Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas: match statistics
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Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Medellín play Once Caldas in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Current form
Independiente Medellín: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Once Caldas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Medellín scores 1.47 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Once Caldas scores 1.44 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Medellín 66%, Once Caldas 71%. Over 2.5: Independiente Medellín 63%, Once Caldas 44%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Once Caldas has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.56. Independiente Medellín: 14.7 shots per match, Once Caldas: 15.5.
Match halves
Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.84. Once Caldas: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Independiente Medellín: 76-90+ (11 goals). Once Caldas: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.21 goals / match - Once Caldas
Independiente Medellín scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
Once Caldas scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
Over / Under - Once Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Once Caldas is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.26 pts / match - Once Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Medellín
Once Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 55% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 48% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 67% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Independiente Medellín 2 - 1 - 0 Once Caldas. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Independiente Medellín and Once Caldas play?
Independiente Medellín face Once Caldas on 18 October 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and Once Caldas?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 2, Once Caldas won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas?
Independiente Medellín score 1.47 goals per game on average and Once Caldas 1.44. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 71% of Once Caldas's.
What form are Independiente Medellín and Once Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Once Caldas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas?
The statistical background for Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.