Hull City vs Watford: match statistics
Hull City demonstrates decidedly better form than Watford, earning 2.6 points per match in the last five meetings and recording a streak of four wins and one draw. Watford is in crisis – winless in the last five matches (0.4 points per match) and having conceded eight goals during this period. Hull holds the advantage at home with 57% wins at their own stadium and an average of 1.5 goals per match, while Watford wins only 23% of away matches and scores an average of 1.15 goals. Hull's positive goal difference (+1) in home matches contrasts with Watford's negative balance (-3) on the road. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.26 vs 1.21), which, given the current form of both teams, makes a Hull victory the most probable scenario, although a draw is also realistic due to Watford's tendency to split points (38% draws away).
Hull City vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hull City played Watford in Championship (England). The match was played on 3 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Hull City: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Watford: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hull City scores 1.66 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Watford scores 1.34 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hull City 62%, Watford 66%. Over 2.5: Hull City 66%, Watford 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Watford has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.30. Hull City: 11.3 shots per match, Watford: 13.8.
Match halves
Hull City: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.76. Watford: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Hull City: 31-45+ (10 goals). Watford: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hull City demonstrates decidedly better form than Watford, earning 2.6 points per match in the last five meetings and recording a streak of four wins and one draw. Watford is in crisis – winless in the last five matches (0.4 points per match) and having conceded eight goals during this period. Hull holds the advantage at home with 57% wins at their own stadium and an average of 1.5 goals per match, while Watford wins only 23% of away matches and scores an average of 1.15 goals. Hull's positive goal difference (+1) in home matches contrasts with Watford's negative balance (-3) on the road. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.26 vs 1.21), which, given the current form of both teams, makes a Hull victory the most probable scenario, although a draw is also realistic due to Watford's tendency to split points (38% draws away).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hull City | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hull City is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Hull City · 1 pts / match - Watford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hull City is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.66 goals / match - Hull City · 1.34 goals / match - Watford
Watford is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Hull City · 1.21 goals / match - Watford
Hull City scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
Watford scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Hull City keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hull City
Over / Under - Watford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hull City is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Hull City · 1.1 pts / match - Watford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hull City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Watford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hull City
Watford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Hull City | Liga | Watford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.03 | 2.59 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 24% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 72% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hull City 0 - 0 - 1 Watford. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hull City vs Watford?
The Championship match finished Hull City 0:0 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hull City vs Watford?
Hull City score 1.66 goals per game on average and Watford 1.34. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Hull City's matches and 66% of Watford's.
What form are Hull City and Watford in?
Over the last 5 games Hull City have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Watford 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hull City vs Watford?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.