Independiente FBC vs Guaireña: match statistics
Independiente FBC vs Guaireña: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente FBC played Guaireña in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Independiente FBC: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match. Guaireña: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente FBC scores 1.00 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Guaireña scores 1.33 and concedes 2.33. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente FBC 33%, Guaireña 33%. Over 2.5: Independiente FBC 33%, Guaireña 67%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente FBC has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.15. Independiente FBC: 9.7 shots per match, Guaireña: 8.7.
Match halves
Independiente FBC: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33. Guaireña: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Independiente FBC: 0-15 (1 goals). Guaireña: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente FBC at home shows a very solid defense — on average 0.0 goals conceded per match and 100% clean sheets — with xG against 0.91, while generating xG 1.53 and averaging 1.0 goal per match. In the last 5 fixtures the hosts scored 5 goals, have 2 wins and 3 draws (form: wddwd), indicating result stability. Guaireña away scores on average 2.0 goals and has 11 goals in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 losses) with a high conversion rate of 25%, but concedes on average 3.0 goals away and has xG against 1.46 versus xG for 1.02. In chance creation the hosts have the edge — 12 average shots and 5 on target at home versus 8 shots and 3 on target for the visitors, plus superior possession 49% vs 37%, which favors control of the game. Considering the hosts’ 100% clean sheets, superior xG for them (1.53 vs 1.02) and the fact Guaireña has 100% away losses and concedes on average 3.0 goals away, I assess the probabilities as 65% home win, 18% draw and 17% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because Guaireña has a seasonal BTTS of 100% and concedes on average 3.0 goals while scoring 2.0 per match, strongly indicating their games typically end Goal/Goal. Independiente FBC has a seasonal BTTS of 0% and kept a clean sheet in 50% of matches, which weakens the Both Teams To Score scenario, but in the last 5 matches they have BTTS at 40% versus Guaireña’s 60%, so recent form favors BTTS. Offensively, the home side posts xG 1.22 vs 1.02 for the visitors and 3.5 vs 3.0 shots on target, but a conversion rate of 11% for the hosts and 25% for the guests means Guaireña is far more efficient with fewer chances. In the last 5 matches Guaireña scored 11 goals and conceded on average 2.0, while Independiente scored 5 and conceded on average 0.6, which together increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Considering Guaireña’s seasonal 100% BTTS versus Independiente’s 0% and the league average BTTS of 46%, I assign 70% to Yes and 30% to No and pick Yes as the best tip.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Independiente FBC averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded this season, while Guaireña averages 2.0 scored and 3.0 conceded, indicating open, goal-prone matches. xG shows 1.22 for the home side and 1.02 for the away side with xG against 1.32 (home) and 1.46 (away), yielding expected ~1.34 goals for the hosts and ~1.17 for the visitors (total ~2.51). Additionally, both teams have 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season; Guaireña has scored 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 avg) and posts a shot conversion of 25% versus the home side's 11%, which increases the likelihood of further finishes. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (strong statistical backing); Over 2.5 is assessed as moderately likely (~65%) and Over 3.5 as less likely (~35%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 2/2 (away team leads at the break and wins) because the half-time statistics favor Guaireña: the away side’s average first-half goals are 1.0 versus 0.0 for the home team, while the home team concedes 1.5 goals on average by half-time. Over the season Guaireña scores 2.0 goals per game compared to Independiente’s 1.0, and they have a substantially higher shot conversion rate, 25% versus the home side’s 11%, increasing the likelihood of maintaining a lead at the break. Although xG shows a slight edge for the home team (xG 1.22 vs 1.02 for the visitors), the away team is more clinical in turning chances into goals, and in the last five matches Guaireña has won 60% of games versus 40% for the home team. Additionally, in their last five matches the away side scored 12 goals by half-time compared to 6 for the home side and led at the break in 40% of cases; therefore the HT/FT scenario 2/2 has the strongest numerical support.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente FBC | Guaireña | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente FBC is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.67 pts / match - Independiente FBC · 1 pts / match - Guaireña
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guaireña is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Independiente FBC · 1.33 goals / match - Guaireña
Independiente FBC is 248% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Independiente FBC · 2.33 goals / match - Guaireña
Independiente FBC scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Guaireña keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Guaireña scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente FBC
Over / Under - Guaireña
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente FBC is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Independiente FBC · 0.67 pts / match - Guaireña
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente FBC - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Guaireña - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente FBC
Guaireña
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Independiente FBC | Liga | Guaireña | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.39 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 36% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 54% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Independiente FBC 0 - 1 - 1 Guaireña. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente FBC vs Guaireña?
The Division Intermedia match finished Independiente FBC 2:0 Guaireña. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente FBC and Guaireña?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente FBC won 0, Guaireña won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente FBC vs Guaireña?
Independiente FBC score 1.00 goals per game on average and Guaireña 1.33. The Division Intermedia average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Independiente FBC's matches and 33% of Guaireña's.
What form are Independiente FBC and Guaireña in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente FBC have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and Guaireña 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente FBC vs Guaireña?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente FBC vs Guaireña: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.