Ikorodu City vs Abia Warriors: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ikorodu City played Abia Warriors in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Ikorodu City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Abia Warriors: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ikorodu City scores 1.21 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Abia Warriors scores 0.86 and concedes 0.64. League average: 1.81 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ikorodu City 43%, Abia Warriors 14%. Over 2.5: Ikorodu City 21%, Abia Warriors 14%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 24%.

xG, shots and style

Ikorodu City has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.30. Ikorodu City: 8.1 shots per match, Abia Warriors: 7.4.

Match halves

Ikorodu City: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.64. Abia Warriors: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.29.

Goals by minute

Ikorodu City: 46-60 (4 goals). Abia Warriors: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 1.81 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 24%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
23Shots7
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
4Shots on target4
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
2.09xG0.91
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
9Corners2
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
51Dangerous attacks25
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
-1Fouls-1
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
-1Cards-1
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
1.21Goals scored / match0.86
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0.71Goals conceded / match0.64
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
41%Average possession36%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
2.86Shots on target / match2.86
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.07Shots per match7.36
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
2.86Shots on target2.86
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
15%Shot conversion11.7%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
41%Possession36%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
1.35xG for1.3
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
1.15xG against1.4
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

Shooting quality

Ikorodu City: Counter-attackingAbia Warriors: Balanced
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
Accuracy (shots on target)35%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ikorodu City is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Ikorodu City · 1.6 pts / match - Abia Warriors

Ikorodu City
DWWWL
Season result split
43% W43% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-2
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Abia Warriors
WWDLD
Season result split
50% W14% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-5
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-5
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ikorodu City is 41% better for: goals scored per match.

1.21 goals / match - Ikorodu City · 0.86 goals / match - Abia Warriors

Abia Warriors is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.71 goals / match - Ikorodu City · 0.64 goals / match - Abia Warriors

Ikorodu City scoring profile: mixed

Ikorodu City scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 matches).

Abia Warriors scoring profile: mixed

Abia Warriors scores in 57% of matches (8 of 14 matches), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 matches).

17Goals scored (season)12
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
10Goals conceded (season)9
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
1.93Average goals in match1.5
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
7Goals scored (last 5)5
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal57%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
43%2 goals29%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0%3 goals0%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0%4 goals0%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

How often they concede at least...

43%1 goal43%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
14%2 goals21%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
7%3 goals0%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
7%4 goals0%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

36%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time7%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
14%Scored in both halves14%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
40%BTTS - last 540%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

2nd half

43%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
21%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Abia Warriors is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.36 pts / match - Ikorodu City · 1.5 pts / match - Abia Warriors

Ikorodu City - half-time state
29% leading50% draw21% trailing
Abia Warriors - half-time state
36% leading43% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.36Points per match (1st half)1.5
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.57
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
1.14Average goals (1st half)0.93
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
64%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
50%No goal before half-time57%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

After half-time (2nd half)

1.86Points per match (2nd half)1.29
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.29
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0.79Average goals (2nd half)0.57
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
86%Clean sheet after half-time71%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
57%No goal after half-time71%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

Ikorodu City - second-half results

43% W57% D0% L
19
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Abia Warriors - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ikorodu City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Abia Warriors - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ikorodu City
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
4
0
46-60
3
2
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Abia Warriors
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.71
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
29%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ikorodu City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Abia Warriors

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.76
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
151%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Ikorodu CityLigaAbia Warriors
Average goals in match 1.931.81 1.50
Both teams scored 43%36% 14%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 21%24% 14%
Clean sheets 57%38% 57%
Goal before half-time 64%64% 64%
Goal after half-time 43%57% 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.81
Average goals per match
36%
Both teams scored
24%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.24
Home goals / match
0.57
Away goals / match
+118%
Home attack advantage
+54%
Home defence advantage
+45%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

FAQ

What was the result of Ikorodu City vs Abia Warriors?

The NPFL match finished Ikorodu City 1:0 Abia Warriors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ikorodu City vs Abia Warriors?

Ikorodu City score 1.21 goals per game on average and Abia Warriors 0.86. The NPFL average is 1.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 24% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ikorodu City's matches and 14% of Abia Warriors's.

What form are Ikorodu City and Abia Warriors in?

Over the last 5 games Ikorodu City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Abia Warriors 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ikorodu City vs Abia Warriors?

The statistical background for Ikorodu City vs Abia Warriors — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.