Independiente Medellín vs América de Cali: match statistics
Independiente Medellín vs América de Cali: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Medellín played América de Cali in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 30 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Independiente Medellín: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. América de Cali: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Medellín scores 1.33 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. América de Cali scores 1.33 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Medellín 75%, América de Cali 33%. Over 2.5: Independiente Medellín 67%, América de Cali 42%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
América de Cali has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.53. Independiente Medellín: 15.0 shots per match, América de Cali: 14.6.
Match halves
Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 1.00. América de Cali: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Independiente Medellín: 46-60 (5 goals). América de Cali: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente Medellín present a stronger attack: higher avg shots (20.6 vs 10.5), more SOT (6.6 vs 4.17) and higher xG (2.08 vs 1.2), translating into more goals over the last five matches. The hosts also enjoy greater possession (60%) and better recent results (PPG 2.0 vs 1.6), suggesting superior overall form. América de Cali are more volatile away with lower attacking efficiency recently. Defensively visitors are decent statistically (1.0 avg goals conceded away) but higher xG against (1.53) indicates risk when facing the hosts’ attack. Based on offensive edge, possession and form, I favor Medellín to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Based on provided data, BTTS is more likely not to occur. Independiente Medellín has a very solid defense (seasonConcededAVG_home 0.33) and high CS% (67%), suggesting a clean sheet is likely. América de Cali shows limited attacking output (seasonScoredAVG_away 1.17, last5 0.8) and lower shot metrics, reducing the chance of both teams scoring. Both teams’ seasonal BTTS rates are low (33% each), and although the league is higher (56%), xG and shot balances favor at least one clean sheet. Recommendation: BTTS = No, noting short-term variance risk.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Model based on available stats indicates total xG ~2.85 (home ~1.75, away ~1.10), strongly favoring Over 1.5 and moderately Over 2.5, but decisively Under 3.5. Independiente Medellín has high offensive xG and limits opponents, but season CS rate (67%) and zero frequency of Over 3.5 reduce probability of very high scorelines. América de Cali generates decent chances but their efficiency and average xG imply about 1 goal. Seasonal and recent-5 Over/Under indicators are mixed around 2.5, so Over 2.5 probability is moderate. Strongest signal: Under 3.5 due to absence of historical >3 goal matches and solid home defence.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates a high probability of a HT draw (drawingAtHTPercentage_home 50%, away 50%) and a home second-half advantage: high home xG (2.05 vs 1.2), more shots and a clear concentration of home goals after minute 60 (4 goals 61–90). The hosts also have strong season defense (seasonConcededAVG_home 0.33, seasonCSPercentage_home 67%), reducing the risk of losing a lead after the break. The second half favors the hosts (high ppg_2hg_home, late goals), so the HT draw and home win FT scenario is strongest. I also accounted for form where Medellín more often turns games around in the second half than their opponent.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | América de Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
América de Cali is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.6 pts / match - América de Cali
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
América de Cali is 112% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 0.67 goals / match - América de Cali
Independiente Medellín scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while América de Cali keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).
América de Cali scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
Over / Under - América de Cali
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
América de Cali is 159% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.58 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.5 pts / match - América de Cali
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
América de Cali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Medellín
América de Cali
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | América de Cali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 56% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Independiente MedellínSubstitutionOn: Daniel Felipe Cataño TorresOff: Hayen Santiago Palacios Sánchez
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Independiente Medellín 1 - 3 - 2 América de Cali. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Medellín vs América de Cali?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Independiente Medellín 2:1 América de Cali. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and América de Cali?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 1, América de Cali won 2 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs América de Cali?
Independiente Medellín score 1.33 goals per game on average and América de Cali 1.33. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 33% of América de Cali's.
What form are Independiente Medellín and América de Cali in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and América de Cali 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs América de Cali?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente Medellín vs América de Cali: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.