Huracán vs Argentinos Juniors: match statistics
Huracán vs Argentinos Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Huracán played Argentinos Juniors in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 28 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Huracán: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Argentinos Juniors: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Huracán scores 1.14 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Argentinos Juniors scores 1.07 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Huracán 50%, Argentinos Juniors 43%. Over 2.5: Huracán 36%, Argentinos Juniors 29%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Argentinos Juniors has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.33. Huracán: 11.3 shots per match, Argentinos Juniors: 14.3.
Match halves
Huracán: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71. Argentinos Juniors: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Huracán: 61-75 (4 goals). Argentinos Juniors: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Huracán win; at home they average 1.43 goals per match with xG 1.54, registering 13.14 shots and 4.71 on target, while Argentinos away average only 1.00 goal with xG 1.19 and 9 shots with 3.4 on target. Defensively Huracán is superior — they concede 0.86 goals at home (xG against 0.89) versus Argentinos conceding 1.2 goals away (xG against 1.22), and the hosts have 43% clean sheets compared to the visitors' 40%. Over the last five matches both teams scored 9 goals, but Huracán conceded only 3 in those five games while Argentinos conceded 6, giving Huracán a better attack–defense balance; the hosts also have a positive home goal difference (+4) versus the visitors' -1 on the road. Argentinos dominate possession more away (64% vs 52%), but with an identical shot conversion rate (11%) that possession advantage does not translate into greater offensive efficiency. Considering higher xG (1.54 vs 1.19), more shots on target (4.71 vs 3.4) and better defense (0.86 vs 1.2), I assess the probabilities as: Huracán win 60%, draw 25%, Argentinos win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Huracán at home averages 1.11 goals scored and concedes only 0.44 per match, with 67% of their games ending in a clean sheet — a strong signal against BTTS. Argentinos has a season BTTS rate of 60% and scores frequently away (seasonal goals average 1.0, last 5 matches 1.8 and 9 goals), which raises their chance to score. In the last 5 meetings both teams had BTTS at 60% and both averaged 1.8 goals each, with Huracán conceding 3 goals (0.6/match) vs Argentinos' 6 goals (1.2/match), favoring a both-teams-to-score scenario in the short term. Chance-creation metrics show a home advantage: xG 2.04 vs 1.19, 17.22 shots vs 9.0 and 6.0 shots on target vs 3.4, while Argentinos has a higher shot conversion (11% vs 6%), so with fewer chances they can still score. Considering Huracán's seasonal defensive solidity (67% CS) alongside strong BTTS signals from the last 5 matches (60%/60%) and superior xG/chance generation, I give BTTS 54% vs 46% and recommend "BTTS - Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculated expected goals as the average of the teams' offensive xG and the opponent's defensive xG: Huracán 1.63 (offensive xG 2.04 vs Argentinos defense xG_against 1.22), Argentinos 1.12 (offensive xG 1.19 vs Huracán defense xG_against 1.05), giving a total of 2.75 expected goals. A Poisson model with lambda=2.75 shows probability for Over 1.5 ≈76% (P(0)+P(1)≈24%), Over 2.5 ≈52% (P(≤2)≈48%) and Over 3.5 ≈30%. In the last 5 matches Huracán scored 9 goals (1.8 avg) and conceded 3 (0.6), Argentinos scored 9 (1.8) and conceded 6 (1.2); last5 xG are 1.33 for Huracán and 1.50 for Argentinos, which supports a higher-goals forecast. Huracán generates on average 17.22 shots and 6.0 on target per match versus 9.0 and 3.4 for Argentinos, while season-long indicators are mixed (over2.5: Huracán 22% vs Argentinos 40%), so the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5 (pick: Over, line 1.5) with probability ~76%, whereas Over 2.5 is only moderately likely (~52%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Huracán at home was level at half-time in 67% of matches, while also winning 67% of home games, which suggests frequent turnarounds after the break. The hosts average 2.04 xG per match versus Argentinos' 1.19 xG, register 6.0 shots on target per match compared to the visitors' 3.4 and 17.22 total shots versus 9.0, so they have a clear advantage in chance creation. Huracán scored 3 goals in the 61–75 and 76–90 minute intervals, whereas Argentinos have 0 goals in those periods, and the hosts concede an average of 0.22 goals before half-time versus 0.8 for Argentinos, indicating late deciders. Argentinos concede an average of 1.2 goals per match and are behind at the break in 40% of cases, therefore the scenario Half-Time draw / Full-Time home win (X/1) appears the strongest signal. I assigned X/1 a 47% probability, with lower chances for 1/1 (15%) and X/X (18%) as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Huracán | Argentinos Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Argentinos Juniors is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Huracán · 2.4 pts / match - Argentinos Juniors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Huracán is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Huracán · 1.07 goals / match - Argentinos Juniors
Argentinos Juniors is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Huracán · 0.71 goals / match - Argentinos Juniors
Huracán scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Argentinos Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 matches).
Argentinos Juniors scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Huracán keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Huracán
Over / Under - Argentinos Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Huracán is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Huracán · 1.21 pts / match - Argentinos Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Huracán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Argentinos Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Huracán
Argentinos Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Huracán | Liga | Argentinos Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.93 | 2.05 | ▼ 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 44% | • 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 33% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 35% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Huracán 1 - 1 - 0 Argentinos Juniors. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Huracán vs Argentinos Juniors?
The Primera División match finished Huracán 1:2 Argentinos Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Huracán and Argentinos Juniors?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Huracán won 1, Argentinos Juniors won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Huracán vs Argentinos Juniors?
Huracán score 1.14 goals per game on average and Argentinos Juniors 1.07. The Primera División average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Huracán's matches and 43% of Argentinos Juniors's.
What form are Huracán and Argentinos Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games Huracán have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Argentinos Juniors 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Huracán vs Argentinos Juniors?
The statistical background for Huracán vs Argentinos Juniors — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


