Independiente FBC vs Paraguarí: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Independiente FBC vs Paraguarí: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente FBC play Paraguarí in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match date is 23 October 2026.
Current form
Independiente FBC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Paraguarí: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente FBC scores 1.55 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Paraguarí scores 1.45 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente FBC 59%, Paraguarí 55%. Over 2.5: Independiente FBC 52%, Paraguarí 48%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente FBC has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.37. Independiente FBC: 10.5 shots per match, Paraguarí: 9.9.
Match halves
Independiente FBC: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.83. Paraguarí: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Independiente FBC: 76-90+ (12 goals). Paraguarí: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente FBC | Paraguarí | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paraguarí is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Independiente FBC · 2.4 pts / match - Paraguarí
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente FBC is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Independiente FBC · 1.45 goals / match - Paraguarí
Independiente FBC scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Paraguarí keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
Paraguarí scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente FBC
Over / Under - Paraguarí
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paraguarí is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Independiente FBC · 1.21 pts / match - Paraguarí
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente FBC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paraguarí - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente FBC
Paraguarí
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Independiente FBC | Liga | Paraguarí | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.86 | 2.64 | • 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Independiente FBC 0 - 0 - 1 Paraguarí. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Independiente FBC and Paraguarí play?
Independiente FBC face Paraguarí on 23 October 2026 in Division Intermedia. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente FBC vs Paraguarí?
Independiente FBC score 1.55 goals per game on average and Paraguarí 1.45. The Division Intermedia average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Independiente FBC's matches and 55% of Paraguarí's.
What form are Independiente FBC and Paraguarí in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente FBC have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Paraguarí 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente FBC vs Paraguarí?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.