El Salvador - Salvadoran Primera DivisiónData current as of 06 September 2026

INCA-Aruba vs Atletico Balboa: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

INCA-Aruba vs Atletico Balboa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

INCA-Aruba play Atletico Balboa in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match date is 9 September 2026.

Current form

INCA-Aruba: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Atletico Balboa: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

INCA-Aruba scores 0.43 and concedes 2.29 goals per match. Atletico Balboa scores 1.14 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.56 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: INCA-Aruba 43%, Atletico Balboa 43%. Over 2.5: INCA-Aruba 43%, Atletico Balboa 29%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

INCA-Aruba has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.19. INCA-Aruba: 9.3 shots per match, Atletico Balboa: 6.6.

Match halves

INCA-Aruba: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.43. Atletico Balboa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

INCA-Aruba: 61-75 (2 goals). Atletico Balboa: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Salvadoran Primera División: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
0.43Goals scored / match1.14
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
2.29Goals conceded / match1.29
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
41%Average possession46%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
4Shots on target / match2.14
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.29Shots per match6.57
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
4Shots on target2.14
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
4.6%Shot conversion17.4%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
41%Possession46%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
1.3xG for1.19
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
1.98xG against1.53
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa

Shooting quality

INCA-Aruba: BalancedAtletico Balboa: Counter-attacking
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
Accuracy (shots on target)43%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.110.53

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atletico Balboa is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - INCA-Aruba · 1.6 pts / match - Atletico Balboa

INCA-Aruba
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W29% R71% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-5
0.29 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 at home
0-2-2
LLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 2.08BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Atletico Balboa
DDWWL
Season result split
29% W43% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
LDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atletico Balboa is 165% better for: goals scored per match.

0.43 goals / match - INCA-Aruba · 1.14 goals / match - Atletico Balboa

Atletico Balboa is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.29 goals / match - INCA-Aruba · 1.29 goals / match - Atletico Balboa

INCA-Aruba scoring profile: mixed

INCA-Aruba scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Atletico Balboa keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

Atletico Balboa scoring profile: strong

Atletico Balboa scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while INCA-Aruba keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

3Goals scored (season)8
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
16Goals conceded (season)9
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
2.71Average goals in match2.43
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
2Goals scored (last 5)6
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
11Goals conceded (last 5)5
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa

How often they score at least...

43%1 goal57%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
0%2 goals29%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
0%3 goals14%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
0%4 goals14%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal57%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
71%2 goals43%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
43%3 goals14%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
29%4 goals14%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time43%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
0%Scored in both halves14%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
40%BTTS - last 540%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time43%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atletico Balboa is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.57 pts / match - INCA-Aruba · 0.86 pts / match - Atletico Balboa

INCA-Aruba - half-time state
0% leading57% draw43% trailing
Atletico Balboa - half-time state
0% leading86% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.57Points per match (1st half)0.86
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
0Goals scored (1st half)0.57
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
0.57Average goals (1st half)1.29
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
57%Clean sheet before half-time57%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
100%No goal before half-time57%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa

After half-time (2nd half)

0.29Points per match (2nd half)1.29
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
1.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
2.14Average goals (2nd half)1.14
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
14%Clean sheet after half-time71%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa
57%No goal after half-time71%
INCA-ArubaAtletico Balboa

INCA-Aruba - second-half results

0% W29% R71% P
4
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.57
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+1.1

Concedes 1.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atletico Balboa - second-half results

29% W43% R29% P
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

INCA-Aruba - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.40
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.6
Average goals in match0.62.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-3-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Atletico Balboa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

INCA-Aruba
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Atletico Balboa
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.57
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

INCA-Aruba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.87
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
28%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
218%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Atletico Balboa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).

Teams vs league

INCA-ArubaLigaAtletico Balboa
Average goals in match 2.712.56 2.43
Both teams scored 43%49% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%44% 29%
Clean sheets 14%33% 43%
Goal before half-time 43%58% 43%
Goal after half-time 86%72% 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
1.05
Away goals / match
+44%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do INCA-Aruba and Atletico Balboa play?

INCA-Aruba face Atletico Balboa on 9 September 2026 in Salvadoran Primera División. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before INCA-Aruba vs Atletico Balboa?

INCA-Aruba score 0.43 goals per game on average and Atletico Balboa 1.14. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 43% of INCA-Aruba's matches and 43% of Atletico Balboa's.

What form are INCA-Aruba and Atletico Balboa in?

Over the last 5 games INCA-Aruba have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Atletico Balboa 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for INCA-Aruba vs Atletico Balboa?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for INCA-Aruba vs Atletico Balboa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.