South Korea - K League 1Sungui Arena ParkData current as of 24 July 2026

Incheon United vs Bucheon 1995: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Incheon United vs Bucheon 1995: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Incheon United play Bucheon 1995 in K League 1 (South Korea). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 12:30. Venue: Sungui Arena Park.

Current form

Incheon United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Bucheon 1995: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Incheon United scores 1.26 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Bucheon 1995 scores 0.89 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.31 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Incheon United 47%, Bucheon 1995 42%. Over 2.5: Incheon United 53%, Bucheon 1995 37%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Incheon United has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.24. Incheon United: 11.5 shots per match, Bucheon 1995: 10.1.

Match halves

Incheon United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.53. Bucheon 1995: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Incheon United: 31-45+ (8 goals). Bucheon 1995: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

K League 1: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

4 H2H matches: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.73)
(3.40)
(5.00)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
1.26Goals scored / match0.89
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
1.05Goals conceded / match1.26
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
52%Average possession40%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
4.11Shots on target / match3.21
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.47Shots per match10.11
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
4.11Shots on target3.21
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
11%Shot conversion8.9%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
52%Possession40%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
1.48xG for1.24
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
1.28xG against1.75
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995

Shooting quality

Incheon United: BalancedBucheon 1995: Balanced
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
Accuracy (shots on target)36%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Incheon United is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Incheon United · 1 pts / match - Bucheon 1995

Incheon United
WLLWW
Season result split
42% W16% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-8
1.42 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-6
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.96Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Bucheon 1995
WDDLL
Season result split
21% W37% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-8
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 2.03BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Incheon United is 42% better for: goals scored per match.

1.26 goals / match - Incheon United · 0.89 goals / match - Bucheon 1995

Incheon United is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.05 goals / match - Incheon United · 1.26 goals / match - Bucheon 1995

Incheon United scoring profile: strong

Incheon United scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Bucheon 1995 keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).

Bucheon 1995 scoring profile: strong

Bucheon 1995 scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Incheon United keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).

24Goals scored (season)17
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
20Goals conceded (season)24
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
2.32Average goals in match2.16
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
7Goals scored (last 5)8
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
3Goals conceded (last 5)9
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal58%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
37%2 goals26%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
11%3 goals5%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
5%4 goals0%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal68%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
26%2 goals42%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
11%3 goals16%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
0%4 goals0%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time21%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
5%BTTS in both halves11%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
26%Scored in both halves11%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
20%BTTS - last 580%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Incheon United is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / match - Incheon United · 0.68 pts / match - Bucheon 1995

Incheon United - half-time state
32% leading47% draw21% trailing
Bucheon 1995 - half-time state
0% leading68% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per match (1st half)0.68
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
0.74Goals scored (1st half)0.21
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
1.16Average goals (1st half)0.84
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
58%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
47%No goal before half-time79%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
1.16Average goals (2nd half)1.32
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
58%Clean sheet after half-time53%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995
53%No goal after half-time53%
Incheon UnitedBucheon 1995

Incheon United - second-half results

32% W32% R37% P
27
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bucheon 1995 - second-half results

26% W42% R32% P
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.68
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Incheon United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Bucheon 1995 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Incheon United
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
4
1
16-30
8
4
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
3
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Bucheon 1995
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
6
16-30
2
4
31-45
3
5
46-60
6
3
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Incheon United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Bucheon 1995

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).

Teams vs league

Incheon UnitedLigaBucheon 1995
Average goals in match 2.322.31 2.16
Both teams scored 47%51% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%39% 37%
Clean sheets 32%30% 32%
Goal before half-time 74%63% 53%
Goal after half-time 74%73% 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.31
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.09
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+-11%
Home attack advantage
+-12%
Home defence advantage
+-12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Incheon United 2 - 1 - 1 Bucheon 1995. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Bucheon 1995
2 : 2
Incheon United
Bucheon FC 1995
1 : 0
Incheon United FC
Incheon United FC
1 : 0
Bucheon FC 1995
Bucheon FC 1995
1 : 3
Incheon United FC

FAQ

When do Incheon United and Bucheon 1995 play?

Incheon United face Bucheon 1995 on 26 July 2026 in K League 1 at Sungui Arena Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Incheon United and Bucheon 1995?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Incheon United won 2, Bucheon 1995 won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Incheon United vs Bucheon 1995?

Incheon United score 1.26 goals per game on average and Bucheon 1995 0.89. The K League 1 average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Incheon United's matches and 42% of Bucheon 1995's.

What form are Incheon United and Bucheon 1995 in?

Over the last 5 games Incheon United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Bucheon 1995 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Incheon United vs Bucheon 1995?

The statistical background for Incheon United vs Bucheon 1995 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.