Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars: match statistics
Ikorodu City presents impressive home form with a 73% win rate and zero percent losses at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.18 goals per match at home with minimal goals conceded (0.18 per match), confirming their defensive solidity with 82% clean sheets. Shooting Stars has significant problems in away matches – only 18% wins, 64% of matches without scoring a goal, and a negative goal difference (-8). The higher average xG of the hosts (1.55 vs 1.18) and the advantage in possession (57% vs 48%) further speak for Ikorodu City. The difference in the quality of the hosts' home play and the guests' away play is significant enough to decidedly favor a victory for the home team.
Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ikorodu City played Shooting Stars in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 28 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ikorodu City: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Shooting Stars: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ikorodu City scores 0.95 and concedes 0.64 goals per match. Shooting Stars scores 0.91 and concedes 0.82. League average: 1.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ikorodu City 32%, Shooting Stars 32%. Over 2.5: Ikorodu City 18%, Shooting Stars 23%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Ikorodu City has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.35. Ikorodu City: 7.6 shots per match, Shooting Stars: 7.2.
Match halves
Ikorodu City: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.50. Shooting Stars: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Ikorodu City: 31-45+ (4 goals). Shooting Stars: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.85 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ikorodu City presents impressive home form with a 73% win rate and zero percent losses at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.18 goals per match at home with minimal goals conceded (0.18 per match), confirming their defensive solidity with 82% clean sheets. Shooting Stars has significant problems in away matches – only 18% wins, 64% of matches without scoring a goal, and a negative goal difference (-8). The higher average xG of the hosts (1.55 vs 1.18) and the advantage in possession (57% vs 48%) further speak for Ikorodu City. The difference in the quality of the hosts' home play and the guests' away play is significant enough to decidedly favor a victory for the home team.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ikorodu City | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shooting Stars is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Ikorodu City · 1.8 pts / match - Shooting Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ikorodu City is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.64 goals / match - Ikorodu City · 0.82 goals / match - Shooting Stars
Ikorodu City scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
Shooting Stars scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 59% (13 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ikorodu City
Over / Under - Shooting Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ikorodu City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shooting Stars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ikorodu City
Shooting Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Ikorodu City | Liga | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.59 | 1.85 | ▼ 1.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 37% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 59% | 38% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 41% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ikorodu City 0 - 1 - 0 Shooting Stars. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars?
The NPFL match finished Ikorodu City 1:0 Shooting Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars?
Ikorodu City score 0.95 goals per game on average and Shooting Stars 0.91. The NPFL average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Ikorodu City's matches and 32% of Shooting Stars's.
What form are Ikorodu City and Shooting Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Ikorodu City have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Shooting Stars 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars?
The statistical background for Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.