INCA-Aruba vs Cacahuatique: match statistics
INCA-Aruba vs Cacahuatique: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
INCA-Aruba played Cacahuatique in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 29 August 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
INCA-Aruba: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Cacahuatique: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
INCA-Aruba scores 0.33 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. Cacahuatique scores 1.50 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: INCA-Aruba 33%, Cacahuatique 67%. Over 2.5: INCA-Aruba 50%, Cacahuatique 67%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
INCA-Aruba has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.30. INCA-Aruba: 9.3 shots per match, Cacahuatique: 8.5.
Match halves
INCA-Aruba: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33. Cacahuatique: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
INCA-Aruba: 61-75 (2 goals). Cacahuatique: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
INCA-Aruba remain winless after six matches this season, scoring just 1 goal and conceding 12 across their last five fixtures. At home, the hosts average only 0.33 goals, have failed to score in 67% of such matches, and allow opponents an average of 2.33 goals. Cacahuatique have a clearly more stable recent run: they have suffered just one defeat in their last five matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding 7, while INCA-Aruba have lost four times. The visitors create chances worth an average xG of 1.37 away from home, while the hosts’ defence allows opponents an xG of 1.97, pointing to favourable conditions for Cacahuatique to overcome their poor away finishing. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as Cacahuatique’s only away match so far ended 0:0, but the hosts’ very weak defence and form give a slight edge to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS scenario does not have the edge, as INCA-Aruba have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2 per game, while BTTS has occurred in only 20% of their matches during this period. Cacahuatique should have good conditions to score: the hosts have recently conceded an average of 2.4 goals, with an xG against them of 2.04, while the visitors have scored an average of 1.4 goals. The most likely outcome is therefore a goal for the visitors alongside another modest attacking return from the hosts. The case for BTTS is supported by INCA-Aruba’s xG of 1.35 across their last five appearances, but Cacahuatique allow an average of 1.44 xG, and the hosts’ poor finishing significantly reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. In addition, the league BTTS average is only 44%, supporting the selection where at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
INCA-Aruba are in very poor defensive form: they have conceded an average of 2.4 goals over their last 5 matches, while their average xG conceded to opponents was as high as 2.04. During this period, Cacahuatique scored 1.4 goals per match and generated 1.27 xG, which, against the hosts’ defensive weaknesses, gives the visitors a realistic chance of scoring at least once. The hosts have scored just 1 goal in their last five matches, but their average xG of 1.35 over this period, combined with the 1.44 xG conceded by Cacahuatique, leaves room for them to add a goal. In the last five matches of both teams, the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 40% and 60% of cases respectively, so higher lines do not have equally strong support. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.40 goals combines INCA-Aruba’s clear defensive weakness with sufficient attacking potential from both sides.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Cacahuatique win, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors were level in 4 of 5. INCA-Aruba have not won any of their last five matches, scoring just 0.2 goals per game and conceding 2.4, whereas Cacahuatique averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 points per match. The difference in form is even more pronounced after the break: the hosts averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while the visitors scored 0.8 goals and conceded just 0.4. The visitors’ seasonal data is very limited, but their recent results, featuring a 60% draw rate and only 20% defeats, point to a team capable of maintaining parity before half-time and turning the match in their favour late on.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| INCA-Aruba | Cacahuatique | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.08 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cacahuatique is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - INCA-Aruba · 1.2 pts / match - Cacahuatique
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cacahuatique is 355% better for: goals scored per match.
0.33 goals / match - INCA-Aruba · 1.5 goals / match - Cacahuatique
Cacahuatique is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.5 goals / match - INCA-Aruba · 1.83 goals / match - Cacahuatique
INCA-Aruba scores in 33% of matches (2 of 6 matches), while Cacahuatique keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Cacahuatique scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while INCA-Aruba keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - INCA-Aruba
Over / Under - Cacahuatique
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cacahuatique is 134% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - INCA-Aruba · 1.17 pts / match - Cacahuatique
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
INCA-Aruba - second-half results
Concedes 1.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cacahuatique - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
INCA-Aruba
Cacahuatique
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| INCA-Aruba | Liga | Cacahuatique | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.50 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 47% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 67% | • 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- CacahuatiqueGoalHerbert Arnoldo Sosa Burgos
FAQ
What was the result of INCA-Aruba vs Cacahuatique?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished INCA-Aruba 1:1 Cacahuatique. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before INCA-Aruba vs Cacahuatique?
INCA-Aruba score 0.33 goals per game on average and Cacahuatique 1.50. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 33% of INCA-Aruba's matches and 67% of Cacahuatique's.
What form are INCA-Aruba and Cacahuatique in?
Over the last 5 games INCA-Aruba have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Cacahuatique 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for INCA-Aruba vs Cacahuatique?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for INCA-Aruba vs Cacahuatique: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


