Ikorodu City vs Kwara United: match statistics
Ikorodu City displays impressive home form with a 70% win rate at their venue and a mere 0% loss rate on their own ground. The hosts boast an 80% clean sheet record in home matches and a positive +10 goal difference, indicating a solid defense and offensive efficiency. Kwara United, on the other hand, has not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game and showing poor form with a 60% loss rate on the road. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.56 vs 0.8), confirming their advantage in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Considering all indicators, Ikorodu City holds a decisive edge and should win this encounter.
Ikorodu City vs Kwara United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ikorodu City played Kwara United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ikorodu City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Kwara United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ikorodu City scores 1.00 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. Kwara United scores 0.85 and concedes 0.90. League average: 1.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ikorodu City 35%, Kwara United 30%. Over 2.5: Ikorodu City 20%, Kwara United 20%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Ikorodu City has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.00. Ikorodu City: 7.9 shots per match, Kwara United: 3.6.
Match halves
Ikorodu City: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.55. Kwara United: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Ikorodu City: 31-45+ (4 goals). Kwara United: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.84 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ikorodu City displays impressive home form with a 70% win rate at their venue and a mere 0% loss rate on their own ground. The hosts boast an 80% clean sheet record in home matches and a positive +10 goal difference, indicating a solid defense and offensive efficiency. Kwara United, on the other hand, has not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game and showing poor form with a 60% loss rate on the road. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.56 vs 0.8), confirming their advantage in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Considering all indicators, Ikorodu City holds a decisive edge and should win this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ikorodu City | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 1.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kwara United is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ikorodu City · 1.2 pts / match - Kwara United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ikorodu City is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Ikorodu City · 0.85 goals / match - Kwara United
Ikorodu City is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.65 goals / match - Ikorodu City · 0.9 goals / match - Kwara United
Ikorodu City scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Kwara United scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 60% (12 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ikorodu City
Over / Under - Kwara United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ikorodu City is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Ikorodu City · 1.1 pts / match - Kwara United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ikorodu City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ikorodu City
Kwara United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Ikorodu City | Liga | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.65 | 1.84 | • 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | • 35% | 36% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 45% | 58% | ▼ 45% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ikorodu City 0 - 1 - 0 Kwara United. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ikorodu City vs Kwara United?
The NPFL match finished Ikorodu City 1:0 Kwara United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ikorodu City vs Kwara United?
Ikorodu City score 1.00 goals per game on average and Kwara United 0.85. The NPFL average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Ikorodu City's matches and 30% of Kwara United's.
What form are Ikorodu City and Kwara United in?
Over the last 5 games Ikorodu City have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kwara United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ikorodu City vs Kwara United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.