Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Capiatá: match statistics
Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Capiatá: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente FBC played Deportivo Capiatá in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 28 July 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Independiente FBC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Deportivo Capiatá: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente FBC scores 1.53 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Deportivo Capiatá scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente FBC 60%, Deportivo Capiatá 73%. Over 2.5: Independiente FBC 53%, Deportivo Capiatá 47%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente FBC has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.33. Independiente FBC: 9.8 shots per match, Deportivo Capiatá: 9.0.
Match halves
Independiente FBC: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.53. Deportivo Capiatá: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Independiente FBC: 31-45+ (7 goals). Deportivo Capiatá: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente FBC holds a clear advantage in chance creation and conversion — they have scored 23 goals this season, at home averaging 1.29 goals with xG 1.48 and 4.71 shots on target, whereas Deportivo Capiatá on the road averages only 0.57 goals per game, xG 1.01 and 2.5 shots on target. The visitors have yet to win away (0% wins) and finish 71% of their away matches as draws, with 43% of away games failing to score (FTS 43%), while the home side’s FTS is only 14%. Defensively the differences are small — Independiente concedes 1.14 goals at home, Capiatá 1.00 away; average xG against is 1.4 versus 1.14, indicating the visitors’ defense does not offset their weaker attack. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 9 goals and average 1.0 point per game, the visitors scored 8 goals and 1.2 points, showing similar form but a quality edge in chances for the hosts. Considering 4.71 vs 2.5 shots on target, xG 1.48 vs 1.01 and the visitors’ 0% away win rate, I back the home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong signal for BTTS - Yes is the 88% level for the home side and 57% for the away side — their average is about 72.5%, well above the league BTTS level of 56%. In the last 5 matches both teams record BTTS at 80% (home 80% and away 80%), with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded for the home team, and 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded for the away team, indicating that in the short term both sides regularly score and concede. The home team creates substantially more chances: season xG = 1.62 versus away xG = 1.01, on average 11.88 shots vs 6.17 and 6.0 shots on target vs 2.5; the home team rarely finishes matches without scoring (0% matches without a goal) and has only 13% clean sheets, yet concedes an average of 1.38 goals per game, which supports a Goal/Goal outcome. The away team has only 0.57 goals per game on the season and 43% of matches without scoring, but in the last 5 matches the away side averaged 1.6 goals and their xG over the last 5 was 1.41, so the away offense has recently been significantly better than the seasonal output. Considering the home 88% BTTS, 80% BTTS for both teams in the last 5, and the home advantage in xG and shots, I recommend BTTS = Yes with a probability of 78% vs 22% No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Independiente FBC scores an average of 2.13 goals at home (xG 1.62) and 88% of their home matches finish Over 1.5, with 75% Over 2.5. Deportivo Capiatá has a low away average of 0.57 goals (xG 1.01) and only 14% of away games end Over 2.5, but in the last 5 fixtures both teams found the net in 80% of cases (Independiente 9 goals in last 5, Deportivo 8 goals). The hosts average 6.0 shots on target and 11.88 shots overall per match versus 2.5 on target and 6.17 for the visitors, with conversion rates of 18% vs 11%, indicating a clear attacking edge for the home side. Considering xG 1.62 vs 1.01, the shot advantage and Independiente’s high Over 1.5/2.5 percentages, I project 1.95 goals for the home team and 0.95 for the away team (total 2.90) and recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is X/1 (draw at Half-Time, home win at Full-Time). Independiente FBC draws at the break in 50% of matches (drawingAtHTPercentage_home = 50.0) while recording a 63% win rate in full-time results (winPercentage_home = 63.0), whereas Deportivo Capiatá has no away wins (winPercentage_away = 0.0) and leads at the break in only 14% of games. The quality gap is reflected in the numbers: the hosts average 2.13 goals per match versus 0.57 for the visitors, have an xG of 1.62 compared to the opponents' 1.01, and record 6.0 shots on target per game versus 2.5. Additionally, the home side scores on average 0.88 goals in the second half versus 0.29 for the away team (scored_2hg_avg_home = 0.88 vs scored_2hg_avg_away = 0.29), which increases the likelihood of a turnaround after the break in Independiente’s favor; therefore I assigned X/1 the highest probability (34%), followed by 1/1 (26%) and 1/X (8%), translating to a 63% chance of a home win, 25% for a draw and 12% for an away victory.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente FBC | Deportivo Capiatá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Capiatá is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Independiente FBC · 1.2 pts / match - Deportivo Capiatá
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente FBC is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Independiente FBC · 1.4 goals / match - Deportivo Capiatá
Deportivo Capiatá is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Independiente FBC · 1.2 goals / match - Deportivo Capiatá
Independiente FBC scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Deportivo Capiatá keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
Deportivo Capiatá scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Independiente FBC
Over / Under — Deportivo Capiatá
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Capiatá is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Independiente FBC · 1.47 pts / match - Deportivo Capiatá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente FBC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo Capiatá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente FBC
Deportivo Capiatá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Independiente FBC | Liga | Deportivo Capiatá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.57 | • 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 43% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 66% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Independiente FBC 1 - 1 - 1 Deportivo Capiatá. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Capiatá?
The Division Intermedia match finished Independiente FBC 1:1 Deportivo Capiatá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente FBC and Deportivo Capiatá?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente FBC won 1, Deportivo Capiatá won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Capiatá?
Independiente FBC score 1.53 goals per game on average and Deportivo Capiatá 1.40. The Division Intermedia average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Independiente FBC's matches and 73% of Deportivo Capiatá's.
What form are Independiente FBC and Deportivo Capiatá in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente FBC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Deportivo Capiatá 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Capiatá?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Capiatá: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.