ÍBV vs Breidablik: match statistics
ÍBV vs Breidablik: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ÍBV played Breidablik in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
ÍBV: 0-1-3, 0.25 points/match. Breidablik: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
ÍBV scores 1.25 and concedes 3.50 goals per match. Breidablik scores 1.50 and concedes 0.25. League average: 3.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ÍBV 100%, Breidablik 25%. Over 2.5: ÍBV 75%, Breidablik 25%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 69%.
xG, shots and style
Breidablik has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.34. ÍBV: 11.0 shots per match, Breidablik: 13.3.
Match halves
ÍBV: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Breidablik: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
ÍBV: 61-75 (2 goals). Breidablik: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 3.81 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 69%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Breidablik sit 4th in the table while ÍBV are 12th. This season ÍBV have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, whereas Breidablik have 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. In their last 5 matches Breidablik scored 12 goals (2.4 per game) and conceded 2 (0.4 per game), averaging 2.2 points per match, while ÍBV in their last 5 scored 7 goals (1.4 per game) and conceded 16 (3.2 per game), averaging 0.4 points per match. Defensively the contrast is clear: ÍBV concede 3.5 goals per home game and have 0% clean sheets, whereas Breidablik concede 0.5 goals per away game and have 50% clean sheets. ÍBV generate 1.25 xG at home versus 0.93 xG for Breidablik away, with xG against of 1.95 for ÍBV and 1.64 for the visitors. Combining form (average 2.2 points vs 0.4) and 12 goals scored in 5 matches, I back a Breidablik win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes (80%) because key signals favor goals from both sides. In the last 5 matches the home side conceded 16 goals (avg. 3.2 per game), while the away team scored 12 in their last 5 (avg. 2.4), clearly indicating home defensive issues and consistent scoring from the visitors. The home team generates avg. xG 1.98, averages 19 shots and 5.5 on target per game with a seasonal scoring average of 2.5 goals, so they possess offensive potential; the away side has xG 1.44 in the last 5 and form 'wdwdw', increasing their probability to score. Additionally the league shows a high BTTS rate of 71% and an avg. 3.88 goals per match, and recent avg. xG against the home team is 1.87, all reinforcing a both-teams-to-score scenario; the season-level deviations (seasonBTTSPercentage_home = 0% and seasonCSPercentage_home = 100%) contradict current form, so I place greater weight on the last 5 games and league context.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Total expected goals are around 2.98, with home xG 1.98 and away xG 0.93; after accounting for xG against (1.40 for home and 1.64 for away) this yields an estimate of 1.81 goals for ÍBV and 1.17 for Breidablik. The home side averages 19.0 shots and 5.5 on target per match versus the visitors’ 7.5 shots and 1.5 on target, and with conversion rates of 13% vs 7% this increases the likelihood of ÍBV scoring. In the last 5 matches the home team scored 7 goals (1.4 per match), the away team 12 goals (2.4 per match), giving a combined average of 3.8 goals and supporting the Over 2.5 line. Considering the expected 2.98 goals, the league average of 3.88 and a league Over 2.5 frequency of 71%, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (very high chance to exceed 1.5), while Over 2.5 is probable (~72%) and Over 3.5 less certain (~38%). For these reasons I recommend a bet on Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side: Over), since the expected 1.81 and 1.17 goals for home and away provide a high probability of at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
ÍBV is the favorite: they average 2.5 goals per match and concede none (0.0), accumulating an average of 3.0 points per game; they have led at the break in 100% of their matches (2 of 2). The hosts’ xG is 1.98 versus the visitors’ 0.93, and ÍBV register 19.0 shots and 5.5 on target per match compared to Breidablik’s 7.5 and 1.5; conversion is 13% versus 7%. By half-time the hosts average 1.0 goal and 100% clean sheets at the break, while the visitors average 0.5 goals to the break and lead at the break in 50% of their matches. The counterargument is five-match form: ÍBV have results ‘ddlll’ with a 0% win rate in the last five, whereas Breidablik show 60% wins and 80% half-time leads in their last five, which raises the risk of an upset. Overall the xG advantage (1.98 vs 0.93), 19.0 vs 7.5 shots and 100% half-time leads support a scenario of ÍBV leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ÍBV | Breidablik | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Breidablik is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.25 pts / match - ÍBV · 2 pts / match - Breidablik
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Breidablik is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - ÍBV · 1.5 goals / match - Breidablik
Breidablik is 1300% better for: goals conceded per match.
3.5 goals / match - ÍBV · 0.25 goals / match - Breidablik
ÍBV scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Breidablik keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
Breidablik scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while ÍBV keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ÍBV
Over / Under - Breidablik
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Breidablik is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - ÍBV · 2.5 pts / match - Breidablik
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ÍBV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Breidablik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.50 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 75% |
| No goal | 25% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ÍBV
Breidablik
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| ÍBV | Liga | Breidablik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.75 | 3.81 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 69% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 17% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): ÍBV 0 - 1 - 1 Breidablik. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ÍBV vs Breidablik?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished ÍBV 1:2 Breidablik. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between ÍBV and Breidablik?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches ÍBV won 0, Breidablik won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before ÍBV vs Breidablik?
ÍBV score 1.25 goals per game on average and Breidablik 1.50. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 100% of ÍBV's matches and 25% of Breidablik's.
What form are ÍBV and Breidablik in?
Over the last 5 games ÍBV have a 0-1-3 record (0.25 points per game) and Breidablik 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ÍBV vs Breidablik?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for ÍBV vs Breidablik: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.