Hwaseong vs Suwon: match statistics
Hwaseong vs Suwon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hwaseong played Suwon in K League 2 (South Korea). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Hwaseong: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Suwon: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hwaseong scores 1.20 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Suwon scores 2.00 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hwaseong 40%, Suwon 89%. Over 2.5: Hwaseong 40%, Suwon 89%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Hwaseong has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.40. Hwaseong: 11.0 shots per match, Suwon: 11.8.
Match halves
Hwaseong: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.90. Suwon: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
Hwaseong: 46-60 (5 goals). Suwon: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 2: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). Hwaseong shows clearly superior recent form — in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, averaging 2.0 points per match and scoring 8 goals, whereas Suwon over the same period has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses (averaging 1.0 point and 7 goals). Hwaseong’s home advantages are evident: at home they average 1.43 goals per match with an xG of 1.58, concede 1.00 on average and keep a clean sheet in 57% of games. Suwon away scores 1.75 goals per match but concedes 1.75 on average and has 0% clean sheets. Visitors have the edge in possession (59% away) and a higher conversion rate (15% vs 11%), translating to 1.75 goals away, however their away xG is only 1.33 with xG against 1.25, indicating a heavy reliance on finishing efficiency. Given Hwaseong generates more expected chances at home (xG 1.58 vs Suwon xG against 1.25), has a positive home goal difference (+3) and better recent results (2.0 pts vs 1.0 pts in the last 5), the forecast favors a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Key signals point to BTTS: Hwaseong has BTTS at 100% this season, Suwon 75%, and both teams are at 80% BTTS in their last 5 matches, strongly favoring both teams to score. Offensively Hwaseong averages 2.2 goals and xG 1.46 per match, Suwon 1.75 goals and xG 1.33, while xG conceded is 1.5 (Hwaseong) and 1.25 (Suwon), so both sides both create and allow over ~1.2 xG per game. In the last 5 fixtures average goals conceded are 1.4 for Hwaseong and 1.8 for Suwon, and season-to-date both teams have 0% clean sheets according to the data, which further increases the likelihood of a Goal/Goal outcome. Both teams register 4 shots on target and conversion rates of 18% (Hwaseong) vs 15% (Suwon), and matches over 2.5 goals occur in 80% (Hwaseong) and 100% (Suwon) of games, supporting a high-scoring and BTTS scenario. Considering 100% vs 75% BTTS, 80% in the last 5, xG and concessions of 1.4/1.8, I recommend BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 85% (No 15%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 100% of matches this season with more than 1.5 goals, so Over 1.5 looks virtually certain (I rate it 98%). On the 2.5 line Hwaseong have 80% of matches over 2.5, Suwon 100%, and in the last 5 meetings both sides record 80% Over 2.5, which gives a very strong signal for Over 2.5 (90%). xG is 1.46 for the home side and 1.33 for the visitors, with xG against at 1.5 and 1.25 respectively; averaged forecasts give ~1.36 goals for Hwaseong and ~1.42 for Suwon, total ~2.78, consistent with the league average of 2.76. BTTS occurs in 100% of the home team’s matches and 75% of the away team’s, both teams average 4.0 shots on target and have conversion rates of 18% vs 15%, which boosts the chances of further goals. For these reasons I recommend playing the over on the 2.5 line as the strongest signal; Over 3.5 is less convincing (60% for the home side vs 25% for the visitors, hence ~42% probability).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hwaseong has a clear advantage in the first half — they led at the break in 4 of their prior matches (80%) and score an average of 1.2 goals by half-time versus 0.5 for Suwon. Over full matches the hosts average 2.2 goals while Suwon record 1.75, and xG is 1.46 for Hwaseong versus 1.33 for the visitors, giving the hosts a slight offensive edge. Additionally, Hwaseong average 12 shots per match versus 11.5 for Suwon and have a higher conversion rate (18% versus 15%), which translates into greater efficiency in creating goals. However, both teams frequently find the net: the percentage of matches in which both teams score is 100% for Hwaseong and 75% for Suwon, so I also allow a realistic chance for a draw or a both-teams-to-score outcome. On that basis the most likely scenario is the hosts leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes, hence the selection of 1/1 (I assigned it 50%), with 1/X (18%) and X/X (12%) considered significant alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hwaseong | Suwon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hwaseong is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Hwaseong · 1 pts / match - Suwon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Suwon is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Hwaseong · 2 goals / match - Suwon
Hwaseong is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Hwaseong · 1.44 goals / match - Suwon
Hwaseong scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Suwon keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
Suwon scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Hwaseong keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hwaseong
Over / Under - Suwon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Suwon is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Hwaseong · 1.78 pts / match - Suwon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hwaseong - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Suwon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hwaseong
Suwon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Hwaseong | Liga | Suwon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.76 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 63% | ▲ 89% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▲ 89% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 74% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Hwaseong vs Suwon?
The K League 2 match finished Hwaseong 1:1 Suwon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hwaseong vs Suwon?
Hwaseong score 1.20 goals per game on average and Suwon 2.00. The K League 2 average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Hwaseong's matches and 89% of Suwon's.
What form are Hwaseong and Suwon in?
Over the last 5 games Hwaseong have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Suwon 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hwaseong vs Suwon?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hwaseong vs Suwon: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.