of cases, scoring an average of 1.27 goals with a low concession of 0.45. Cibalia more often draw the second half (55%) and have lower scoring output (0.64), alongside a very high failure to score in the second half rate (64%), suggesting issues with responding with goals after halftime. Despite Cibalia's better scoring form in the last 5 matches (1.6 goals per game), the high share of draws at HT and Hrvace's second-half superiority make the X/1 (Draw/Hrvace) variant the most probable.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hrvace | Cibalia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hrvace is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Hrvace · 1.2 pts / match - Cibalia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cibalia is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Hrvace · 1.3 goals / match - Cibalia
Cibalia is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Hrvace · 0.91 goals / match - Cibalia
Hrvace scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Cibalia keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
Cibalia scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Hrvace keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hrvace
Over / Under - Cibalia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hrvace - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cibalia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hrvace
Cibalia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Druga HNL).
Teams vs league
| Hrvace | Liga | Cibalia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.30 | 2.16 | • 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 41% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 39% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 34% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Hrvace 1 - 1 - 0 Cibalia. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hrvace vs Cibalia?
The Druga HNL match finished Hrvace 2:1 Cibalia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hrvace and Cibalia?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hrvace won 1, Cibalia won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hrvace vs Cibalia?
Hrvace score 0.96 goals per game on average and Cibalia 1.30. The Druga HNL average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Hrvace's matches and 43% of Cibalia's.
What form are Hrvace and Cibalia in?
Over the last 5 games Hrvace have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cibalia 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hrvace vs Cibalia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hrvace vs Cibalia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.