Hungerford Town vs Havant & Waterlooville: match statistics
Hungerford Town vs Havant & Waterlooville: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hungerford Town played Havant & Waterlooville in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Hungerford Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Havant & Waterlooville: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hungerford Town scores 1.22 and concedes 2.05 goals per match. Havant & Waterlooville scores 1.84 and concedes 1.68. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hungerford Town 68%, Havant & Waterlooville 59%. Over 2.5: Hungerford Town 65%, Havant & Waterlooville 70%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Hungerford Town has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.22. Hungerford Town: 2.8 shots per match, Havant & Waterlooville: 2.3.
Match halves
Hungerford Town: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.84. Havant & Waterlooville: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Hungerford Town: 46-60 (13 goals). Havant & Waterlooville: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Havant & Waterlooville have a shooting advantage this season — 68 goals vs 45 for Hungerford — and have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches compared to only 3 for the hosts. Hungerford, however, creates more chances at home: on average 11.57 shots, 5.29 shots on target and xG 1.70 per match, while Havant away average 7.5 shots, 3.67 shots on target and xG 0.99. Both teams are defensively vulnerable (avg. 1.78 goals conceded), but Havant are better at avoiding defeats without scoring (FTS 17% vs 33% for the hosts) and have a higher away goals average (1.56 vs 1.11 for the hosts). Considering the visitors’ clearer finishing efficiency and superior away goal differential (goal difference -4 vs -12 for the hosts), I predict a Havant & Waterlooville win. I estimate probabilities at about 45% for the visitors, 30% for the hosts and 25% for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS (Both Teams To Score) market looks more likely — season BTTS rates are 58% for Hungerford and 61% for Havant, versus a league average of 60%. Both teams have low clean sheet rates (26% and 22%) and have conceded high totals this season (Hungerford 76, Havant 62), with average concessions of 1.58 and 1.78 goals per game, which fosters two-way scoring opportunities. Recent form over the last 5 matches is mixed: Havant have BTTS in 80% and score on average 1.8 goals, while Hungerford have averaged only 0.6 goals scored in their last 5 but have conceded 2.4 on average, so the hosts are also vulnerable defensively. xG and shot metrics corroborate the scoring potential: home xG 1.45 vs away 0.99, homes average 10.83 shots and 4.67 on target with an 18% conversion, visitors 7.5 shots and 3.67 on target with a 7% conversion. Considering the above, I estimate BTTS probability at 70% vs 30% and recommend a BTTS - Yes bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis shows a strong goal trend: the home side (Hungerford Town) averages 2.11 goals per match, the away side (Havant & Waterlooville) 1.56 (combined 3.67), and team xG is 1.45 for the home team and 0.99 for the away team; after adjusting for opponent defense (xG against 1.44 for Havant and 1.21 for Hungerford) I estimate expected goals at approximately 1.45 for Hungerford and 1.10 for Havant (total 2.55). Supporting the Over are seasonal percentages: Over 1.5 occurred in 79% of home matches and 89% of away matches, and Over 2.5 in 68% and 72% — a strong signal for at least 2–3 goals. Additionally, both teams score in 58% and 61% of matches; hosts average 4.67 shots on target with an 18% conversion versus 3.67 shots and 7% conversion for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of chances being converted. The last 5 matches show weaker form for the home team (3 scored and 12 conceded), which may increase result volatility but does not materially reduce the chance of at least two total goals. Based on this, the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (high 79%/89% rates and expected ~2.55 goals), therefore I recommend a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HT/FT analysis indicates a roughly 38% probability of a draw at the break — Havant led at half-time in 44% of away matches, while Hungerford did so in only 16%, yielding a balanced draw projection. After the break the home side statistically dominates: Hungerford averages 1.53 second-half goals at home versus 0.56 for Havant, and a second-half Poisson model gives about a 61% chance that the hosts will score more when the score is level at the break. Consequently the X/1 scenario (draw at half-time, Hungerford win) is the strongest signal at 23% probability, slightly ahead of 1/1 (21%). Additionally, the hosts’ xG of 1.45 versus 0.99 for the visitors and shot conversion rates of 18% vs 7% confirm the higher quality of home chances, and time-sliced stats (14 home goals in 76–90' vs 5 for the away side) underline their strength late on, supporting the X/1 selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hungerford Town | Havant & Waterlooville | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.26 | 2.71 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Havant & Waterlooville is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Hungerford Town · 1.84 goals / match - Havant & Waterlooville
Havant & Waterlooville is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.05 goals / match - Hungerford Town · 1.68 goals / match - Havant & Waterlooville
Hungerford Town scores in 73% of matches (27 of 37 matches), while Havant & Waterlooville keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 37 matches).
Havant & Waterlooville scores in 81% of matches (30 of 37 matches), while Hungerford Town keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hungerford Town
Over / Under - Havant & Waterlooville
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Havant & Waterlooville is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Hungerford Town · 1.27 pts / match - Havant & Waterlooville
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hungerford Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Havant & Waterlooville - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (22). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hungerford Town
Havant & Waterlooville
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Hungerford Town | Liga | Havant & Waterlooville | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.27 | 3.15 | ▲ 3.51 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 60% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 22% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 83% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Havant & WaterloovilleGoalMichael Fowler
- Havant & WaterloovilleGoalFreddie Taylor
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hungerford Town 1 - 0 - 0 Havant & Waterlooville. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hungerford Town vs Havant & Waterlooville?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Hungerford Town 0:2 Havant & Waterlooville. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hungerford Town vs Havant & Waterlooville?
Hungerford Town score 1.22 goals per game on average and Havant & Waterlooville 1.84. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Hungerford Town's matches and 59% of Havant & Waterlooville's.
What form are Hungerford Town and Havant & Waterlooville in?
Over the last 5 games Hungerford Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Havant & Waterlooville 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hungerford Town vs Havant & Waterlooville?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hungerford Town vs Havant & Waterlooville: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.