Imigresen vs Terengganu: match statistics

Terengganu sit 5th, while Imigresen are 9th, with the gap also reflected in their recent form: the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 points per game. Imigresen have not won any of their last 5 matches, drawing 4 of them, which increases the likelihood of a closely contested game but does not provide the hosts with a strong case for victory. The home side have conceded 14 goals in their last five appearances, averaging 2.8 per match, while scoring 7. Over the same period, Terengganu have a 6:6 goal record. Across the season, the visitors’ defence has conceded just 3 goals in 3 matches, whereas Imigresen have already allowed 11, making an away win for Terengganu the more likely outcome.

BTTS - No has a slight edge, as only 32% of matches across the league have ended with both teams scoring, while 74% of teams have kept a clean sheet. Terengganu recorded BTTS in just 20% of their last 5 matches, despite averaging 1.2 goals per game. Imigresen, however, have been notably vulnerable defensively: they conceded 14 goals in their last five appearances, an average of 2.8, with an xG against of 2.13. The hosts have themselves averaged 1.4 goals per game recently, but their xG of 0.96 points to limited quality in the chances created. The most likely scenario, therefore, is that Terengganu will exploit their opponents’ defensive weakness, while at least one team—more likely the hosts—will fail to score.

Imigresen’s last five matches produced an average of 4.2 goals, as the team scored 1.4 goals per game but conceded as many as 2.8. Over the same period, Terengganu scored 1.2 goals per game and recorded an xG of 1.37, while the home side’s defence allowed opponents an xG of 2.13. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of Imigresen’s last five matches and in 60% of Terengganu’s games, indicating realistic potential for a result featuring around 2–3 goals. The hosts average 12 shots and 3.67 shots on target, so despite their own xG of 0.96, they should contribute to the total. The strongest pick is Over 1.5, as the projected 2.90 goals provides a significantly greater safety margin for this line than for Over 2.5.

Terengganu are showing clearly better current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 points per game, while Imigresen have not won any of their matches and collected just 0.8 points per game. The visitors led at the break in 40% of these matches, while the hosts were also trailing at half-time in 40%, with Terengganu averaging 0.8 goals scored and Imigresen conceding as many as 1.4 before the interval. After the break, the hosts still look fragile defensively, having conceded an average of 1.4 goals in their last five appearances, with goals scored in the second half of all 5 matches. Imigresen also conceded an average of 2.8 goals per full match in this run, compared with 1.2 for Terengganu, strengthening the scenario of the visitors maintaining their lead until the end. The visitors’ season data is incomplete, so the advantage is not rated extremely highly; however, the HT/FT combination of Terengganu leading at half-time and winning remains the strongest single outcome, 2/2.