Hull City vs Millwall: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely even, confirmed by the close position of both teams in the table (Hull 5th, Millwall 4th). Hull City presents solid home form with 50% wins at home, however, the last five overall matches brought only 1.2 points per game and a record of 2-0-3. Millwall is in clearly better disposition, earning 2.4 points per game in the last five meetings (4 wins, 1 loss) and possessing a better goal difference on the road (+2). A key factor is the visitors' defense – averaging just 1.12 goals conceded away and 35% clean sheets, which surpasses Hull's offensive capabilities (1.56 goals scored at home). Considering the hosts' weaker recent form and Millwall's solidity and momentum, I expect a fierce duel with a slight advantage for the visitors or a draw.
Hull City vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hull City played Millwall in Championship (England). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Hull City: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Millwall: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hull City scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Millwall scores 1.34 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hull City 60%, Millwall 46%. Over 2.5: Hull City 63%, Millwall 49%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Millwall has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.25. Hull City: 10.7 shots per match, Millwall: 12.8.
Match halves
Hull City: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.74. Millwall: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Hull City: 31-45+ (12 goals). Millwall: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely even, confirmed by the close position of both teams in the table (Hull 5th, Millwall 4th). Hull City presents solid home form with 50% wins at home, however, the last five overall matches brought only 1.2 points per game and a record of 2-0-3. Millwall is in clearly better disposition, earning 2.4 points per game in the last five meetings (4 wins, 1 loss) and possessing a better goal difference on the road (+2). A key factor is the visitors' defense – averaging just 1.12 goals conceded away and 35% clean sheets, which surpasses Hull's offensive capabilities (1.56 goals scored at home). Considering the hosts' weaker recent form and Millwall's solidity and momentum, I expect a fierce duel with a slight advantage for the visitors or a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hull City | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millwall is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Hull City · 2.4 pts / match - Millwall
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hull City is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Hull City · 1.34 goals / match - Millwall
Millwall is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Hull City · 1.14 goals / match - Millwall
Hull City scores in 83% of matches (29 of 35 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 40% (14 of 35 matches).
Millwall scores in 80% of matches (28 of 35 matches), while Hull City keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hull City
Over / Under - Millwall
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hull City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 51%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 51%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hull City
Millwall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Hull City | Liga | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.49 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 51% | ▼ 49% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hull City 1 - 0 - 0 Millwall. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hull City vs Millwall?
The Championship match finished Hull City 1:3 Millwall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hull City vs Millwall?
Hull City score 1.60 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.34. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Hull City's matches and 46% of Millwall's.
What form are Hull City and Millwall in?
Over the last 5 games Hull City have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Millwall 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hull City vs Millwall?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hull City vs Millwall: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.