ÍA vs Fram: match statistics
ÍA vs Fram: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ÍA played Fram in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 29 June 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
ÍA: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Fram: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
ÍA scores 1.45 and concedes 1.91 goals per match. Fram scores 2.64 and concedes 2.18. League average: 4.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ÍA 64%, Fram 73%. Over 2.5: ÍA 64%, Fram 82%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Fram has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.75. ÍA: 14.9 shots per match, Fram: 16.8.
Match halves
ÍA: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.00. Fram: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.45.
Goals by minute
ÍA: 46-60 (6 goals). Fram: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.07 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Fram), as they outperform in key metrics: Fram sit 3rd in the table vs ÍA in 6th, have 7 wins this season versus 4 for the hosts and have scored 29 goals compared to 16. In the last 5 matches Fram have scored 11 goals and average 2.0 points per game, while ÍA have scored 8 goals and average 1.4 points per game, indicating superior form for the visitors. Fram create more and better chances: average xG 2.09 vs 1.88 for ÍA, 6.4 shots on target per match vs 5.75 and a higher conversion rate of 12% vs 8% for the hosts. The home side do have strengths — 55% average possession at home and 0% of matches without scoring at their stadium, and their average goals conceded at home is 1.5 vs Fram’s 1.8 on the road, which suggests a relatively balanced defensive matchup. Considering the clearer attacking edge of the visitors (29 vs 16 goals, xG 2.09 vs 1.88), better recent results and a 60% away win rate, I estimate Fram’s chance of winning at 60%, draw 25% and ÍA win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators strongly favor a Both Teams To Score scenario: ÍA have BTTS in 83% of home matches, Fram away in 60%, and the league BTTS average is 72%. Additionally, ÍA concede an average of 2.5 goals at home and have 0% clean sheets, while Fram score an average of 2.2 goals per match — increasing the likelihood of an away goal. Conversely, Fram concede 1.8 goals and ÍA score 3.0 at home; xG comparison shows ÍA with xG_for 1.95 vs xG_against_away 1.32 (+0.63), and Fram with xG_for 2.09 vs xG_against_home 1.61 (+0.48), indicating both teams have a realistic chance to score. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 60% of meetings; in that span ÍA scored 8 and conceded 9, while Fram scored 11 and conceded 13, confirming a trend of open, high-scoring games. Considering 83% vs 60% seasonal BTTS, the league average of 72%, the hosts’ lack of clean sheets and positive xG differentials for both sides, I assess BTTS probability at 80% vs 20% and back 'BTTS - Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects expected goals of 1.64 for ÍA and 1.85 for Fram (total 3.49 xG), indicating a high likelihood of goals in the match. Home side have a seasonal goals scored average of 3.0 versus 2.2 for Fram, and xG_for is 1.95 (ÍA) vs 2.09 (Fram) — with ÍA showing markedly higher shot conversion 19% vs 12% for their opponents. Both teams create many chances: average shots 15.8 (ÍA) and 18.0 (Fram) with shots on target 6.17 vs 6.4, supporting the projected combined xG=3.49. Over/under statistics confirm the attacking profile: ÍA have 100% of matches over 2.5, Fram 60%, and both-teams-to-score occurred in 83% (ÍA) and 60% (Fram). Using a Poisson model with λ=3.49 the probability for Over 1.5 is ~86%, Over 2.5 ~68% and Over 3.5 ~46%, therefore I recommend the Over line at 1.5 as the strongest signal, while Over 2.5 also carries a solid 68% probability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side led at the break in 3 of 6 matches (50%), while the visitors did so in only 1 of 5 games (20%), which strongly supports an ÍA lead at half-time. At the same time ÍA concedes an average of 1.67 goals after the break, and Fram have the higher expected goals (xG 2.09 versus the hosts’ 1.95), so the visitors have the statistical potential to erase deficits in the second half. Fram average 18.0 shots per match versus ÍA’s 15.83, despite lower efficiency (12% vs 19%), and both teams have 100% of matches with a goal after the break, which increases the likelihood of a turnaround after the 45th minute. As a result the strongest HT/FT scenario is the home side leading at half-time and a draw at full-time (1/X), so I assign the highest probability to that combination.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ÍA | Fram | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fram is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - ÍA · 2.64 goals / match - Fram
ÍA is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.91 goals / match - ÍA · 2.18 goals / match - Fram
ÍA scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Fram keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
Fram scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while ÍA keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ÍA
Over / Under - Fram
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fram is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - ÍA · 1.55 pts / match - Fram
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ÍA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fram - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ÍA
Fram
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| ÍA | Liga | Fram | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.36 | 4.07 | ▲ 4.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 64% | 74% | • 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 64% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 18% | 14% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 85% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): ÍA 1 - 1 - 1 Fram. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ÍA vs Fram?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished ÍA 0:2 Fram. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between ÍA and Fram?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches ÍA won 1, Fram won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before ÍA vs Fram?
ÍA score 1.45 goals per game on average and Fram 2.64. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 64% of ÍA's matches and 73% of Fram's.
What form are ÍA and Fram in?
Over the last 5 games ÍA have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Fram 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ÍA vs Fram?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for ÍA vs Fram: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.