INCA-Aruba vs Fuerte San Francisco: match statistics
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INCA-Aruba vs Fuerte San Francisco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
INCA-Aruba play Fuerte San Francisco in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match date is 19 September 2026.
Current form
INCA-Aruba: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Fuerte San Francisco: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
INCA-Aruba scores 0.60 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. Fuerte San Francisco scores 0.56 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: INCA-Aruba 40%, Fuerte San Francisco 33%. Over 2.5: INCA-Aruba 40%, Fuerte San Francisco 33%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Fuerte San Francisco has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.22. INCA-Aruba: 8.2 shots per match, Fuerte San Francisco: 9.0.
Match halves
INCA-Aruba: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.50. Fuerte San Francisco: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
INCA-Aruba: 76-90+ (3 goals). Fuerte San Francisco: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| INCA-Aruba | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 54% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
INCA-Aruba is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - INCA-Aruba · 0.6 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
INCA-Aruba is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
0.6 goals / match - INCA-Aruba · 0.56 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Fuerte San Francisco is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.9 goals / match - INCA-Aruba · 1.67 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco
INCA-Aruba scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Fuerte San Francisco keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Fuerte San Francisco scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while INCA-Aruba keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - INCA-Aruba
Over / Under - Fuerte San Francisco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fuerte San Francisco is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / match - INCA-Aruba · 1.44 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
INCA-Aruba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fuerte San Francisco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
INCA-Aruba
Fuerte San Francisco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| INCA-Aruba | Liga | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 48% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 32% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do INCA-Aruba and Fuerte San Francisco play?
INCA-Aruba face Fuerte San Francisco on 19 September 2026 in Salvadoran Primera División. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before INCA-Aruba vs Fuerte San Francisco?
INCA-Aruba score 0.60 goals per game on average and Fuerte San Francisco 0.56. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 40% of INCA-Aruba's matches and 33% of Fuerte San Francisco's.
What form are INCA-Aruba and Fuerte San Francisco in?
Over the last 5 games INCA-Aruba have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fuerte San Francisco 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for INCA-Aruba vs Fuerte San Francisco?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.