Paraguay - Division IntermediaEstadio Ricardo GregorData current as of 22 September 2026

Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Independiente FBC play Sportivo Carapeguá in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match date is 25 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Ricardo Gregor.

Current form

Independiente FBC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sportivo Carapeguá: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Independiente FBC scores 1.48 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Sportivo Carapeguá scores 1.20 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.61 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Independiente FBC 60%, Sportivo Carapeguá 52%. Over 2.5: Independiente FBC 48%, Sportivo Carapeguá 44%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Independiente FBC has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.30. Independiente FBC: 10.5 shots per match, Sportivo Carapeguá: 9.8.

Match halves

Independiente FBC: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.80. Sportivo Carapeguá: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Independiente FBC: 76-90+ (10 goals). Sportivo Carapeguá: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Division Intermedia: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
1.48Goals scored / match1.2
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
1.28Goals conceded / match1.52
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
51%Average possession51%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
4Shots on target / match3.56
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.52Shots per match9.76
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
4Shots on target3.56
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
14.1%Shot conversion12.3%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
51%Possession51%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
1.42xG for1.3
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
1.39xG against1.41
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

Shooting quality

Independiente FBC: Efficient finishingSportivo Carapeguá: Balanced
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
Accuracy (shots on target)38%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Independiente FBC
LDWWW
Season result split
36% W40% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-6
1.48 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-5-3
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
DDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Sportivo Carapeguá
WLWWD
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-10
1.40 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-5
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Independiente FBC is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.48 goals / match - Independiente FBC · 1.2 goals / match - Sportivo Carapeguá

Independiente FBC is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.28 goals / match - Independiente FBC · 1.52 goals / match - Sportivo Carapeguá

Independiente FBC scoring profile: very strong

Independiente FBC scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Sportivo Carapeguá keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).

Sportivo Carapeguá scoring profile: strong

Sportivo Carapeguá scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).

37Goals scored (season)30
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
32Goals conceded (season)38
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
2.76Average goals in match2.72
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
9Goals scored (last 5)7
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal80%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
52%2 goals40%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
8%3 goals0%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
4%4 goals0%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal68%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
40%2 goals44%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
12%3 goals20%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
8%4 goals8%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
Independiente FBC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 25 matches
52%
Sportivo Carapeguá - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 25 matches
56%
League average

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time20%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
20%Scored in both halves16%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
40%BTTS - last 540%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
24%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
28%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Independiente FBC is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Independiente FBC · 0.92 pts / match - Sportivo Carapeguá

Independiente FBC - half-time state
16% leading52% draw32% trailing
Sportivo Carapeguá - half-time state
20% leading32% draw48% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.92
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
0.84Goals conceded (1st half)0.96
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
1.52Average goals (1st half)1.36
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
48%Clean sheet before half-time44%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
52%No goal before half-time60%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per match (2nd half)1.56
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
1.24Average goals (2nd half)1.36
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
68%Clean sheet after half-time64%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
44%No goal after half-time44%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

Independiente FBC - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
25
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding225%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sportivo Carapeguá - second-half results

36% W48% D16% L
23
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Independiente FBC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.20
Goals scored / match0.21.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-3+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Sportivo Carapeguá - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.60
Goals scored / match0.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-3+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Independiente FBC
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
6
8
16-30
7
10
31-45
3
2
46-60
7
1
61-75
10
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Sportivo Carapeguá
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
1
8
16-30
9
10
31-45
6
4
46-60
7
1
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.74
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Independiente FBC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Sportivo Carapeguá

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).

Teams vs league

Independiente FBCLigaSportivo Carapeguá
Average goals in match 2.762.61 2.72
Both teams scored 60%56% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%46% 44%
Clean sheets 36%26% 32%
Goal before half-time 68%67% 76%
Goal after half-time 72%75% 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.61
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Independiente FBC 1 - 2 - 0 Sportivo Carapeguá. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Sportivo Carapeguá
0 : 2
Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC Campo Grande
3 : 3
Club Sportivo Carapeguá
Club Sportivo Carapeguá
1 : 1
Independiente FBC Campo Grande

FAQ

When do Independiente FBC and Sportivo Carapeguá play?

Independiente FBC face Sportivo Carapeguá on 25 September 2026 in Division Intermedia at Estadio Ricardo Gregor. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Independiente FBC and Sportivo Carapeguá?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente FBC won 1, Sportivo Carapeguá won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá?

Independiente FBC score 1.48 goals per game on average and Sportivo Carapeguá 1.20. The Division Intermedia average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Independiente FBC's matches and 52% of Sportivo Carapeguá's.

What form are Independiente FBC and Sportivo Carapeguá in?

Over the last 5 games Independiente FBC have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sportivo Carapeguá 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.