Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Independiente Medellín played Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 23 November 2025. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Independiente Medellín: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Independiente Medellín scores 1.53 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Atlético Nacional scores 1.72 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.30 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Independiente Medellín 49%, Atlético Nacional 57%. Over 2.5: Independiente Medellín 41%, Atlético Nacional 60%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

xG is very similar for both teams. Independiente Medellín: 15.8 shots per match, Atlético Nacional: 16.0.

Match halves

Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88. Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

Independiente Medellín: 31-45+ (15 goals). Atlético Nacional: 31-45+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-1. Average goals 4.25, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
14Shots12
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
9Shots on target2
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
1.8xG1.12
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
4Corners8
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
40Dangerous attacks30
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
17Fouls9
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
1Cards3
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
1.53Goals scored / match1.72
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
0.94Goals conceded / match1.06
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
57%Average possession58%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
5.1Shots on target / match5.49
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.82Shots per match15.96
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
5.1Shots on target5.49
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
9.7%Shot conversion10.8%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
57%Possession58%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
1.67xG for1.67
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
1.11xG against1.16
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional

Shooting quality

Independiente Medellín: DominantAtlético Nacional: Dominant
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Nacional is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional

Independiente Medellín
LWWWL
Season result split
49% W31% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
24-15-10
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-9-3
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Atlético Nacional
WWWLW
Season result split
49% W30% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-14-10
1.77 pts / match · goal difference +31
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-10-6
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Nacional is 12% better for: goals scored per match.

1.53 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.72 goals / match - Atlético Nacional

Independiente Medellín is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.94 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.06 goals / match - Atlético Nacional

Independiente Medellín scoring profile: strong

Independiente Medellín scores in 78% of matches (38 of 49 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 34% (16 of 47 matches).

Atlético Nacional scoring profile: strong

Atlético Nacional scores in 81% of matches (38 of 47 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 39% (19 of 49 matches).

75Goals scored (season)81
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
46Goals conceded (season)50
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
2.47Average goals in match2.79
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
12Goals scored (last 5)12
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal81%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
43%2 goals51%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
27%3 goals26%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
4%4 goals11%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal66%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
20%2 goals30%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
6%3 goals11%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
4%4 goals0%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
Independiente Medellín - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.24 of 49 matches
57%
Atlético Nacional - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.27 of 47 matches
45%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time28%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
4%BTTS in both halves4%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
27%Scored in both halves36%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
40%BTTS - last 560%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time34%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Nacional is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.39 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.72 pts / match - Atlético Nacional

Independiente Medellín - half-time state
33% leading41% draw27% trailing
Atlético Nacional - half-time state
45% leading38% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.39Points per match (1st half)1.72
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.94
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
0.51Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
1.16Average goals (1st half)1.49
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
63%Clean sheet before half-time62%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
51%No goal before half-time36%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional

After half-time (2nd half)

1.61Points per match (2nd half)1.62
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
1.31Average goals (2nd half)1.23
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
65%Clean sheet after half-time62%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional
45%No goal after half-time47%
Independiente MedellínAtlético Nacional

Independiente Medellín - second-half results

37% W51% R12% P
68
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
79
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético Nacional - second-half results

40% W40% R19% P
81
Half-time points
44
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
76
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.72
PPG before half-time
Lead holding109%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Independiente Medellín - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match1.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match2.61.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8
Atlético Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.40
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Independiente Medellín
ScoredConceded
7
10
0-15
10
8
16-30
15
7
31-45
15
5
46-60
14
6
61-75
14
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Atlético Nacional
ScoredConceded
13
12
0-15
11
3
16-30
20
14
31-45
14
12
46-60
8
2
61-75
15
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (20 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Independiente Medellín

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Atlético Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
177%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Independiente MedellínLigaAtlético Nacional
Average goals in match 2.472.30 2.79
Both teams scored 49%45% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%42% 60%
Clean sheets 39%33% 34%
Goal before half-time 67%65% 74%
Goal after half-time 67%69% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.30
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
0.97
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Independiente MedellínYellow cardBrayan Léon Muñiz
  2. Atlético NacionalYellow cardMarlos Moreno Durán
  3. Atlético NacionalYellow cardEdwin Andrés Cardona Bedoya
  4. Atlético NacionalSubstitutionOn: Juan Francisco BauzaOff: Marlos Moreno Durán
  5. Independiente MedellínSubstitutionOn: Alexis Serna RomañaOff: Léider Iván Berrío Peña
  6. Independiente MedellínSubstitutionOn: Francisco David FydriszewskiOff: Jarlan Junior Barrera Escalona
  7. Atlético NacionalSubstitutionOn: Juan Manuel Rengifo DuqueOff: Edwin Andrés Cardona Bedoya
  8. Atlético NacionalYellow cardJorman David Campuzano Puentes
  9. Independiente MedellínSubstitutionOn: Francisco Javier Chaverra AnguloOff: Juan David Arizala
  10. Independiente MedellínSubstitutionOn: Fáiner Torijano CanoOff: Kevin Andrés Mantilla Camargo

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Luis DelgadoMatches officiated: 24
5.33Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins28%Draws21%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Independiente Medellín 0 - 3 - 1 Atlético Nacional. Average goals 4.25, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Club Atlético Nacional SA
5 : 2
Deportivo Independiente Medellín
Deportivo Independiente Medellín
3 : 3
Club Atlético Nacional SA
Deportivo Independiente Medellín
1 : 1
Club Atlético Nacional SA
Club Atlético Nacional SA
1 : 1
Deportivo Independiente Medellín

FAQ

What was the result of Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional?

The Categoria Primera A match finished Independiente Medellín 0:0 Atlético Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and Atlético Nacional?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 0, Atlético Nacional won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 4.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional?

Independiente Medellín score 1.53 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 1.72. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 57% of Atlético Nacional's.

What form are Independiente Medellín and Atlético Nacional in?

Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.