Independiente Juniors vs San Antonio: match statistics
Independiente Juniors vs San Antonio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Juniors played San Antonio in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 1 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Independiente Juniors: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. San Antonio: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Juniors scores 1.50 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. San Antonio scores 2.50 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Juniors 50%, San Antonio 50%. Over 2.5: Independiente Juniors 50%, San Antonio 50%. League level: BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Juniors has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.58. Independiente Juniors: 15.0 shots per match, San Antonio: 12.5.
Match halves
Independiente Juniors: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.50. San Antonio: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.00.
Goals by minute
Independiente Juniors: 61-75 (2 goals). San Antonio: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 3.75, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente Juniors are top of the table (position 1) and over the last 5 matches have a record of 4 wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.6 points per game, while San Antonio have averaged 1.4 points per game in the same period. At home Independiente average 14 shots per game, 7 on target, translating to 2.0 goals per game and xG 1.72 with a conversion rate of 14%. San Antonio on the road average 3 shots per game, with 1 on target, have an average xG of 0.61 and register 0 goals on away matches on average (100% of away matches without a goal), with a 0% conversion rate. Defensively the visitors concede 2.0 goals on average away and have allowed 11 goals in the last 5 matches, whereas the hosts concede 1.0 goal at home and have conceded 5 goals in their last 5, which also yields a clear advantage for the hosts in quality of chances (xG difference ~1.11 in favor of Independiente). Considering the advantage in shots (14 vs 3), shots on target (7 vs 1), xG (1.72 vs 0.61) and finishing (14% vs 0%), I tip a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Independiente Juniors has 100% BTTS this season and 80% in the last 5 matches, while San Antonio has 60% BTTS in their last 5, which together indicate a high probability of both teams scoring. xG metrics show Independiente averages xG 2.54 versus 0.61 for San Antonio, but over the shorter recent 5-match sample xG is 2.29 vs 1.8, so the away side have recently created more chances than the season figure suggests. Independiente averages 22 shots and 12 shots on target per game versus 3 shots and 1 on target for San Antonio, which almost guarantees goals for the hosts, while San Antonio have scored 11 goals in their last 5 (2.2 on average), so they have the capacity to respond. Although the league has low BTTS (33%) and a high clean sheet expected rate (75%), the combination of the home side’s 100% seasonal BTTS and the relatively strong recent 5-match form of the visitors leads me to choose BTTS - Yes with a probability of 70%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-and-defensive model yields a combined expected total of approximately 2.78 goals: home xG 2.54, away xG 0.61; San Antonio’s defense concedes 1.22 xG on average, Independiente’s defense 1.18, translating to ~1.88 expected goals for Independiente and ~0.90 for San Antonio (total ~2.78). Independiente averages 22 shots and 12 on target with a 23% conversion rate; seasonScoredAVG_home = 5.0 and they have scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 per game), confirming a real ability to convert xG into goals. San Antonio meanwhile averages only 3 shots and 1 on target and xG_for_avg_away = 0.61; in the last 5 matches they have scored 11 and conceded 11 (2.2 per game), indicating attacking limitations and defensive vulnerability. Assuming a Poisson distribution with λ≈2.78 gives ~77% probability for Over 1.5, ~53% for Over 2.5 and ~30% for Over 3.5 — therefore the strongest and most reliable signal from the available data is a play on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Independiente Juniors are clear favorites: they score an average of 5.0 goals per match versus 0.0 for San Antonio and have xG 2.54 versus 0.61; additionally they average 22 shots and 12 on target compared to just 3 shots and 1 on target for the visitors. The home side have led at the break in 1 of their matches so far (100% of their games) and average 1.0 goal by half-time, while San Antonio have 0.0 goals at half-time and 0% wins this season. The gap in xG (2.54 vs 0.61), in shots on target (12 vs 1) and in conversion rate (23% vs 0%) suggests the hosts will more easily take a lead at the break and maintain it; therefore HT/FT 1/1 is rated around 60%. Additionally, the hosts have 100% wins and present a +2.0 goal differential in second halves and average 4.0 goals scored after the break, which reduces San Antonio’s chances of a turnaround. In short: the 1/1 selection (60%) is the strongest signal; alternatives are 1/X (7%) or X/X (10%) if the visitors manage to hold their own, and all scenarios with an away win total 10%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Juniors | San Antonio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Juniors is 100% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Independiente Juniors · 1.5 pts / match - San Antonio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Antonio is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Independiente Juniors · 2.5 goals / match - San Antonio
Independiente Juniors is 300% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Independiente Juniors · 2 goals / match - San Antonio
Independiente Juniors scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while San Antonio keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
San Antonio scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Independiente Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Juniors
Over / Under - San Antonio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Antonio is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Independiente Juniors · 1.5 pts / match - San Antonio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Juniors - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
San Antonio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Juniors
San Antonio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Juniors | Liga | San Antonio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.31 | ▲ 4.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 0% | 69% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 62% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Independiente Juniors 2 - 1 - 1 San Antonio. Average goals 3.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Juniors vs San Antonio?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished Independiente Juniors 0:0 San Antonio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Juniors and San Antonio?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Independiente Juniors won 2, San Antonio won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Juniors vs San Antonio?
Independiente Juniors score 1.50 goals per game on average and San Antonio 2.50. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Independiente Juniors's matches and 50% of San Antonio's.
What form are Independiente Juniors and San Antonio in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Juniors have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and San Antonio 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Juniors vs San Antonio?
The statistical background for Independiente Juniors vs San Antonio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.