South Korea - K League 1Data current as of 07 September 2026

Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen: match statistics

125%(2.50)
X35%(3.10)
240%(2.75)

Daejeon Citizen are displaying significantly better form than Incheon United, as evidenced by their unbeaten run in the last five matches (1W-4D-0L) and higher PPG (1.4 vs 0.2). Incheon United are in terrible form, sitting in 12th place in the table with zero home wins and a 100% points loss in home matches. The visitors dominate in terms of possession (69% vs 55%) and generate a higher average xG away from home (1.54 vs the hosts' 1.02 at home), indicating their offensive superiority. Although Daejeon have a tendency to draw away from home (100% Draw%), their solid defense and better form make them the favorites in this match. Considering all factors, the most likely outcome is a favorable result for the visitors, although a draw also remains a realistic option.

Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Incheon United played Daejeon Citizen in K League 1 (South Korea). The match was played on 18 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Incheon United: 0-1-2, 0.33 points/match. Daejeon Citizen: 0-3-0, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Incheon United scores 1.33 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Daejeon Citizen scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Incheon United 100%, Daejeon Citizen 100%. Over 2.5: Incheon United 67%, Daejeon Citizen 0%. League level: BTTS 88%, Over 2.5 41%.

xG, shots and style

Daejeon Citizen has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.59. Incheon United: 13.0 shots per match, Daejeon Citizen: 14.7.

Match halves

Incheon United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Daejeon Citizen: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Incheon United: 31-45+ (2 goals). Daejeon Citizen: 46-60 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

K League 1: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 88%, Over 2.5 41%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Daejeon Citizen are displaying significantly better form than Incheon United, as evidenced by their unbeaten run in the last five matches (1W-4D-0L) and higher PPG (1.4 vs 0.2). Incheon United are in terrible form, sitting in 12th place in the table with zero home wins and a 100% points loss in home matches. The visitors dominate in terms of possession (69% vs 55%) and generate a higher average xG away from home (1.54 vs the hosts' 1.02 at home), indicating their offensive superiority. Although Daejeon have a tendency to draw away from home (100% Draw%), their solid defense and better form make them the favorites in this match. Considering all factors, the most likely outcome is a favorable result for the visitors, although a draw also remains a realistic option.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
10Shots8
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
6Shots on target5
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
1.35xG1.1
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
7Corners2
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
40Dangerous attacks30
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
7Fouls16
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
3Cards3
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
1.33Goals scored / match1
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
2Goals conceded / match1
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
55%Average possession62%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
4Shots on target / match4
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13Shots per match14.67
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
4Shots on target4
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
10.3%Shot conversion6.8%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
55%Possession62%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
1.59xG for1.74
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
1.26xG against1.23
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen

Shooting quality

Incheon United: BalancedDaejeon Citizen: Dominant
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
Accuracy (shots on target)31%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Daejeon Citizen is 203% better for: last-5 form.

0.33 pts / match - Incheon United · 1 pts / match - Daejeon Citizen

Incheon United
LLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W33% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 67%
Daejeon Citizen
DDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W100% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-0
1.00 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-0
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Incheon United is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Incheon United · 1 goals / match - Daejeon Citizen

Daejeon Citizen is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Incheon United · 1 goals / match - Daejeon Citizen

Incheon United scoring profile: very strong

Incheon United scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Daejeon Citizen keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

Daejeon Citizen scoring profile: very strong

Daejeon Citizen scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Incheon United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

4Goals scored (season)3
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
6Goals conceded (season)3
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
3.33Average goals in match2
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
4Goals scored (last 5)3
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
33%2 goals0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
0%3 goals0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
0%4 goals0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
67%2 goals0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
33%3 goals0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
0%4 goals0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

88%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
33%BTTS in both halves0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
33%Scored in both halves0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
100%BTTS - last 5100%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
67%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Incheon United is 149% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Incheon United · 0.67 pts / match - Daejeon Citizen

Incheon United - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing
Daejeon Citizen - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)0.67
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
1Average goals (1st half)0.33
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
33%No goal before half-time100%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen

After half-time (2nd half)

0Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
1.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
2.33Average goals (2nd half)1.67
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
0%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
33%No goal after half-time0%
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen

Incheon United - second-half results

0% W0% R100% P
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.3

Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Daejeon Citizen - second-half results

33% W67% R0% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Incheon United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.670.00
Goals scored / match0.70.7
Goals conceded / match0.31.7
Average goals in match1.02.3
1 goal67%100%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals0%67%
Clean sheet67%0%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 33% leading - 67% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 2
Daejeon Citizen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.671.67
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.30.7
Average goals in match0.31.7
1 goal33%100%
2 goals0%67%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 67% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Incheon United
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
3
46-60
0
2
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Daejeon Citizen
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
100%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Incheon United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.74
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
161%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Daejeon Citizen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.74
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).

Teams vs league

Incheon UnitedLigaDaejeon Citizen
Average goals in match 3.332.47 2.00
Both teams scored 100%88% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%41% 0%
Clean sheets 0%12% 0%
Goal before half-time 67%47% 33%
Goal after half-time 100%82% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
88%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
12%
Clean sheets
1.24
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+0%
Home attack advantage
+0%
Home defence advantage
+-6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
47%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Daejeon CitizenGoalMasatoshi IshidaAssist: Jin-Su Seo
  2. Incheon UnitedSubstitutionOn: Chung-Yong LeeOff: Chi-In Jung
  3. Daejeon CitizenSubstitutionOn: Min-Duk KimOff: Chang-Rae Ha
  4. Incheon UnitedYellow cardIker Undabarrena Martínez
  5. Incheon UnitedGoalStefan MugošaAssist: Joo-Yong Lee
  6. Incheon UnitedYellow cardChung-Yong Lee
  7. Daejeon CitizenSubstitutionOn: Gustav LudwigsonOff: Jin-Su Seo
  8. Daejeon CitizenYellow cardMin-Duk Kim
  9. Incheon UnitedSubstitutionOn: Morgan FerrierOff: Gerso Fernandes
  10. Daejeon CitizenSubstitutionOn: Won-Sang EomOff: João Victor Lima Ferreira
  11. Incheon UnitedYellow cardJuan Fernández Blanco
  12. Daejeon CitizenGoalDiogo de Oliveira BarbosaAssist: Won-Sang Eom
  13. Daejeon CitizenYellow cardSeong-Kwon Jo
  14. Daejeon CitizenYellow cardDiogo de Oliveira Barbosa
  15. Daejeon CitizenGoalWon-Sang EomAssist: Diogo de Oliveira Barbosa

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Jong-Hyeok KimMatches officiated: 11
3.27Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 227%Home wins27%Draws45%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?

The K League 1 match finished Incheon United 1:3 Daejeon Citizen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?

Incheon United score 1.33 goals per game on average and Daejeon Citizen 1.00. The K League 1 average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Incheon United's matches and 100% of Daejeon Citizen's.

What form are Incheon United and Daejeon Citizen in?

Over the last 5 games Incheon United have a 0-1-2 record (0.33 points per game) and Daejeon Citizen 0-3-0 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?

The statistical background for Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.