Independiente Juniors vs 9 de Octubre: match statistics
Independiente Juniors vs 9 de Octubre: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Juniors played 9 de Octubre in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 8 October 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Independiente Juniors: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. 9 de Octubre: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Juniors scores 1.21 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. 9 de Octubre scores 1.11 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Juniors 45%, 9 de Octubre 36%. Over 2.5: Independiente Juniors 34%, 9 de Octubre 32%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Juniors has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.26. Independiente Juniors: 10.0 shots per match, 9 de Octubre: 9.8.
Match halves
Independiente Juniors: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.66. 9 de Octubre: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Independiente Juniors: 76-90+ (9 goals). 9 de Octubre: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-3-2. Average goals 2.14, BTTS 57%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente Juniors have home advantage: they have won 50% of their home matches and lost just 7%, while 9 de Octubre have won only 14% of their away games. The hosts average 1.43 goals per game at home, compared with just 0.43 for the visitors away from home; the difference is also reflected in chance quality, with their xG standing at 1.51 and 1.07, respectively. However, the visitors’ defence remains solid, conceding an average of 0.50 goals away from home and keeping a clean sheet in 57% of those matches. The fact that 64% of 9 de Octubre’s away games have ended in a draw also points towards a stalemate. Although the visitors have scored 9 goals in their last 5 rounds, compared with 5 for the hosts, their poor away scoring record makes an Independiente Juniors win slightly more likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from 9 de Octubre’s away matches: they score an average of just 0.43 goals and fail to score in 64% of these games. Independiente Juniors keep a clean sheet in 46% of their home matches, further increasing the risk that the visitors will not find the net. The hosts score an average of 1.92 goals at home and fail to score in only 8% of those matches, although the visitors keep a clean sheet in 57% of their away games. Each team’s last five matches saw BTTS - Yes in 60% of games, and 9 de Octubre averaged 1.8 goals during this period, so the pick is not clear-cut. Despite this improvement in form, the visitors’ away scoring record and the fact that BTTS landed in just 21% of their matches point towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest indicator points to Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 93% of 9 de Octubre’s away matches and 62% of Independiente Juniors’ home matches. The visitors average just 0.43 goals away from home and failed to score in 64% of those games; the hosts keep a clean sheet in 46% of their home matches. Although Independiente Juniors average 1.92 goals at home, 9 de Octubre concede only 0.50 goals away and keep a clean sheet in 57% of those matches. The visitors have averaged 1.8 goals over their last five games, which weakens the case for lower goal lines, but the projected total of 2.12 goals still gives Under 3.5 the strongest edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome: 9 de Octubre were level at the break in 86% of their matches this season, while Independiente Juniors did so in 4 of their last 5 games. Although the home side led at the break in 46% of their matches, the visitors’ defence conceded an average of just 0.14 goals before half-time, so an early lead is far from certain. The hosts’ advantage should carry more weight after the break: they scored an average of 0.85 goals and conceded 0.23, while the visitors scored 0.43. Independiente Juniors’ case for a full-time win is also supported by their 69% season win rate, compared with 14% for their opponents, and a higher xG of 1.44 versus 1.07. The risk of a draw or an away win remains significant, as the hosts have won only once in their last 5 matches and the visitors twice. However, across the season as a whole, the strongest signal points to an X/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Juniors | 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Juniors is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Independiente Juniors · 1.11 goals / match - 9 de Octubre
9 de Octubre is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Independiente Juniors · 0.71 goals / match - 9 de Octubre
Independiente Juniors scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while 9 de Octubre keeps a clean sheet in 50% (14 of 28 matches).
9 de Octubre scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Independiente Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Juniors
Over / Under - 9 de Octubre
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente Juniors is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Independiente Juniors · 1.21 pts / match - 9 de Octubre
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
9 de Octubre - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Juniors
9 de Octubre
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Juniors | Liga | 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.03 | 2.01 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 36% | • 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 34% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 41% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 66% | 60% | • 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Independiente Juniors 2 - 3 - 2 9 de Octubre. Average goals 2.14, both teams scored in 57% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Juniors vs 9 de Octubre?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished Independiente Juniors 1:0 9 de Octubre. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Juniors and 9 de Octubre?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Independiente Juniors won 2, 9 de Octubre won 2 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Juniors vs 9 de Octubre?
Independiente Juniors score 1.21 goals per game on average and 9 de Octubre 1.11. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Independiente Juniors's matches and 36% of 9 de Octubre's.
What form are Independiente Juniors and 9 de Octubre in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Juniors have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and 9 de Octubre 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Juniors vs 9 de Octubre?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente Juniors vs 9 de Octubre: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.