Independiente Medellín vs La Equidad: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw. Independiente Medellín are in poor form with zero wins this season and a five-match winless streak, but at home they display high ball possession dominance (68%) and a solid xG figure (2.45). La Equidad show better overall form with three wins in their last five matches and a higher points per game efficiency (2.0 PPG), but they perform worse away (50% loss rate, conceding an average of 2.5 goals). The host has recorded two draws in two home matches, which, given both teams' weak defense, suggests a points split. Considering the high average goal tally in the host's matches (4.0) and Medellín's history of draws at home, the most likely scenario is a draw in a high-scoring encounter.
Independiente Medellín vs La Equidad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Medellín played La Equidad in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Independiente Medellín: 0-2-2, 0.50 points/match. La Equidad: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Medellín scores 0.75 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. La Equidad scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Medellín 50%, La Equidad 50%. Over 2.5: Independiente Medellín 50%, La Equidad 75%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.45. Independiente Medellín: 14.5 shots per match, La Equidad: 14.5.
Match halves
Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. La Equidad: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Independiente Medellín: 61-75 (2 goals). La Equidad: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw. Independiente Medellín are in poor form with zero wins this season and a five-match winless streak, but at home they display high ball possession dominance (68%) and a solid xG figure (2.45). La Equidad show better overall form with three wins in their last five matches and a higher points per game efficiency (2.0 PPG), but they perform worse away (50% loss rate, conceding an average of 2.5 goals). The host has recorded two draws in two home matches, which, given both teams' weak defense, suggests a points split. Considering the high average goal tally in the host's matches (4.0) and Medellín's history of draws at home, the most likely scenario is a draw in a high-scoring encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | La Equidad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
La Equidad is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.5 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.75 pts / match - La Equidad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
La Equidad is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.25 goals / match - La Equidad
Independiente Medellín scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while La Equidad keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
La Equidad scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
Over / Under - La Equidad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
La Equidad is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.25 pts / match - La Equidad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
La Equidad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Medellín
La Equidad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | La Equidad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.41 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Independiente MedellínSubstitutionOn: Andrés Felipe Dávila MosqueraOff: Didier Andrés Moreno Asprilla
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Independiente Medellín 1 - 1 - 0 La Equidad. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Medellín vs La Equidad?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Independiente Medellín 1:2 La Equidad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and La Equidad?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 1, La Equidad won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs La Equidad?
Independiente Medellín score 0.75 goals per game on average and La Equidad 1.25. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 50% of La Equidad's.
What form are Independiente Medellín and La Equidad in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 0-2-2 record (0.50 points per game) and La Equidad 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs La Equidad?
The statistical background for Independiente Medellín vs La Equidad — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.