Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto: match statistics
Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Petrolero played Universitario de Vinto in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Independiente Petrolero: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Universitario de Vinto: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Petrolero scores 1.33 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Universitario de Vinto scores 2.00 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Petrolero 67%, Universitario de Vinto 67%. Over 2.5: Independiente Petrolero 100%, Universitario de Vinto 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Universitario de Vinto has higher xG: 1.63 vs 0.97. Independiente Petrolero: 9.0 shots per match, Universitario de Vinto: 15.3.
Match halves
Independiente Petrolero: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Universitario de Vinto: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Independiente Petrolero: 0-15 (1 goals). Universitario de Vinto: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams exhibit serious issues in finishing and defending: Independiente Petrolero concedes an average of 3 goals in home matches and has a 100% home loss rate, while Universitario de Vinto has conceded 13 goals in the last 5 fixtures and averages 0.6 points per match in that period. In terms of chance creation the hosts are superior — on average 15 shots per home match, 4 on target, and average xG 1.45 versus 8 shots, 3 on target and xG 0.97 for the visitors. Nevertheless both sides show alarmingly low conversion relative to their home/away records (home team average goals at home 0 and away team average goals away 0), which points toward a low-scoring game. In the last 5 matches Independiente have scored 5 goals and recorded 1 win (form lldlw), while Universitario have scored 8 goals and also 1 win (llllw), highlighting instability in both squads. Considering the hosts’ advantage in xG and shot volume and only a marginally better points average for the home side (0.8 vs 0.6), I assign the highest probability to a draw (40%), with 35% for a home win and 25% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I select BTTS - Yes as the more likely outcome: the home team has BTTS at 100% this season and over 2.5 goals in 100% of matches, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game, which strongly favors both teams scoring. This is supported by league context and form — the league records BTTS in 59% of matches, and both teams have 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches (3 of 5), providing a consistent signal. xG and shot metrics show the home side creates a lot (seasonal xG 1.97, 7.5 shots on target and 19.0 shots per game), while the away team, despite weaker season numbers (seasonal xG 0.97, 3.0 shots on target and 8.0 shots), have an xG of 1.65 in their last 5 and scored 8 goals, so they can respond with a goal. Negative signal comes from some seasonal values for the visitors (average goals scored 0.0 and seasonal BTTS 0.0), but these conflict with recent form (8 scored and 13 conceded in 5 matches), so I give them lower weight. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 75% Yes and 25% No, choosing 'yes' as the best pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG data shows home xG 1.97 and away xG 0.97; xG against 1.87 (home) and 0.85 (away), yielding estimated expected goals of approximately 1.41 for Independiente Petrolero and 1.42 for Universitario de Vinto (total 2.83). The home side averages 19 shots and 7.5 on target per match with a 16% conversion rate, while the visitors average 8 shots and 3 on target. The league records a high average of 3.14 goals per game, which favors high-scoring games. In the last 5 matches both teams produced Over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases, and seasonally the home team has 100% of matches Over 1.5 and 50% Over 3.5, further boosting the probability of at least 2 goals. Considering the expected 2.83 goals, strong home shooting activity and the 80% share of recent Over 2.5 games in form, I estimate a 94% chance for Over 1.5, 72% for Over 2.5 and about 38% for Over 3.5; the strongest and least risky signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home team has a clear lead at the break: they average 2.0 goals by half-time and led at the break in 50% of matches, while the away team averages 0.0 half-time goals and were level at the break in 100% of cases. Over the full match the home side creates significantly more opportunities: xG 1.97 versus 0.97, on average 19 shots and 7.5 shots on target compared to 8 and 3.0 for the away team. Season-long figures further favour the hosts — on average 3.0 goals scored per match, 1.5 points per match and a 50% win rate, whereas the visitors have 0.0 points and 0% wins. Given that the home team most often opens the scoring before the break (2.0 HT goals vs 0.0) and holds roughly a 1.0 xG advantage, the most likely scenario is a home lead at half-time and a home win at full-time (HT/FT = 1/1). Alternatives are a draw at half-time with a subsequent home victory (X/1) or a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X), to which I have assigned moderate probabilities.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Petrolero | Universitario de Vinto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Petrolero is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / match - Independiente Petrolero · 1 pts / match - Universitario de Vinto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Universitario de Vinto is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Independiente Petrolero · 2 goals / match - Universitario de Vinto
Universitario de Vinto is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Independiente Petrolero · 1.67 goals / match - Universitario de Vinto
Independiente Petrolero scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Universitario de Vinto keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Universitario de Vinto scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Independiente Petrolero keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Petrolero
Over / Under - Universitario de Vinto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Universitario de Vinto is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Independiente Petrolero · 1.67 pts / match - Universitario de Vinto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Petrolero - second-half results
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Universitario de Vinto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 0% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Petrolero | Liga | Universitario de Vinto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 3.00 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Independiente Petrolero 1 - 1 - 0 Universitario de Vinto. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
The LFPB match finished Independiente Petrolero 2:1 Universitario de Vinto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Petrolero and Universitario de Vinto?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente Petrolero won 1, Universitario de Vinto won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
Independiente Petrolero score 1.33 goals per game on average and Universitario de Vinto 2.00. The LFPB average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Independiente Petrolero's matches and 67% of Universitario de Vinto's.
What form are Independiente Petrolero and Universitario de Vinto in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Petrolero have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Universitario de Vinto 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
The statistical background for Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.