Incheon United vs Jeju United: match statistics
Incheon United vs Jeju United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Incheon United play Jeju United in K League 1 (South Korea). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 09:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Incheon United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Jeju United: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Incheon United scores 1.26 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Jeju United scores 0.89 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Incheon United 47%, Jeju United 53%. Over 2.5: Incheon United 53%, Jeju United 32%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Incheon United has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.44. Incheon United: 11.5 shots per match, Jeju United: 11.9.
Match halves
Incheon United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.53. Jeju United: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Incheon United: 31-45+ (8 goals). Jeju United: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 1: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back Jeju United to win (2) because the visitors have won 50% of their away matches versus Incheon’s mere 25% home win rate. The decisive factor is defense: Jeju concedes an average of 0.75 goals away, while Incheon concedes 2.00 goals per home match and has recorded 0% CS%. Offensively both teams average 1.25 goals (Incheon at home 1.25, Jeju away 1.25), but Jeju does so with fewer shots (6.75 vs 11.75) and a superior conversion rate of 19% versus Incheon’s 11%. xG shows Incheon creates higher-quality chances at home (average xG 1.37 vs 0.91 for Jeju away), yet concedes more goals than expected, whereas Jeju, despite an average xG against of 1.71, actually concedes only 0.75, indicating strong defensive efficiency. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Jeju are unbeaten (3 wins, 2 draws) and have a higher PPG of 2.2 versus Incheon’s 2.0, so an away win is more likely.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Incheon United | Jeju United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Incheon United is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Incheon United · 1.2 pts / match - Jeju United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Incheon United is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Incheon United · 0.89 goals / match - Jeju United
Jeju United is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Incheon United · 1 goals / match - Jeju United
Incheon United scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Jeju United keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Jeju United scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Incheon United keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Incheon United
Over / Under — Jeju United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Incheon United is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Incheon United · 1.26 pts / match - Jeju United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Incheon United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Jeju United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Incheon United
Jeju United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).
Teams vs league
| Incheon United | Liga | Jeju United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.32 | 2.31 | ▼ 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 39% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 63% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Incheon United vs Jeju United?
The K League 1 match finished Incheon United 1:0 Jeju United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Incheon United vs Jeju United?
Incheon United score 1.26 goals per game on average and Jeju United 0.89. The K League 1 average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Incheon United's matches and 53% of Jeju United's.
What form are Incheon United and Jeju United in?
Over the last 5 games Incheon United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Jeju United 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Incheon United vs Jeju United?
The statistical background for Incheon United vs Jeju United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.