ÍA vs Keflavík: match statistics
ÍA vs Keflavík: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ÍA play Keflavík in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match date is 8 May 2026 at 21:15. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
ÍA: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Keflavík: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
ÍA scores 1.40 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. Keflavík scores 1.60 and concedes 1.87. League average: 4.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ÍA 67%, Keflavík 87%. Over 2.5: ÍA 67%, Keflavík 67%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Keflavík has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.68. ÍA: 14.7 shots per match, Keflavík: 15.9.
Match halves
ÍA: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.93. Keflavík: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
ÍA: 46-60 (8 goals). Keflavík: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.04 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win. ÍA generates on average 2.03 xG at home versus Keflavík’s 1.46 xG on the road; the home side also hold an advantage in possession (51% vs 44%) and in shots (18 vs 13 on average) and shots on target (7 vs 5). Defensively ÍA concede 1.00 goal on average at home, while Keflavík concede 2.33 goals away, and the away loss rate on the road is 67%. At the same time the visitors are more efficient with their shots (conversion 13% vs 6%) and average 1.67 goals away versus 1.00 for the hosts, which keeps draw risk present. Considering the hosts’ superior chance creation and better defensive profile, I give them a moderate edge, but expect a tightly contested match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ÍA | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Keflavík is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - ÍA · 1.6 goals / match - Keflavík
Keflavík is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - ÍA · 1.87 goals / match - Keflavík
ÍA scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
Keflavík scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while ÍA keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — ÍA
Over / Under — Keflavík
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ÍA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Keflavík - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ÍA
Keflavík
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| ÍA | Liga | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.60 | 4.04 | ▼ 3.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 87% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 13% | 14% | • 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 82% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 88% | • 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: ÍA 0 - 0 - 1 Keflavík. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ÍA vs Keflavík?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished ÍA 1:3 Keflavík. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before ÍA vs Keflavík?
ÍA score 1.40 goals per game on average and Keflavík 1.60. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 67% of ÍA's matches and 87% of Keflavík's.
What form are ÍA and Keflavík in?
Over the last 5 games ÍA have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Keflavík 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ÍA vs Keflavík?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.