ÍBV vs Keflavík: match statistics
ÍBV vs Keflavík: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ÍBV played Keflavík in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 31 May 2026. Venue: Hásteinsvöllur. Final score: 6:1.
Current form
ÍBV: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Keflavík: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
ÍBV scores 1.00 and concedes 2.75 goals per match. Keflavík scores 1.38 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ÍBV 75%, Keflavík 75%. Over 2.5: ÍBV 63%, Keflavík 63%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
Keflavík has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.23. ÍBV: 10.4 shots per match, Keflavík: 14.6.
Match halves
ÍBV: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63. Keflavík: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
ÍBV: 61-75 (3 goals). Keflavík: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 3.85 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Keflavík holds a clear advantage in form and efficiency: in the last 5 matches they scored 8 goals and recorded 3 wins (3-1-1), while ÍBV scored 4 goals in the same period and did not win any match (0-1-4). The home side have a home record of 0-2-6, concede an average of 2.75 goals per game and have a negative goal difference of -7, confirming defensive frailty at their stadium. Keflavík averages 5.5 shots on target and 13.75 shots per game with a 15% conversion rate, translating to 2.0 goals per game and xG 1.58; ÍBV averages 3.5 shots on target, 9.75 shots per game, a 10% conversion and xG 1.18. In the last 5 fixtures ÍBV conceded 13 goals versus 6 conceded by Keflavík, and the points gap is clear: ÍBV have 0.2 points per game in the last 5, Keflavík 2.0 points per game. Considering 0 home wins, the visitors' superiority in shots, conversion and xG and better form, I tip a Keflavík victory and assess probabilities as 65% for Keflavík, 20% for a draw and 15% for ÍBV.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 80% probability because Keflavík has a season BTTS rate of 100% versus ÍBV’s 50%, and the league BTTS share is 69%. Keflavík scores on average 2.0 goals per game while ÍBV only 0.75; yet xG is similar: 1.58 (Keflavík) vs 1.65 (ÍBV), meaning both teams generate about 1.6 xG per match. The visitors are more efficient and active in the penalty area — shot conversion 15% vs 5% and an average of 5.5 shots on target (visitors) vs 4.75 (home) indicate Keflavík realistically converts chances into goals. Defensively ÍBV is vulnerable: in the last 5 matches they concede 2.6 goals on average and have 22 goals conceded this season, while Keflavík has 12 and 0% clean sheets this season, which further increases the likelihood of goals on both ends. Additionally the league averages 3.85 goals per game and 69% BTTS, so based on these concrete numbers the both teams to score scenario is stronger than No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model combined with defensive profiles points to a high-scoring game: xG ÍBV 1.65, xG Keflavík 1.58, and after averaging with opponents’ defenses (ÍBV xG against = 1.39, Keflavík xG against = 1.80) I expect ~1.73 goals for the home side and ~1.49 for the away side, i.e. ~3.22 goals total. Keflavík averages 2.0 goals per match and has 100% of matches over 2.5 goals (seasonOver25Percentage_away = 100%), with shot conversion of 15% versus ÍBV’s 5%, which increases the likelihood of more goals on their side. The league average is 3.85 goals per match, and in the last 5 matches both teams reached over 2.5 in 60% of cases; additionally BTTS occurs for Keflavík in 100% and for ÍBV in 50%, supporting goal exchange. Although ÍBV have 50% clean sheets at home and a seasonal scoring average of 0.75, their low conversion and weaker attack against Keflavík’s strong goal profile limit the chances of a low-scoring match. Based on this, the strongest and most consistent signal is an Over 2.5 bet (expected goals ~3.22, Keflavík over2.5=100% and league over2.5=71%), therefore an "over" recommendation on 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Based on the data I select the 2/2 scenario: Keflavík led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches (60%), are in form “wlwdw” and have a 60% win rate in their last five games. The visitors are strong after the break — averaging 1.5 goals in second halves (scored_2hg_avg_away 1.5) and a combined second-half average of 2.75 (AVG_2hg_away 2.75), while ÍBV have 0.0 goals scored after the break (scored_2hg_avg_home 0.0) and a negative second-half balance (-3.0). This season Keflavík average 2.0 goals per game away versus the home side’s 0.75 (seasonScoredAVG_away 2.0 vs seasonScoredAVG_home 0.75), with similar xG (1.58 vs 1.65) but a much better shot conversion rate (15% vs 5%), favoring chances being finished. Additionally, over the last 5 matches at half-time Keflavík averaged 1.0 goals (last5_scoredAVGHT_overall_away 1.0) versus the hosts’ 0.2 (last5_scoredAVGHT_overall_home 0.2), so the most reliable signal is the visitors leading at the break and winning; my combined probability for a Keflavík victory is 65% (2/2 35% + X/2 20% + 1/2 10%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ÍBV | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Keflavík is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - ÍBV · 2 pts / match - Keflavík
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Keflavík is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - ÍBV · 1.38 goals / match - Keflavík
Keflavík is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.75 goals / match - ÍBV · 1.5 goals / match - Keflavík
ÍBV scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Keflavík scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while ÍBV keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ÍBV
Over / Under - Keflavík
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Keflavík is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - ÍBV · 1.5 pts / match - Keflavík
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ÍBV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Keflavík - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ÍBV
Keflavík
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| ÍBV | Liga | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.75 | 3.85 | ▼ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 16% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of ÍBV vs Keflavík?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished ÍBV 6:1 Keflavík. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before ÍBV vs Keflavík?
ÍBV score 1.00 goals per game on average and Keflavík 1.38. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 75% of ÍBV's matches and 75% of Keflavík's.
What form are ÍBV and Keflavík in?
Over the last 5 games ÍBV have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Keflavík 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ÍBV vs Keflavík?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for ÍBV vs Keflavík: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.