El Salvador - Salvadoran Primera DivisiónData current as of 27 July 2026

INCA-Aruba vs Alianza: match statistics

INCA-Aruba
1 : 3half-time 0:1
Alianza crest
Alianza

INCA-Aruba vs Alianza: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

INCA-Aruba play Alianza in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

INCA-Aruba: 0-0-1, 0.00 points/match. Alianza: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

INCA-Aruba scores 1.00 and concedes 3.00 goals per match. Alianza scores 3.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.00 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: INCA-Aruba 100%, Alianza 100%. Over 2.5: INCA-Aruba 100%, Alianza 100%. League level: BTTS 83%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Alianza has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.25. INCA-Aruba: 9.0 shots per match, Alianza: 11.0.

Match halves

INCA-Aruba: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Alianza: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 2.00.

Goals by minute

INCA-Aruba: 61-75 (1 goals). Alianza: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Salvadoran Primera División: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 83%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Match description

Alianza has scored 6 and conceded 6 in the last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.2 goals against per game, with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. INCA-Aruba shows 0 goals this season and 0 goals in the last 5 matches with 0 points per game, indicating no confirmed achievements (0.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG Alianza). Alianza averages 1.4 points per game across the last five fixtures versus the hosts’ 0.0 PPG, giving the visitors an edge in result stability. Alianza’s defensive weakness (1.2 conceded per game) keeps the risk of an open match and raises the probability of a draw, but the gap in documented offensive effectiveness (1.2 vs 0.0) favors the away side. On this basis the most likely outcome is a win for Alianza.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
INCA-ArubaAlianza
9Shots11
INCA-ArubaAlianza
3Shots on target6
INCA-ArubaAlianza
1.25xG1.63
INCA-ArubaAlianza
5Corners5
INCA-ArubaAlianza
65Dangerous attacks69
INCA-ArubaAlianza
16Fouls14
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0Cards0
INCA-ArubaAlianza

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match3
INCA-ArubaAlianza
3Goals conceded / match1
INCA-ArubaAlianza
42%Average possession58%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
3Shots on target / match6
INCA-ArubaAlianza

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9Shots per match11
INCA-ArubaAlianza
3Shots on target6
INCA-ArubaAlianza
11.1%Shot conversion27.3%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
42%Possession58%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
1.25xG for1.63
INCA-ArubaAlianza
1.63xG against1.25
INCA-ArubaAlianza

Shooting quality

INCA-Aruba: BalancedAlianza: Efficient finishing
INCA-ArubaAlianza
Accuracy (shots on target)33%55%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

INCA-Aruba
L
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% R100% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Alianza
W
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Alianza is 200% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - INCA-Aruba · 3 goals / match - Alianza

Alianza is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.

3 goals / match - INCA-Aruba · 1 goals / match - Alianza

INCA-Aruba scoring profile: very strong

INCA-Aruba scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Alianza keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

Alianza scoring profile: very strong

Alianza scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while INCA-Aruba keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

1Goals scored (season)3
INCA-ArubaAlianza
3Goals conceded (season)1
INCA-ArubaAlianza
4Average goals in match4
INCA-ArubaAlianza
1Goals scored (last 5)3
INCA-ArubaAlianza
3Goals conceded (last 5)1
INCA-ArubaAlianza

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0%2 goals100%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0%3 goals100%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0%4 goals0%
INCA-ArubaAlianza

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
100%2 goals0%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
100%3 goals0%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0%4 goals0%
INCA-ArubaAlianza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

83%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0%BTTS in both halves0%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0%Scored in both halves100%
INCA-ArubaAlianza

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
100%BTTS - last 5100%
INCA-ArubaAlianza

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
INCA-ArubaAlianza

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
100%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
100%Min. 3 goals after half-time100%
INCA-ArubaAlianza

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

INCA-Aruba - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing
Alianza - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0Points per match (1st half)3
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0Goals scored (1st half)1
INCA-ArubaAlianza
1Goals conceded (1st half)0
INCA-ArubaAlianza
1Average goals (1st half)1
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0%Clean sheet before half-time100%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
100%No goal before half-time0%
INCA-ArubaAlianza

After half-time (2nd half)

0Points per match (2nd half)3
INCA-ArubaAlianza
1Goals scored (2nd half)2
INCA-ArubaAlianza
2Goals conceded (2nd half)1
INCA-ArubaAlianza
3Average goals (2nd half)3
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0%Clean sheet after half-time0%
INCA-ArubaAlianza
0%No goal after half-time0%
INCA-ArubaAlianza

INCA-Aruba - second-half results

0% W0% R100% P
0
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Alianza - second-half results

100% W0% R0% P
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

INCA-Aruba - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.000.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.02.0
Average goals in match1.03.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%100%
Clean sheet0%0%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Alianza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.003.00
Goals scored / match1.02.0
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match1.03.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%100%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

INCA-Aruba
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Alianza
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 3.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
133%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
100%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

INCA-Aruba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
180%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Alianza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
180%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
67% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
67%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).

Teams vs league

INCA-ArubaLigaAlianza
Average goals in match 4.003.00 4.00
Both teams scored 100%83% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%50% 100%
Clean sheets 0%17% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%67% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%83% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per match
83%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.67
Away goals / match
+-20%
Home attack advantage
+-26%
Home defence advantage
+-16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
0%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
67%
2 goals
50%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of INCA-Aruba vs Alianza?

The Salvadoran Primera División match finished INCA-Aruba 1:3 Alianza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before INCA-Aruba vs Alianza?

INCA-Aruba score 1.00 goals per game on average and Alianza 3.00. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 100% of INCA-Aruba's matches and 100% of Alianza's.

What form are INCA-Aruba and Alianza in?

Over the last 5 games INCA-Aruba have a 0-0-1 record (0.00 points per game) and Alianza 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for INCA-Aruba vs Alianza?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.