Ilirija vs Jesenice: match statistics
Analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams in this encounter. Ilirija occupies 15th place in the table with a 2-6-9 record, while Jesenice sits in 14th position with a result of 3-4-10. The hosts have slightly better home form with 13% wins, but they concede an average of 2 goals per match at home. The guests show better disposition in their last 5 overall matches (1.6 points per match vs 1.0), however, their away statistics are weak – only 25% wins and an average of 2.25 goals conceded. A key factor is Ilirija's high draw rate at their own stadium (38%) and the fact that both teams have a negative goal difference. Considering the close xG values and recent forms, a draw appears to be the most likely result, although the slight advantage of the hosts resulting from playing at home gives them minimally higher chances for victory.
Ilirija vs Jesenice: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ilirija played Jesenice in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Ilirija: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Jesenice: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ilirija scores 1.24 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Jesenice scores 1.06 and concedes 2.18. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ilirija 76%, Jesenice 47%. Over 2.5: Ilirija 65%, Jesenice 65%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Ilirija has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.22. Ilirija: 13.8 shots per match, Jesenice: 9.3.
Match halves
Ilirija: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.71. Jesenice: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Ilirija: 16-30 (5 goals). Jesenice: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams in this encounter. Ilirija occupies 15th place in the table with a 2-6-9 record, while Jesenice sits in 14th position with a result of 3-4-10. The hosts have slightly better home form with 13% wins, but they concede an average of 2 goals per match at home. The guests show better disposition in their last 5 overall matches (1.6 points per match vs 1.0), however, their away statistics are weak – only 25% wins and an average of 2.25 goals conceded. A key factor is Ilirija's high draw rate at their own stadium (38%) and the fact that both teams have a negative goal difference. Considering the close xG values and recent forms, a draw appears to be the most likely result, although the slight advantage of the hosts resulting from playing at home gives them minimally higher chances for victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ilirija | Jesenice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Jesenice is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ilirija · 1.6 pts / match - Jesenice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilirija is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Ilirija · 1.06 goals / match - Jesenice
Ilirija is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Ilirija · 2.18 goals / match - Jesenice
Ilirija scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Jesenice keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Jesenice scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Ilirija keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ilirija
Over / Under - Jesenice
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ilirija - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Jesenice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ilirija
Jesenice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Ilirija | Liga | Jesenice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.24 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ilirija 1 - 0 - 0 Jesenice. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ilirija vs Jesenice?
The 2. SNL match finished Ilirija 2:0 Jesenice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ilirija vs Jesenice?
Ilirija score 1.24 goals per game on average and Jesenice 1.06. The 2. SNL average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Ilirija's matches and 47% of Jesenice's.
What form are Ilirija and Jesenice in?
Over the last 5 games Ilirija have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Jesenice 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ilirija vs Jesenice?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.