Ilves vs Mariehamn: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Ilves vs Mariehamn: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ilves play Mariehamn in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 8 August 2026.
Current form
Ilves: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mariehamn: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ilves scores 1.61 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Mariehamn scores 0.50 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ilves 61%, Mariehamn 39%. Over 2.5: Ilves 67%, Mariehamn 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Ilves has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.04. Ilves: 11.9 shots per match, Mariehamn: 8.5.
Match halves
Ilves: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.78. Mariehamn: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.28.
Goals by minute
Ilves: 16-30 (6 goals). Mariehamn: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ilves | Mariehamn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ilves is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Ilves · 0.2 pts / match - Mariehamn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilves is 222% better for: goals scored per match.
1.61 goals / match - Ilves · 0.5 goals / match - Mariehamn
Ilves is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - Ilves · 2.17 goals / match - Mariehamn
Ilves scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 18 matches).
Mariehamn scores in 39% of matches (7 of 18 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ilves
Over / Under — Mariehamn
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ilves is 136% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Ilves · 0.61 pts / match - Mariehamn
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ilves
Mariehamn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Ilves | Liga | Mariehamn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 2.60 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 49% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 77% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Ilves 1 - 1 - 1 Mariehamn. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Ilves and Mariehamn play?
Ilves face Mariehamn on 8 August 2026 in Veikkausliiga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ilves and Mariehamn?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ilves won 1, Mariehamn won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ilves vs Mariehamn?
Ilves score 1.61 goals per game on average and Mariehamn 0.50. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Ilves's matches and 39% of Mariehamn's.
What form are Ilves and Mariehamn in?
Over the last 5 games Ilves have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mariehamn 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ilves vs Mariehamn?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ilves vs Mariehamn: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.