ÍBV vs Valur: match statistics
ÍBV vs Valur: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ÍBV played Valur in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 4 July 2026. Venue: Hásteinsvöllur. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
ÍBV: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Valur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
ÍBV scores 1.75 and concedes 2.17 goals per match. Valur scores 1.85 and concedes 2.00. League average: 4.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ÍBV 83%, Valur 77%. Over 2.5: ÍBV 67%, Valur 77%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Valur has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.31. ÍBV: 11.2 shots per match, Valur: 14.1.
Match halves
ÍBV: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.92. Valur: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
ÍBV: 16-30 (4 goals). Valur: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.06 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
ÍBV holds a clear form advantage: in the last 5 matches they scored 15 goals (3.0 per match), won 3 and drew 2, averaging 2.2 points per game. Valur over the same period scored only 7 goals (1.4 per match), lost 3 of 5 fixtures and conceded 12 goals (2.4 per match), amounting to just 0.8 points per game. This season ÍBV at home averages 2.0 goals with 10.5 shots and 4.5 on target (conversion 19%), while Valur away attempts more shots (14.33) and has a higher xG (1.64 vs 1.28 for ÍBV) but a lower conversion (14%). Defensively Valur concedes statistically less on the road (1.83 goals per match vs 2.17 for ÍBV at home), however their 12 goals conceded in the last 5 games indicate a drop in defensive form, whereas ÍBV conceded 6 in that span. Considering the markedly superior form, significantly higher goals in the last 5 matches and the home side’s finishing efficiency, I predict an ÍBV win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS (both teams to score) as the more likely outcome with an estimated probability of 81% versus 19% for No BTTS. The home team posts a season BTTS rate of 86% and 100% in their last 5 matches, while Valur records 67% season BTTS and 80% in their last 5, giving a clear bias towards Goal/Goal. Goals data show the hosts average 1.71 scored and 2.14 conceded per match, while the visitors average 2.00 scored and 1.83 conceded; over the last 5 games the hosts scored 3.0 on average and the visitors conceded 2.4, indicating risk of goals from both sides. xG are similar (1.68 for the hosts vs 1.64 for the visitors), shots on target 5.14 vs 5.5, and clean sheet expected rates are low (14% and 17%); additionally over 2.5 goals occurs for the hosts in 86% and for the visitors in 67%, and the over2.5 + BTTS combination is 71% and 67%. Considering the league average of 4.08 goals and the league season BTTS of 74%, the strongest signal from the data supports a BTTS - Yes selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on average xG and defensive metrics I estimate approximately 1.92 goals for ÍBV (attacking xG 1.68 and xG conceded vs Valur 2.16 average to 1.92) and approximately 1.92 goals for Valur (attacking xG 1.64 and xG conceded vs ÍBV 2.19 giving 1.92), totaling ~3.84 goals. Season stats confirm a high-goal profile: ÍBV have 100% of matches >1.5 goals and 86% >2.5, Valur record 67% >1.5 and 67% >2.5, with the league average at 4.08 goals per match. In the last 5 matches ÍBV scored 15 goals (3.0 per game) and conceded 6 (1.2), combining to 4.2 goals per game; Valur in their last 5 have 7 scored (1.4) and 12 conceded (2.4) giving 3.8 goals per game, indicating elevated-scoring fixtures. Both teams generate chances (avg 5.14 and 5.5 shots on target) with conversion rates of 12% and 14%, and the percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 86% for ÍBV and 67% for Valur, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. As a result the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is Over 1.5 (expected total 3.84 and home side 100% >1.5), while Over 2.5 also has solid support (86%/67% and league 72% Over 2.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (ÍBV leads at the break and wins) because the home side led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches (60%) and in those five games averaged 1.4 goals by half-time versus Valur’s 0.6. Recent form over the last 5 matches further favors ÍBV: in that period the hosts have a 60% win rate (3 of 5) and average 3.0 goals scored compared to Valur’s 1.4. Both teams create similar chances (xG 1.68 for ÍBV vs 1.64 for Valur), but both also concede a lot (xG against of approximately 2.19 and 2.16), which together with high percentages of both-teams-to-score matches (BTTS 86% for ÍBV, 67% for Valur) points to a goal-filled contest. First-half statistics support an early lead for the hosts — average goals by half-time are 2.0 for ÍBV and 2.33 for Valur, and over 1.5 goals by half-time occurred in 71% and 67% of matches respectively. Therefore the safest signal is ÍBV maintaining the lead through to full-time — the HT/FT prediction 1/1 received the highest probability at 34%, with the remaining scenarios accounting for the other 66%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ÍBV | Valur | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
ÍBV is 175% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - ÍBV · 0.8 pts / match - Valur
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valur is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - ÍBV · 1.85 goals / match - Valur
Valur is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.17 goals / match - ÍBV · 2 goals / match - Valur
ÍBV scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
Valur scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while ÍBV keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ÍBV
Over / Under - Valur
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valur is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - ÍBV · 1.46 pts / match - Valur
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ÍBV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Valur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ÍBV
Valur
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| ÍBV | Liga | Valur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.92 | 4.06 | ▼ 3.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 13% | ▲ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 83% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 87% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): ÍBV 1 - 0 - 2 Valur. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ÍBV vs Valur?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished ÍBV 1:0 Valur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between ÍBV and Valur?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches ÍBV won 1, Valur won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before ÍBV vs Valur?
ÍBV score 1.75 goals per game on average and Valur 1.85. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 83% of ÍBV's matches and 77% of Valur's.
What form are ÍBV and Valur in?
Over the last 5 games ÍBV have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Valur 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ÍBV vs Valur?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.