Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá: match statistics
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Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente FBC play Sportivo Carapeguá in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match date is 25 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Ricardo Gregor.
Current form
Independiente FBC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sportivo Carapeguá: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente FBC scores 1.48 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Sportivo Carapeguá scores 1.20 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente FBC 60%, Sportivo Carapeguá 52%. Over 2.5: Independiente FBC 48%, Sportivo Carapeguá 44%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente FBC has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.30. Independiente FBC: 10.5 shots per match, Sportivo Carapeguá: 9.8.
Match halves
Independiente FBC: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.80. Sportivo Carapeguá: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Independiente FBC: 76-90+ (10 goals). Sportivo Carapeguá: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente FBC | Sportivo Carapeguá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente FBC is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Independiente FBC · 1.2 goals / match - Sportivo Carapeguá
Independiente FBC is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Independiente FBC · 1.52 goals / match - Sportivo Carapeguá
Independiente FBC scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Sportivo Carapeguá keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
Sportivo Carapeguá scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente FBC
Over / Under - Sportivo Carapeguá
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente FBC is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Independiente FBC · 0.92 pts / match - Sportivo Carapeguá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente FBC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sportivo Carapeguá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente FBC
Sportivo Carapeguá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Independiente FBC | Liga | Sportivo Carapeguá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 26% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 67% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Independiente FBC 1 - 2 - 0 Sportivo Carapeguá. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Independiente FBC and Sportivo Carapeguá play?
Independiente FBC face Sportivo Carapeguá on 25 September 2026 in Division Intermedia at Estadio Ricardo Gregor. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente FBC and Sportivo Carapeguá?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente FBC won 1, Sportivo Carapeguá won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
Independiente FBC score 1.48 goals per game on average and Sportivo Carapeguá 1.20. The Division Intermedia average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Independiente FBC's matches and 52% of Sportivo Carapeguá's.
What form are Independiente FBC and Sportivo Carapeguá in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente FBC have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sportivo Carapeguá 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


