Ilves vs Oulu: match statistics
Ilves vs Oulu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ilves played Oulu in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 8 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ilves: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Oulu: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ilves scores 1.40 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. Oulu scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ilves 100%, Oulu 50%. Over 2.5: Ilves 80%, Oulu 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Oulu has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.19. Ilves: 10.2 shots per match, Oulu: 11.8.
Match halves
Ilves: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80. Oulu: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Ilves: 16-30 (2 goals). Oulu: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Oulu). Ilves have lost all 3 home matches so far (0% wins), conceding an average of 3.0 goals per game and scoring only 1.0 goal with an average xG of 1.74, indicating serious defensive issues despite creating chances. Oulu on the road score on average 2.25 goals and concede 1.5, have a 50% win rate away and 25% clean sheets, and a shot conversion rate of 18% versus Ilves’ 7% points to significantly better attacking efficiency from the visitors. The form gap is also visible in points over the last 5 matches: Ilves 0.4 points per game vs Oulu 1.2 points per game, and league positions 11 vs 1 further favour Oulu. Therefore, given the markedly weaker home defense and superior visitor efficiency, I assess the probabilities at approximately 70% for Oulu, 18% for a draw and 12% for an Ilves upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The data shows a strong contrast: Ilves at home has a season 100% clean sheets rate and season BTTS 0% (seasonConcededAVG_home 0.0; seasonCSPercentage_home 100.0; seasonBTTSPercentage_home 0.0), indicating no goals conceded at home; whereas Oulu has a season BTTS 75% and averages 2.25 goals scored per away match (seasonScoredAVG_away 2.25; seasonBTTSPercentage_away 75.0). From a chance-quality perspective Oulu posts a higher xG_for 1.43 versus Ilves xG_for 1.2 and generates more shots (avg 12.75 vs 10.0), supporting the possibility of an away goal. However Ilves’s home season record (100% clean sheets) is extreme relative to the league average clean sheets 56% and is a strong signal for No BTTS, especially given seasonConcededAVG_home is 0.0. Recent form favors BTTS — Ilves’s last 5 matches show 100% BTTS and they concede on average 2.2 goals in the last 5 (last5_seasonBTTSPercentage_overall_home 100.0; last5_seasonConcededAVG_overall_home 2.2), which undermines the season record and reduces confidence in a “no” bet. Considering the extreme seasonal clean sheet metric for the home side versus the visitors’ offensive profile (2.25 goals, xG 1.43, BTTS 75%), I assign 65% to No (no both teams to score) and 35% to BTTS - Yes, therefore I recommend: no.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Ilves xG_for 1.20 vs xG_against Oulu 1.36 yields an expected 1.28 goals for Ilves, and Oulu xG_for 1.43 vs xG_against Ilves 1.12 yields ~1.28 for Oulu, total 2.56. Season averages show Oulu scores 2.25 goals per match, Ilves 1.50; in the last 5 matches both teams averaged 1.4 goals each (7 goals in 5 matches each), giving a combined average of ~2.8. Shot and finishing stats (Ilves 10 shots and 4.0 on target, Oulu 12.75 and 4.75; conversion 15% vs 18%) and seasonal Over 2.5: Oulu 75% (away) vs Ilves 0% season-wide, but Ilves 80% in the last 5, indicate elevated likelihood of goals. Considering the 2.56 expected goals and Oulu’s clear offensive efficiency, the strongest signal is Over 2.5 (recommendation: over with estimated ~65% probability); Over 1.5 is highly likely (~90%), and Over 3.5 less likely (~30%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ilves are very strong at home: they have won 100% of home matches and have not conceded at their stadium yet (home goals conceded average 0.0), which strongly supports a home victory. At half-time Ilves led in 50% of home matches and were level in 50% (50% leads, 50% draws), and they average 0.5 goals before the break, so the most likely half-time scores are 0-0 or 1-0. Oulu score an average of 2.25 goals away and 75% of their away matches see both teams score, but they also concede an average of 1.5 goals on the road, which reduces their chances against a side that has not conceded at home so far. xG data show a slight advantage for Oulu in chance creation (xG 1.43 away vs Ilves xG 1.2 at home), yet Ilves’ defensive home stats (100% clean sheets) and the home side’s average of 1.5 goals per home game suggest Ilves will win without conceding. Therefore I select the scenario of the home team leading at the break and winning the match (1/1) as the strongest signal — I assess its probability at 50%, with overall chances for an Ilves win at about 80% (1/1 + X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ilves | Oulu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oulu is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Ilves · 1.8 pts / match - Oulu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oulu is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Ilves · 2 goals / match - Oulu
Oulu is 120% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - Ilves · 1 goals / match - Oulu
Ilves scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Oulu scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ilves
Over / Under - Oulu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oulu is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Ilves · 1.83 pts / match - Oulu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Oulu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ilves
Oulu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Ilves | Liga | Oulu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.60 | 2.34 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ilves 1 - 1 - 0 Oulu. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ilves vs Oulu?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Ilves 1:0 Oulu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ilves and Oulu?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ilves won 1, Oulu won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ilves vs Oulu?
Ilves score 1.40 goals per game on average and Oulu 2.00. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Ilves's matches and 50% of Oulu's.
What form are Ilves and Oulu in?
Over the last 5 games Ilves have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Oulu 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ilves vs Oulu?
The statistical background for Ilves vs Oulu — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.