Ikorodu City vs Kano Pillars: match statistics
Ikorodu City vs Kano Pillars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ikorodu City played Kano Pillars in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Ikorodu City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Kano Pillars: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ikorodu City scores 1.03 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Kano Pillars scores 1.00 and concedes 0.97. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ikorodu City 33%, Kano Pillars 33%. Over 2.5: Ikorodu City 24%, Kano Pillars 33%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Kano Pillars has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.38. Ikorodu City: 7.6 shots per match, Kano Pillars: 2.9.
Match halves
Ikorodu City: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.52. Kano Pillars: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Ikorodu City: 46-60 (7 goals). Kano Pillars: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ikorodu City are the favorites in this fixture: at home they sit 3rd, win 75% of matches and keep 75% clean sheets, averaging 1.38 goals scored and only 0.38 conceded per game. The hosts generate significantly more chances — on average 13.13 shots (4.75 on target) and xG 1.59 at home versus 7.88 shots (2.13 on target) and xG 1.07 away for Kano, which translates into higher quality opportunities. Kano Pillars have clear issues on the road: in 56% of away matches they fail to score, average only 0.5 goals per away game and concede 1.5 on average, with just a 6% win rate away from home. In the last 5 meetings both teams scored 8 goals each, and Kano has a better points-per-game in those five (2.0 vs 1.4 for Ikorodu), indicating the visitors’ form, but chance conversion (10% vs 6%) and possession advantage (56% vs 45%) still favor the hosts. Therefore I forecast a home win; projected probabilities are: home 70%, draw 18%, away 12%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The dominant signal is the visitors' low finishing and the hosts' high number of clean sheets: Ikorodu City at home score on average 1.47 goals and concede 0.47 goals (59% of matches with a clean sheet), while Kano Pillars away score only 0.50 goals and concede 1.50 goals. Season averages give expected goals in this matchup of about 1.49 for Ikorodu and 0.49 for Kano (arithmetic mean of parameters), which under a Poisson distribution translates to roughly a 77% chance that the home team will score at least once and about a 38% chance that the visitors will do so. Multiplying these probabilities yields an estimated ~30% for BTTS (both teams to score) and ~70% for the scenario in which at least one team keeps a clean sheet. Counterarguments: the home xG is high (home xG_for 2.25 vs away xG_against 1.74 -> expected home goals ~2.0) and Kano have scored on average 1.6 goals in their last 5 matches, while Ikorodu have recently conceded on average 2.0 per match, which increases the BTTS probability, but these signals do not outweigh the long-season indicators (seasonal home BTTS 29%, league 37%, league clean sheet rate 75%). Therefore I recommend a 'No' bet with a distribution of 70% against 30%, because the high rate of home clean sheets (59%) and the league tendency toward matches without both teams scoring (75% clean sheets) are the strongest signals in the provided data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and defensive data I project about 1.8 goals for Ikorodu and 0.7 for Kano (total ~2.5). Ikorodu’s attacking xG is 2.25 versus Kano’s conceded xG 1.74, which would imply ~2.0 for the home side, but I lower the estimate to 1.8 due to a low home shot conversion rate of 2.0% and a seasonal goals-per-game average of 1.47. For Kano, attacking xG of 1.07 and the home defense xG conceded of 0.73 suggest ~0.9, yet the season away goals average is 0.5 and only 2.13 shots on target per match, so I expect ~0.7 goals. With an aggregate expected score of ~2.5, the probability of Over 1.5 goals is about 71%, Over 2.5 about 46%, and Over 3.5 about 24%. Additionally, 59% of Ikorodu’s matches and 56% of Kano’s matches finish Over 1.5 goals, therefore the strongest data signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ikorodu City holds a clear advantage: home goals average 1.47 versus Kano’s 0.50, xG 2.25 versus 1.07, and 71% home win rate compared to 6% for the visitors. At Half-Time the hosts score on average 0.88 and concede 0.24, leading at the break in 8 matches (47%), while Kano averages 0.19 goals at Half-Time and led only in 2 matches (13%). Ikorodu’s attack creates more chances: 17.67 shots and 6.0 on target per game versus Kano’s 7.88 and 2.13, and the hosts score 0.59 goals after the break on average while conceding 0.24, which supports either mounting a turnaround or holding a lead. Given these figures, the most likely scenario is a Half-Time draw with a home win (X/1) — HT draw 53% and a high share of eventual home victories — alternatively a home lead at Half-Time and a home win (1/1). Scenarios in which Kano win are unlikely given only 6% away wins and an average of 0.50 goals per game, so I assign them an almost zero probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ikorodu City | Kano Pillars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 14% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.50 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 2.56 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kano Pillars is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Ikorodu City · 2 pts / match - Kano Pillars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ikorodu City is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Ikorodu City · 0.97 goals / match - Kano Pillars
Ikorodu City scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Kano Pillars keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
Kano Pillars scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 52% (17 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ikorodu City
Over / Under - Kano Pillars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ikorodu City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kano Pillars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ikorodu City
Kano Pillars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Ikorodu City | Liga | Kano Pillars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.94 | 1.94 | • 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 37% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 38% | • 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ikorodu City 0 - 0 - 1 Kano Pillars. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ikorodu City vs Kano Pillars?
The NPFL match finished Ikorodu City 3:0 Kano Pillars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ikorodu City vs Kano Pillars?
Ikorodu City score 1.03 goals per game on average and Kano Pillars 1.00. The NPFL average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Ikorodu City's matches and 33% of Kano Pillars's.
What form are Ikorodu City and Kano Pillars in?
Over the last 5 games Ikorodu City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kano Pillars 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ikorodu City vs Kano Pillars?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.