Croatia - Druga HNLGradski Stadion, FocaData current as of 16 October 2026

Hrvace vs Kustošija: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Hrvace vs Kustošija: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hrvace play Kustošija in Druga HNL (Croatia). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Gradski Stadion, Foca.

Current form

Hrvace: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Kustošija: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hrvace scores 0.88 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Kustošija scores 0.50 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.38 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hrvace 38%, Kustošija 38%. Over 2.5: Hrvace 63%, Kustošija 13%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Hrvace has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.10. Hrvace: 7.5 shots per match, Kustošija: 7.9.

Match halves

Hrvace: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38. Kustošija: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.38.

Goals by minute

Hrvace: 31-45+ (4 goals). Kustošija: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Druga HNL: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.47)
(3.10)
(2.70)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.88Goals scored / match0.5
HrvaceKustošija
1.63Goals conceded / match0.75
HrvaceKustošija
52%Average possession47%
HrvaceKustošija
3.75Shots on target / match3.25
HrvaceKustošija

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.5Shots per match7.88
HrvaceKustošija
3.75Shots on target3.25
HrvaceKustošija
11.7%Shot conversion6.3%
HrvaceKustošija
52%Possession47%
HrvaceKustošija
1.24xG for1.1
HrvaceKustošija
1.16xG against1.38
HrvaceKustošija

Shooting quality

Hrvace: BalancedKustošija: Balanced
HrvaceKustošija
Accuracy (shots on target)50%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.15

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hrvace is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Hrvace · 1 pts / match - Kustošija

Hrvace
LDWWL
Season result split
25% W13% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-5
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
LDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Kustošija
LDWLD
Season result split
13% W50% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-3
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-1
Last 5 away
0-4-1
DDDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hrvace is 76% better for: goals scored per match.

0.88 goals / match - Hrvace · 0.5 goals / match - Kustošija

Kustošija is 117% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.63 goals / match - Hrvace · 0.75 goals / match - Kustošija

Hrvace scoring profile: mixed

Hrvace scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Kustošija keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

Kustošija scoring profile: strong

Kustošija scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Hrvace keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

7Goals scored (season)4
HrvaceKustošija
13Goals conceded (season)6
HrvaceKustošija
2.5Average goals in match1.25
HrvaceKustošija
6Goals scored (last 5)2
HrvaceKustošija
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
HrvaceKustošija

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal50%
HrvaceKustošija
25%2 goals0%
HrvaceKustošija
13%3 goals0%
HrvaceKustošija
0%4 goals0%
HrvaceKustošija

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal63%
HrvaceKustošija
38%2 goals13%
HrvaceKustošija
38%3 goals0%
HrvaceKustošija
13%4 goals0%
HrvaceKustošija

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time0%
HrvaceKustošija
0%BTTS in both halves0%
HrvaceKustošija
25%Scored in both halves0%
HrvaceKustošija

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS13%
HrvaceKustošija
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
HrvaceKustošija
40%BTTS - last 520%
HrvaceKustošija

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time25%
HrvaceKustošija
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
HrvaceKustošija
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
HrvaceKustošija

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
HrvaceKustošija
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time13%
HrvaceKustošija
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
HrvaceKustošija

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hrvace is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Hrvace · 1.13 pts / match - Kustošija

Hrvace - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing
Kustošija - half-time state
13% leading75% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.13
HrvaceKustošija
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.13
HrvaceKustošija
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.13
HrvaceKustošija
1Average goals (1st half)0.25
HrvaceKustošija
63%Clean sheet before half-time88%
HrvaceKustošija
50%No goal before half-time88%
HrvaceKustošija

After half-time (2nd half)

0.88Points per match (2nd half)1
HrvaceKustošija
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
HrvaceKustošija
1.13Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
HrvaceKustošija
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1
HrvaceKustošija
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
HrvaceKustošija
75%No goal after half-time63%
HrvaceKustošija

Hrvace - second-half results

13% W50% D38% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding66%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kustošija - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
9
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hrvace - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Kustošija - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.20.8
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hrvace
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
4
16-30
4
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
4
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Kustošija
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
79%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hrvace

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.83
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
158%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Kustošija

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
49%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Druga HNL).

Teams vs league

HrvaceLigaKustošija
Average goals in match▲ 2.502.38▼ 1.25
Both teams scored▼ 38%53%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 63%45%▼ 13%
Clean sheets▼ 25%27%▲ 38%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%64%▼ 25%
Goal after half-time▼ 63%69%▲ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.38
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Hrvace and Kustošija play?

Hrvace face Kustošija on 17 October 2026 in Druga HNL at Gradski Stadion, Foca. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hrvace vs Kustošija?

Hrvace score 0.88 goals per game on average and Kustošija 0.50. The Druga HNL average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Hrvace's matches and 38% of Kustošija's.

What form are Hrvace and Kustošija in?

Over the last 5 games Hrvace have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kustošija 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hrvace vs Kustošija?

The statistical background for Hrvace vs Kustošija — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.