Ikorodu City vs Abia Warriors: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ikorodu City play Abia Warriors in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 30 November 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Ikorodu City: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Abia Warriors: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ikorodu City scores 1.13 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Abia Warriors scores 0.82 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ikorodu City 39%, Abia Warriors 29%. Over 2.5: Ikorodu City 34%, Abia Warriors 21%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Abia Warriors has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.37. Ikorodu City: 7.0 shots per match, Abia Warriors: 5.6.

Match halves

Ikorodu City: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.55. Abia Warriors: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.39.

Goals by minute

Ikorodu City: 16-30 (8 goals). Abia Warriors: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
23Shots7
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
4Shots on target4
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
2.09xG0.91
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
9Corners2
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
51Dangerous attacks25
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
-1Fouls-1
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
-1Cards-1
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
1.13Goals scored / match0.82
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
1.03Goals conceded / match0.89
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
37%Average possession25%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
2.32Shots on target / match1.66
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.95Shots per match5.58
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
2.32Shots on target1.66
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
16.3%Shot conversion14.6%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
37%Possession25%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
1.37xG for1.41
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
1.22xG against1.32
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

Shooting quality

Ikorodu City: Counter-attackingAbia Warriors: Counter-attacking
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
Accuracy (shots on target)33%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.200.25
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.490.49

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ikorodu City is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Ikorodu City · 0.6 pts / match - Abia Warriors

Ikorodu City
WLWLL
Season result split
42% W26% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-10-12
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
14-4-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 0.92BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Abia Warriors
LWLLL
Season result split
42% W18% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-7-15
1.45 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-13
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.00Opponent xG: 0.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ikorodu City is 38% better for: goals scored per match.

1.13 goals / match - Ikorodu City · 0.82 goals / match - Abia Warriors

Abia Warriors is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.03 goals / match - Ikorodu City · 0.89 goals / match - Abia Warriors

Ikorodu City scoring profile: strong

Ikorodu City scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

Abia Warriors scoring profile: mixed

Abia Warriors scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).

43Goals scored (season)31
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
39Goals conceded (season)34
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
2.16Average goals in match1.71
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
9Goals scored (last 5)3
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
9Goals conceded (last 5)9
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal63%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
29%2 goals18%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
8%3 goals0%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
3%4 goals0%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal58%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
26%2 goals29%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
13%3 goals3%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
11%4 goals0%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time11%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
5%BTTS in both halves0%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
16%Scored in both halves11%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS18%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
80%BTTS - last 540%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

2nd half

55%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time21%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ikorodu City - half-time state
32% leading42% draw26% trailing
Abia Warriors - half-time state
26% leading58% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.37
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.42
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.34
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
1.16Average goals (1st half)0.76
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
63%Clean sheet before half-time74%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
55%No goal before half-time66%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
0.97Average goals (2nd half)0.95
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
68%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors
55%No goal after half-time61%
Ikorodu CityAbia Warriors

Ikorodu City - second-half results

29% W55% R16% P
52
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Abia Warriors - second-half results

26% W42% R32% P
52
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ikorodu City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match2.21.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Abia Warriors - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ikorodu City
ScoredConceded
6
8
0-15
8
10
16-30
8
5
31-45
8
5
46-60
6
5
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Abia Warriors
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
7
2
16-30
6
5
31-45
6
9
46-60
4
3
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.94
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+55%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ikorodu City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
178%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Abia Warriors

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.85
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Ikorodu CityLigaAbia Warriors
Average goals in match 2.162.02 1.71
Both teams scored 39%38% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 34%34% 21%
Clean sheets 47%37% 42%
Goal before half-time 66%61% 50%
Goal after half-time 55%64% 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Ikorodu City 0 - 0 - 1 Abia Warriors. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Ikorodu City vs Abia Warriors?

The NPFL match finished Ikorodu City 1:0 Abia Warriors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ikorodu City vs Abia Warriors?

Ikorodu City score 1.13 goals per game on average and Abia Warriors 0.82. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Ikorodu City's matches and 29% of Abia Warriors's.

What form are Ikorodu City and Abia Warriors in?

Over the last 5 games Ikorodu City have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Abia Warriors 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ikorodu City vs Abia Warriors?

The statistical background for Ikorodu City vs Abia Warriors — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.