ÍA vs KA: match statistics
ÍA vs KA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ÍA played KA in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
ÍA: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match. KA: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
ÍA scores 1.50 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. KA scores 1.00 and concedes 2.50. League average: 3.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ÍA 50%, KA 50%. Over 2.5: ÍA 50%, KA 50%. League level: BTTS 83%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
ÍA has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.35. ÍA: 13.0 shots per match, KA: 12.0.
Match halves
ÍA: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.50. KA: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
ÍA: 46-60 (2 goals). KA: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 3.75 goals per match, BTTS 83%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a home win (1). In the last 5 matches ÍA scored 14 goals and their record is 3-1-1, while KA scored 7 goals with a 1-1-3 record over the same period. That translates to an average of 2.8 goals per game for ÍA (14/5) versus 1.4 for KA (7/5), indicating a clear offensive edge for the hosts. Defensively both teams conceded 6 goals in their last 5 fixtures (1.2 per game), but season-long stats show ÍA with 4 goals conceded versus 5 for KA, giving a slight defensive advantage to the hosts. Considering also superior points per game in the last 5 matches (ÍA 2.0 vs KA 0.8), I assign a 65% probability to an ÍA win, 20% to a draw and 15% to a KA victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The league has BTTS at 83%, while the home season BTTS is 50% and the away season BTTS is 0%, producing a strong but mixed signal. The home team has BTTS 60% in the last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 6 goals (avg 2.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per match), so they regularly feature Goal/Goal games. The away team has BTTS 20% in the last 5 matches, but scored 7 and conceded 6 goals (avg 1.4 and 1.2), so despite the low percentage they can still find the net. In xG terms the home side has 1.82 xG in the last 5 matches versus 1.67 xG against the visitors, while the away side has 1.21 xG versus 1.39 xG against the home team, indicating a stronger offensive edge for the hosts and a real but smaller scoring opportunity for the guests. Considering the league 83%, the hosts’ season average of 2.5 goals conceded and the recent tallies 14-6 vs 7-6, I assess the BTTS scenario as more probable and recommend BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG from the last 5 matches is 1.82 for ÍA and 1.21 for KA, yielding an expected 3.03 goals in the match. With that average the Poisson distribution gives roughly an 81% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) and about 58% for three or more goals (Over 2.5). Additionally, ÍA have scored 14 goals (2.8 per game) and conceded 6 (1.2) in their last 5 matches, while KA have 7 scored and 6 conceded over five games, which favors an open match. The league has a high average of 3.75 goals per game, and ÍA recorded Over 2.5 in 80% of their last 5 games, so the strongest signal from the data is Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches ÍA has won 60% of games (3 of 5), while KA had only a 20% win rate; the home side averaged 2.8 goals per match versus 1.4 for the visitors. At half-time ÍA led in 40% of cases (2 of 5), scoring an average of 1.0 goal in the first half compared to 0.6 for the opponents; overall the home team scored 8 first-half goals across these five matches, and the visitors 5. Given that the hosts ultimately won 60% of the fixtures and that a lead at the break occurred in 40% of cases, the most consistent scenario is a lead at half-time and a final victory for ÍA (assigned 35%), with an additional 20% allocated to the draw at half-time and home win outcome (X/1). KA’s seasonal data are zero or absent in many areas, so the forecast is based mainly on form over the last five matches and the first-half averages (1.0 vs 0.6), which supports recommending 1/1 as the strongest HT/FT signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ÍA | KA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ÍA is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - ÍA · 1 goals / match - KA
ÍA is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - ÍA · 2.5 goals / match - KA
ÍA scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while KA keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
KA scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while ÍA keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ÍA
Over / Under - KA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ÍA - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
KA - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ÍA
KA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| ÍA | Liga | KA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.50 | 3.75 | ▼ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 83% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 8% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 83% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 92% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): ÍA 1 - 0 - 2 KA. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ÍA vs KA?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished ÍA 1:1 KA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between ÍA and KA?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches ÍA won 1, KA won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before ÍA vs KA?
ÍA score 1.50 goals per game on average and KA 1.00. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 50% of ÍA's matches and 50% of KA's.
What form are ÍA and KA in?
Over the last 5 games ÍA have a 0-1-1 record (0.50 points per game) and KA 0-0-2 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ÍA vs KA?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for ÍA vs KA: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.