Hull City vs Stoke City: match statistics
Hull City are currently displaying outstanding form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.6 points per game. The hosts sit 4th in the table and boast a 58% home win rate, with an average of 1.58 goals per home game. Conversely, Stoke City are in a deep crisis, earning just 0.8 points per game in their last five outings and losing three of them. The visitors struggle with efficiency on the road (failing to score in 50% of matches, averaging a mere 0.92 goals), which is reflected in their poor 33% away win rate. Hull also hold the advantage in their last twelve home fixtures (9W-2D-1L), which, combined with Stoke's poor run (wwlddlwwllll away), points towards a home win. The disparity in form and home/away statistics suggests a clear advantage for Hull City in this clash.
Hull City vs Stoke City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hull City played Stoke City in Championship (England). The match was played on 1 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Hull City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Stoke City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hull City scores 1.67 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Stoke City scores 1.21 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hull City 67%, Stoke City 38%. Over 2.5: Hull City 67%, Stoke City 46%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Stoke City has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.27. Hull City: 11.1 shots per match, Stoke City: 11.4.
Match halves
Hull City: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.83. Stoke City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Hull City: 0-15 (8 goals). Stoke City: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hull City are currently displaying outstanding form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.6 points per game. The hosts sit 4th in the table and boast a 58% home win rate, with an average of 1.58 goals per home game. Conversely, Stoke City are in a deep crisis, earning just 0.8 points per game in their last five outings and losing three of them. The visitors struggle with efficiency on the road (failing to score in 50% of matches, averaging a mere 0.92 goals), which is reflected in their poor 33% away win rate. Hull also hold the advantage in their last twelve home fixtures (9W-2D-1L), which, combined with Stoke's poor run (wwlddlwwllll away), points towards a home win. The disparity in form and home/away statistics suggests a clear advantage for Hull City in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hull City | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hull City is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Hull City · 0.8 pts / match - Stoke City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hull City is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Hull City · 1.21 goals / match - Stoke City
Stoke City is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Hull City · 0.96 goals / match - Stoke City
Hull City scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Stoke City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
Stoke City scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Hull City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hull City
Over / Under - Stoke City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hull City is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Hull City · 1.42 pts / match - Stoke City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hull City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stoke City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hull City
Stoke City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Hull City | Liga | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.21 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 51% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hull City 1 - 0 - 0 Stoke City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hull City vs Stoke City?
The Championship match finished Hull City 0:1 Stoke City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hull City vs Stoke City?
Hull City score 1.67 goals per game on average and Stoke City 1.21. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Hull City's matches and 38% of Stoke City's.
What form are Hull City and Stoke City in?
Over the last 5 games Hull City have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Stoke City 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hull City vs Stoke City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.