Hull City vs Derby County: match statistics
Derby County displays decisively better away form with 50% wins and a positive goal difference (+8) on the road, while Hull City has a negative record (-2) at home. The hosts are in dismal shape, losing three of their last five matches and earning merely 0.8 points per match. Derby shows greater offensive efficiency away from home (1.63 goals/match vs Hull's 1.41 at home) and better shot conversion (17% vs 13%). Hull concedes an average of 1.53 goals in home matches, which, given Derby's offensive power, makes the visitors the favorites. Additionally, Derby has a significantly lower percentage of matches without scoring away (13% vs Hull's 24% at home), confirming their scoring consistency.
Hull City vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hull City played Derby County in Championship (England). The match was played on 24 February 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Hull City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Derby County: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hull City scores 1.59 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Derby County scores 1.42 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hull City 63%, Derby County 67%. Over 2.5: Hull City 66%, Derby County 48%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Hull City has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.16. Hull City: 11.2 shots per match, Derby County: 9.9.
Match halves
Hull City: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.72. Derby County: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Hull City: 31-45+ (11 goals). Derby County: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Derby County displays decisively better away form with 50% wins and a positive goal difference (+8) on the road, while Hull City has a negative record (-2) at home. The hosts are in dismal shape, losing three of their last five matches and earning merely 0.8 points per match. Derby shows greater offensive efficiency away from home (1.63 goals/match vs Hull's 1.41 at home) and better shot conversion (17% vs 13%). Hull concedes an average of 1.53 goals in home matches, which, given Derby's offensive power, makes the visitors the favorites. Additionally, Derby has a significantly lower percentage of matches without scoring away (13% vs Hull's 24% at home), confirming their scoring consistency.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hull City | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hull City is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Hull City · 1.42 goals / match - Derby County
Derby County is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Hull City · 1.24 goals / match - Derby County
Hull City scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
Derby County scores in 91% of matches (30 of 33 matches), while Hull City keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hull City
Over / Under - Derby County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hull City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hull City
Derby County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Hull City | Liga | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.03 | 2.58 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hull City 0 - 0 - 1 Derby County. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hull City vs Derby County?
The Championship match finished Hull City 4:2 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hull City vs Derby County?
Hull City score 1.59 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.42. The Championship average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Hull City's matches and 67% of Derby County's.
What form are Hull City and Derby County in?
Over the last 5 games Hull City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Derby County 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hull City vs Derby County?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hull City vs Derby County: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.