Hull City vs Manchester United: match statistics

Both teams have collected 8 points from their last five matches, recording identical records of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Manchester United have been significantly more clinical, however, scoring 11 goals during this period compared with Hull City’s 6. The hosts have shown greater defensive solidity, conceding just 4 goals in their last five matches, while the visitors have allowed 7 opposition goals. Hull sit 11th in the home table, while Manchester United are 16th in the away standings. Combined with both teams recording two draws in their last five appearances, this increases the likelihood of a share of the points. The visitors’ attacking advantage could offset Hull’s home-field edge, but the available data does not point to a clear favourite.

The BTTS signal is moderately positive, as both teams scored in 80% of Manchester United’s last 5 matches, compared with 40% for Hull City. The visitors scored 11 goals during this period, averaging 2.2 per game, while Hull scored 6, averaging 1.2, giving the hosts a realistic basis for finding the net. Hull generated an average of 1.36 xG, while United conceded an average of 1.4 goals and allowed opponents 1.21 xG per match. On the other hand, Hull’s defence conceded only 0.8 goals per game, but its xG against stood at 1.54, suggesting that opponents regularly created high-quality chances. Manchester United’s attacking advantage and both sides’ vulnerability in chance creation slightly favour the scenario in which each team scores at least once, supporting BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal rather than BTTS - No / No Goal.

The latest form points to a match with goalscoring potential, as Manchester United have averaged 2.2 goals in their last 5 matches, while Hull City have averaged 1.2. The visitors scored 11 goals during this period, whereas the hosts allowed their opponents only 4 goals, which limits the outlook for higher goal lines. The quality of chances created is, however, evenly matched: Hull’s xG stands at 1.36 and Manchester United’s at 1.53, with the hosts’ xG conceded at 1.54. At least 3 goals were scored in 3 of the visitors’ last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 80% of those games, giving the 1.5 line a clearer edge than the riskier Over 2.5. The season data contains no useful figures, so the assessment is based primarily on the current five-match run and favors the safer Over 1.5.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Manchester United win at full-time (X/2), as both teams were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches. Hull scored just 0.2 goals before half-time during this period and failed to score before the break in 80% of their matches, clearly limiting the hosts’ chances of taking an early lead. Manchester United averaged 2.2 goals per match compared with Hull’s 1.2, while scoring 1.4 goals per game after the break; the hosts, meanwhile, conceded an average of 0.6 goals in second halves. The visitors also kept clean sheets in the second half in 80% of their recent matches, so after an even opening, they have stronger grounds to turn the result in their favour.