Independiente Medellín vs Junior: match statistics
Junior displays significantly better away form with a 60% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2) on the road, while Independiente Medellín have not won a single home match this season (0% Win%). The hosts have a negative goal difference in home matches (-2) and have lost half of their games at their own stadium. Junior shows better shooting efficiency away from home (15% shot conversion rate vs the hosts' 6%) and a higher average of goals scored (1.8 vs 1.25). Although Medellín dominates in terms of possession (64%), it does not translate into effectiveness, as evidenced by their lack of clean sheets in home matches. The recent form of both teams (Medellín: dldww, Junior: lwdlw) is balanced; however, Junior's advantage in direct away statistics and the hosts' weakness at home point towards an away victory.
Independiente Medellín vs Junior: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Medellín played Junior in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 20 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Independiente Medellín: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Junior: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Medellín scores 1.30 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Junior scores 1.55 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Medellín 80%, Junior 64%. Over 2.5: Independiente Medellín 70%, Junior 73%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Independiente Medellín: 14.9 shots per match, Junior: 14.1.
Match halves
Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.10. Junior: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Independiente Medellín: 46-60 (5 goals). Junior: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-2. Average goals 1.83, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Junior displays significantly better away form with a 60% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2) on the road, while Independiente Medellín have not won a single home match this season (0% Win%). The hosts have a negative goal difference in home matches (-2) and have lost half of their games at their own stadium. Junior shows better shooting efficiency away from home (15% shot conversion rate vs the hosts' 6%) and a higher average of goals scored (1.8 vs 1.25). Although Medellín dominates in terms of possession (64%), it does not translate into effectiveness, as evidenced by their lack of clean sheets in home matches. The recent form of both teams (Medellín: dldww, Junior: lwdlw) is balanced; however, Junior's advantage in direct away statistics and the hosts' weakness at home point towards an away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Medellín is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.4 pts / match - Junior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Junior is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.55 goals / match - Junior
Independiente Medellín scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
Junior scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
Over / Under - Junior
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Junior is 355% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.4 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.82 pts / match - Junior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Junior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Medellín
Junior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | Junior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.57 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 50% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Independiente Medellín 3 - 1 - 2 Junior. Average goals 1.83, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Medellín vs Junior?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Independiente Medellín 2:0 Junior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and Junior?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 3, Junior won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs Junior?
Independiente Medellín score 1.30 goals per game on average and Junior 1.55. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 64% of Junior's.
What form are Independiente Medellín and Junior in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Junior 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs Junior?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente Medellín vs Junior: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.